{ "api_version": "v1", "dataset": "promises", "data_build": "2026-10-09T13:58:27Z", "docs_url": "https://ledgergov.uk/method/api", "licence": { "name": "Open Government Licence v3.0", "url": "https://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/", "attribution": "Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Compiled by Public Ledger (https://ledgergov.uk).", "notes": [ "Every number names its source (sources[].licence gives each one's terms). Most are Crown copyright under the OGL; Bank of England and NATO figures follow their own terms.", "Quotes from Parliament: contains Parliamentary information licensed under the Open Parliament Licence v3.0 (https://www.parliament.uk/site-information/copyright-parliament/open-parliament-licence/). Other quotes are short extracts reproduced for reporting; their rights stay with the speaker and publisher (see each card's quote_licence).", "Notes, summaries and statuses written by Public Ledger are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0) (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/): reuse them freely, crediting Public Ledger with a link to the page they come from." ] }, "data": { "promises": [ { "id": "uk-awaabs-law-all-hazards-2027", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-awaabs-law-all-hazards-2027", "headline": "Awaab's Law for all serious hazards in 2027", "actor_id": "hm-government", "actor_name": "HM Government", "party_id": null, "made_on": "2026-10-08", "venue": "press_release", "venue_label": "Press release (MHCLG), notes to editors", "policy_area": "housing_env", "status": "promised", "status_label": "Promised", "status_note": "The government describes this as the third and final phase of Awaab's Law in social housing, after damp and mould (in force since October 2025) and a wider list of hazards (due 30 November 2026, see the related card). No regulations or date within 2027 have been published for this phase.", "deadline": "2027-12-31", "outcome_by": "hm-government", "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "llm_intake", "text": "The third and final phase will be introduced in 2027, covering all remaining hazards in the Housing Health and Safety Rating System where they present a significant risk of harm, except overcrowding which is addressed differently.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/clampdown-on-dangerous-homes-to-protect-more-tenants-and-families", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-09", "quote_licence": "Open Government Licence v3.0", "who": "Social housing tenants in England, whose landlords must fix all remaining serious hazards to legal deadlines", "when": "During 2027 (taken as by 31 December 2027)", "funded_by": null, "cost": null, "sources": [ { "title": "MHCLG press release, 8 Oct 2026: Clampdown on dangerous homes to protect more tenants and families", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/clampdown-on-dangerous-homes-to-protect-more-tenants-and-families", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "The third and final phase will be introduced in 2027, covering all remaining hazards in the Housing Health and Safety Rating System where they present a significant risk of harm, except overcrowding which is addressed differently.", "recorded_on": "2026-10-08", "source_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/clampdown-on-dangerous-homes-to-protect-more-tenants-and-families", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-09", "cost": null } ], "events": [ { "date": "2026-10-08", "type": "promised", "text": "The government says the final phase of Awaab's Law in social housing will be introduced in 2027", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false }, { "date": "2027-12-31", "type": "deadline", "text": "End of 2027 (editorial date for \"in 2027\")", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-awaabs-law-hazards-2026", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-awaabs-law-hazards-2026", "headline": "Widen Awaab's Law to more home hazards", "actor_id": "hm-government", "actor_name": "HM Government", "party_id": null, "made_on": "2026-10-08", "venue": "press_release", "venue_label": "Press release (MHCLG), notes to editors", "policy_area": "housing_env", "status": "in_plan", "status_label": "In plan", "status_note": "Awaab's Law sets legal deadlines for social landlords in England to investigate and fix dangerous hazards; since October 2025 it has covered damp and mould. Draft regulations published on 13 July 2026 would add excess cold, excess heat, domestic hygiene, falls, electrical, explosion and structural collapse hazards from 30 November 2026; they need Parliament's approval.", "deadline": "2026-11-30", "outcome_by": "hm-government", "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "llm_intake", "text": "Subject to parliamentary approval, phase 2 comes into force on 30 November 2026, extending the protections to further serious hazards like electrical hazards, excess cold and falls.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/clampdown-on-dangerous-homes-to-protect-more-tenants-and-families", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-09", "quote_licence": "Open Government Licence v3.0", "who": "Social housing tenants in England (over 4 million, by the government's count), whose landlords must fix more kinds of serious hazard to legal deadlines; councils and housing associations as landlords", "when": "From 30 November 2026, if Parliament approves the draft regulations", "funded_by": null, "cost": { "low": 0.0143, "central": 0.0159, "high": 0.0175, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Cost to the public purse: what councils, as landlords, pay to comply. Year shown: the first year. The government's impact assessment puts councils' costs at £15.9m a year in years 1 and 2 and £5.7m a year after (2026 prices), and housing associations' at £27.8m and £10.0m; £190.2m over ten years for the whole sector in present value. Housing associations are not part of the public sector, so their costs are not counted here. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "sources": [ { "title": "Impact assessment for the draft regulations (13 Jul 2026), legislation.gov.uk", "url": "https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukia/2026/128/pdfs/ukia_20260128_en.pdf" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "official", "name": "Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government" } }, "sources": [ { "title": "MHCLG press release, 8 Oct 2026: Clampdown on dangerous homes to protect more tenants and families", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/clampdown-on-dangerous-homes-to-protect-more-tenants-and-families", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Draft Hazards in Social Housing (Prescribed Requirements) (England) (Amendment) Regulations 2026, legislation.gov.uk", "url": "https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukdsi/2026/9780348285611/contents", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Impact assessment for the draft regulations (13 Jul 2026), legislation.gov.uk", "url": "https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukia/2026/128/pdfs/ukia_20260128_en.pdf", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Hazards in Social Housing (Prescribed Requirements) (England) Regulations 2025 (SI 2025/1042)", "url": "https://www.legislation.gov.uk/uksi/2025/1042/contents/made", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "Subject to parliamentary approval, phase 2 comes into force on 30 November 2026, extending the protections to further serious hazards like electrical hazards, excess cold and falls.", "recorded_on": "2026-10-08", "source_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/clampdown-on-dangerous-homes-to-protect-more-tenants-and-families", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-09", "cost": { "low": 0.0143, "central": 0.0159, "high": 0.0175, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Cost to the public purse: what councils, as landlords, pay to comply. Year shown: the first year. The government's impact assessment puts councils' costs at £15.9m a year in years 1 and 2 and £5.7m a year after (2026 prices), and housing associations' at £27.8m and £10.0m; £190.2m over ten years for the whole sector in present value. Housing associations are not part of the public sector, so their costs are not counted here. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "sources": [ { "title": "Impact assessment for the draft regulations (13 Jul 2026), legislation.gov.uk", "url": "https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukia/2026/128/pdfs/ukia_20260128_en.pdf" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "official", "name": "Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government" } } } ], "events": [ { "date": "2026-10-08", "type": "promised", "text": "The government says phase 2 of Awaab's Law in social housing comes into force on 30 November 2026", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false }, { "date": "2026-10-08", "type": "in_plan", "text": "Draft regulations, published on 13 July 2026, set 30 November 2026 as the start date for the wider list of hazards", "evidence_url": "https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukdsi/2026/9780348285611/contents", "auto": false }, { "date": "2026-11-30", "type": "deadline", "text": "Phase 2 due to come into force", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-awaabs-law-private-renters-2026", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-awaabs-law-private-renters-2026", "headline": "Extend Awaab's Law to private renters", "actor_id": "matthew-pennycook", "actor_name": "Matthew Pennycook", "party_id": "labour", "made_on": "2026-10-08", "venue": "press_release", "venue_label": "Press release (MHCLG), quote from the Housing Minister", "policy_area": "housing_env", "status": "promised", "status_label": "Promised", "status_note": "A government consultation on how to introduce Awaab's Law in the private rented sector, including when it comes into force, closes on 18 December 2026; an options assessment of its impacts was published with it. The government calls extending Awaab's Law a commitment in the Renters' Rights Act and the National Plan to End Homelessness. No start date has been set.", "deadline": null, "outcome_by": "hm-government", "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "llm_intake", "text": "Awaab’s Law is already helping to drive up standards in the social housing sector. We’re now moving to extend it to private landlords so that England’s 11 million private renters can enjoy the same protections.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/clampdown-on-dangerous-homes-to-protect-more-tenants-and-families", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-09", "quote_licence": "Open Government Licence v3.0", "who": "England's private renters (11 million, the minister's figure); private landlords must fix hazards to legal deadlines", "when": "Not set; the consultation closing on 18 December 2026 will inform the timescale", "funded_by": null, "cost": null, "sources": [ { "title": "MHCLG press release, 8 Oct 2026: Clampdown on dangerous homes to protect more tenants and families", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/clampdown-on-dangerous-homes-to-protect-more-tenants-and-families", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "Awaab’s Law is already helping to drive up standards in the social housing sector. We’re now moving to extend it to private landlords so that England’s 11 million private renters can enjoy the same protections.", "recorded_on": "2026-10-08", "source_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/clampdown-on-dangerous-homes-to-protect-more-tenants-and-families", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-09", "cost": null } ], "events": [ { "date": "2026-10-08", "type": "promised", "text": "The Housing Minister says the government is moving to extend Awaab's Law to private landlords", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-con-iht-family-home-2026", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-con-iht-family-home-2026", "headline": "Abolish inheritance tax on the family home", "actor_id": "conservatives", "actor_name": "Conservative Party", "party_id": "conservatives", "made_on": "2026-10-07", "venue": "press_release", "venue_label": "Conservative Party news release, party conference 2026", "policy_area": "taxes", "status": "promised", "status_label": "Promised", "status_note": "The Conservatives are not in government, so the card stays at Promised. The same release says the individual tax-free threshold would rise to £500,000.", "deadline": null, "outcome_by": null, "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "manual", "text": "Today, the Conservative Party has announced that we will abolish Inheritance Tax on the family home and raise the individual threshold to £500,000.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://www.conservatives.com/news/conservatives-to-abolish-inheritance-tax-on-the-family-home", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-08", "quote_licence": "Quoted for reporting; rights stay with the publisher", "who": "Estates passing on a main home, which would become exempt, and estates above today's threshold, which would rise to £500,000 per person", "when": "Not stated (\"the next Conservative government\"); costed for 2029-30", "funded_by": "Through the party's plans \"to grip public spending, especially the out-of-control welfare bill\"", "cost": { "low": 6, "central": 7.7, "high": 10.9, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Year shown: 2029-30. Low is the party's own figure, £6bn a year, from an Onward and Oxford Economics analysis in which inheritance tax liabilities of £12.6bn in 2029/30 fall to £6.6bn. Central and high are the two ends of Tax Policy Associates' independent estimate, £7.7bn to £10.9bn a year, which counts people holding on to homes and moving other wealth into housing. There is no OBR or HMRC costing.", "sources": [ { "title": "Onward: Assessing the implications of inheritance tax reforms in the UK (7 Oct 2026)", "url": "https://ukonward.com/reports/assessing-the-implications-of-inheritance-tax-reforms-in-the-uk/" }, { "title": "Tax Policy Associates (8 Oct 2026)", "url": "https://taxpolicy.org.uk/2026/10/08/conservatives-inheritance-tax-family-home-cost/" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "independent", "name": "Tax Policy Associates" } }, "sources": [ { "title": "Conservatives: Conservatives to abolish Inheritance Tax on the family home (7 Oct 2026)", "url": "https://www.conservatives.com/news/conservatives-to-abolish-inheritance-tax-on-the-family-home", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Onward: Assessing the implications of inheritance tax reforms in the UK (7 Oct 2026)", "url": "https://ukonward.com/reports/assessing-the-implications-of-inheritance-tax-reforms-in-the-uk/", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Tax Policy Associates: Conservative inheritance tax plan cost (8 Oct 2026)", "url": "https://taxpolicy.org.uk/2026/10/08/conservatives-inheritance-tax-family-home-cost/", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "Today, the Conservative Party has announced that we will abolish Inheritance Tax on the family home and raise the individual threshold to £500,000.", "recorded_on": "2026-10-07", "source_url": "https://www.conservatives.com/news/conservatives-to-abolish-inheritance-tax-on-the-family-home", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-08", "cost": { "low": 6, "central": 7.7, "high": 10.9, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Year shown: 2029-30. Low is the party's own figure, £6bn a year, from an Onward and Oxford Economics analysis in which inheritance tax liabilities of £12.6bn in 2029/30 fall to £6.6bn. Central and high are the two ends of Tax Policy Associates' independent estimate, £7.7bn to £10.9bn a year, which counts people holding on to homes and moving other wealth into housing. There is no OBR or HMRC costing.", "sources": [ { "title": "Onward: Assessing the implications of inheritance tax reforms in the UK (7 Oct 2026)", "url": "https://ukonward.com/reports/assessing-the-implications-of-inheritance-tax-reforms-in-the-uk/" }, { "title": "Tax Policy Associates (8 Oct 2026)", "url": "https://taxpolicy.org.uk/2026/10/08/conservatives-inheritance-tax-family-home-cost/" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "independent", "name": "Tax Policy Associates" } } } ], "events": [ { "date": "2026-10-07", "type": "promised", "text": "The Conservatives announce at their party conference that they would abolish inheritance tax on the family home", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-kings-series-nnr-2026", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-kings-series-nnr-2026", "headline": "Create or extend 25 nature reserves by 2027", "actor_id": "natural-england", "actor_name": "Natural England", "party_id": null, "made_on": "2026-10-07", "venue": "press_release", "venue_label": "Press release (Natural England)", "policy_area": "housing_env", "status": "delivering", "status_label": "Delivering", "status_note": "Natural England's notice of 19 March 2026 says Seven Sisters became the 13th National Nature Reserve in the King's Series, halfway to 25; Lyscombe in Dorset was declared on 15 September 2026 as the latest. That notice gives the target date as 2028, while the 7 October 2026 release says 2027; the card uses the date in the quote and reads \"by 2027\" as the end of 2027.", "deadline": "2027-12-31", "outcome_by": "natural-england", "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "llm_intake", "text": "That’s why Natural England is delivering the King’s Series of National Nature Reserves, which will create or extend 25 NNRs by 2027, leaving a legacy for people and nature.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/pine-marten-caught-on-camera-in-suffolk-nature-reserve-first", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-08", "quote_licence": "Open Government Licence v3.0", "who": "People and wildlife around new or extended National Nature Reserves in England, and the landowners and partners who manage them", "when": "By 2027, as stated; Natural England's March 2026 notice says 2028", "funded_by": null, "cost": null, "sources": [ { "title": "Natural England press release, 7 Oct 2026: Pine marten caught on camera in Suffolk nature reserve 'first'", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/pine-marten-caught-on-camera-in-suffolk-nature-reserve-first", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Natural England, 19 Mar 2026: Iconic Seven Sisters formally declared England's new National Nature Reserve", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/iconic-seven-sisters-formally-declared-englands-new-national-nature-reserve", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Natural England, 15 Sep 2026: Rare species help Dorset nature reserve gain national recognition", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/rare-species-help-dorset-nature-reserve-gain-national-recognition", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "That’s why Natural England is delivering the King’s Series of National Nature Reserves, which will create or extend 25 NNRs by 2027, leaving a legacy for people and nature.", "recorded_on": "2026-10-07", "source_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/pine-marten-caught-on-camera-in-suffolk-nature-reserve-first", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-08", "cost": null } ], "events": [ { "date": "2026-10-07", "type": "promised", "text": "Natural England says the King's Series will create or extend 25 National Nature Reserves by 2027", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false }, { "date": "2026-10-07", "type": "delivering", "text": "Under way: Natural England reported the 13th King's Series reserve (Seven Sisters) on 19 March 2026, and declared Lyscombe in Dorset on 15 September 2026", "evidence_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/iconic-seven-sisters-formally-declared-englands-new-national-nature-reserve", "auto": false }, { "date": "2027-12-31", "type": "deadline", "text": "25 new or extended National Nature Reserves due (by 2027, as stated)", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-green-bank-windfall-tax-2026", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-green-bank-windfall-tax-2026", "headline": "Apply a windfall tax to bank profits", "actor_id": "green-party", "actor_name": "Green Party of England and Wales", "party_id": "green-party", "made_on": "2026-10-02", "venue": "speech", "venue_label": "Leader's speech, Green Party autumn conference 2026", "policy_area": "taxes", "status": "promised", "status_label": "Promised", "status_note": "The Green Party is not in government, so the card stays at Promised. The party set out the details on 19 August 2026: 38% on the biggest banks' UK retail profits above £800m. The quoted sentence also promises support from the welfare state, which is too general to score.", "deadline": null, "outcome_by": null, "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "manual", "text": "We will apply a windfall tax to obscene bank profits, and we will make sure the support of the welfare state is always there for those who need it.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://greenparty.org.uk/2026/10/02/zack-polanskis-speech-to-conference-in-full/", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-08", "quote_licence": "Quoted for reporting; rights stay with the publisher", "who": "The UK's biggest banks, on their UK retail profits above £800m", "when": "Not stated", "funded_by": "Not a spending pledge; the party says £14.8bn of the money raised could give small and medium-sized businesses a larger Employment Allowance", "cost": { "low": -20.9, "central": -19, "high": -17.1, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Raises money, so the figures are negative. Year shown: 2026, one year of profits; the party does not say whether the tax would repeat. The party's figure of about £19bn rests on Positive Money's estimate: 38% of the big four banks' £49.7bn of net income above £800m, £18.9bn. Positive Money is a campaign group; no official or independent costing was found on 8 Oct 2026. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "sources": [ { "title": "Positive Money: Windfall tax on colossal bank profits could raise £19bn in 2026 (4 Aug 2026)", "url": "https://positivemoney.org/uk/press-release/windfall-tax-on-colossal-bank-profits-could-raise-pound19bn-in-2026/" }, { "title": "Positive Money: 2026 bank windfall tax estimates (PDF)", "url": "https://www.datocms-assets.com/132494/1785825253-2026-bank-windfall-tax-estimates.pdf" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "party", "name": "Green Party" } }, "sources": [ { "title": "Green Party: Zack Polanski's speech to conference in full (2 Oct 2026)", "url": "https://greenparty.org.uk/2026/10/02/zack-polanskis-speech-to-conference-in-full/", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Green Party: Greens announce windfall tax on the profits of big banks (19 Aug 2026)", "url": "https://greenparty.org.uk/2026/08/19/greens-announce-windfall-tax-on-the-profits-of-big-banks/", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Positive Money: Windfall tax on colossal bank profits could raise £19bn in 2026 (4 Aug 2026)", "url": "https://positivemoney.org/uk/press-release/windfall-tax-on-colossal-bank-profits-could-raise-pound19bn-in-2026/", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "We will apply a windfall tax to obscene bank profits, and we will make sure the support of the welfare state is always there for those who need it.", "recorded_on": "2026-10-02", "source_url": "https://greenparty.org.uk/2026/10/02/zack-polanskis-speech-to-conference-in-full/", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-08", "cost": { "low": -20.9, "central": -19, "high": -17.1, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Raises money, so the figures are negative. Year shown: 2026, one year of profits; the party does not say whether the tax would repeat. The party's figure of about £19bn rests on Positive Money's estimate: 38% of the big four banks' £49.7bn of net income above £800m, £18.9bn. Positive Money is a campaign group; no official or independent costing was found on 8 Oct 2026. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "sources": [ { "title": "Positive Money: Windfall tax on colossal bank profits could raise £19bn in 2026 (4 Aug 2026)", "url": "https://positivemoney.org/uk/press-release/windfall-tax-on-colossal-bank-profits-could-raise-pound19bn-in-2026/" }, { "title": "Positive Money: 2026 bank windfall tax estimates (PDF)", "url": "https://www.datocms-assets.com/132494/1785825253-2026-bank-windfall-tax-estimates.pdf" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "party", "name": "Green Party" } } } ], "events": [ { "date": "2026-10-02", "type": "promised", "text": "Zack Polanski pledges a windfall tax on bank profits in his conference speech", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-triple-lock-2030-2026", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-triple-lock-2030-2026", "headline": "Adjust the State Pension triple lock from 2030", "actor_id": "hm-government", "actor_name": "HM Government", "party_id": null, "made_on": "2026-09-29", "venue": "press_release", "venue_label": "No 10 press release on a National Care Service", "policy_area": "social_protection", "status": "promised", "status_label": "Promised", "status_note": "The government says it will legislate for the change during this Parliament. Until April 2030 the State Pension keeps rising by the triple lock; the Budget sets the April 2027 rise.", "deadline": "2030-04-01", "outcome_by": "hm-government", "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "manual", "text": "The current State Pension Triple Lock will be maintained until April 2030. From then, it will be adjusted so the State Pension rises by at least inflation or 2.5% each year with a new link built in to keep pace with earnings over time.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/prime-minister-andy-burnham-sets-out-plans-for-a-new-national-care-service", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-08", "quote_licence": "Open Government Licence v3.0", "who": "People receiving the basic or new State Pension", "when": "The triple lock continues until April 2030; the adjusted lock applies from then", "funded_by": "Not a spending pledge; the release says \"Savings under the adjusted Triple Lock will be used for a new National Care Service\"", "cost": null, "sources": [ { "title": "No 10: Prime Minister Andy Burnham sets out plans for a new National Care Service (29 Sep 2026)", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/prime-minister-andy-burnham-sets-out-plans-for-a-new-national-care-service", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "DWP: State Pension uprating analysis 2026 (29 Sep 2026)", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/state-pension-uprating-analysis-2026/state-pension-uprating", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "HM Treasury: Budget 2025 (26 Nov 2025)", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/budget-2025-document/budget-2025-html", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "The current State Pension Triple Lock will be maintained until April 2030. From then, it will be adjusted so the State Pension rises by at least inflation or 2.5% each year with a new link built in to keep pace with earnings over time.", "recorded_on": "2026-09-29", "source_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/prime-minister-andy-burnham-sets-out-plans-for-a-new-national-care-service", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-08", "cost": null } ], "events": [ { "date": "2026-09-29", "type": "promised", "text": "The government says it will keep the triple lock until April 2030, then adjust it, as part of plans for a National Care Service", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false }, { "date": "2030-04-01", "type": "deadline", "text": "The adjusted lock is due to apply", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-union-learning-fund-2026", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-union-learning-fund-2026", "headline": "Restore the Union Learning Fund, £15m a year", "actor_id": "hm-government", "actor_name": "HM Government", "party_id": null, "made_on": "2026-09-28", "venue": "press_release", "venue_label": "HM Treasury news story", "policy_area": "education", "status": "promised", "status_label": "Promised", "status_note": "The Treasury says the Budget will set out how the fund is paid for, from savings found by the Department for Work and Pensions.", "deadline": null, "outcome_by": "hm-government", "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "manual", "text": "The Chancellor also confirmed £15 million a year of additional funding to restore the Union Learning Fund in England, helping working people gain new skills, progress at work and adapt as technology, including AI, changes the workplace.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/chancellor-backs-young-people-into-work-by-supporting-jobs", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-08", "quote_licence": "Open Government Licence v3.0", "who": "Working people in England", "when": "Not stated", "funded_by": "\"The Budget will set out details how apprenticeship brokerage expansion and Union Learning Fund are fully funded by savings found by the Department for Work & Pensions.\"", "cost": { "low": 0.0135, "central": 0.015, "high": 0.0165, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "The government's own figure: £15 million a year. No start date or independent costing has been published. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "sources": [ { "title": "HM Treasury: Chancellor backs young people into work by supporting jobs (28 Sep 2026)", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/chancellor-backs-young-people-into-work-by-supporting-jobs" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "official", "name": "HM Treasury" } }, "sources": [ { "title": "HM Treasury: Chancellor backs young people into work by supporting jobs (28 Sep 2026)", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/chancellor-backs-young-people-into-work-by-supporting-jobs", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "The Chancellor also confirmed £15 million a year of additional funding to restore the Union Learning Fund in England, helping working people gain new skills, progress at work and adapt as technology, including AI, changes the workplace.", "recorded_on": "2026-09-28", "source_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/chancellor-backs-young-people-into-work-by-supporting-jobs", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-08", "cost": { "low": 0.0135, "central": 0.015, "high": 0.0165, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "The government's own figure: £15 million a year. No start date or independent costing has been published. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "sources": [ { "title": "HM Treasury: Chancellor backs young people into work by supporting jobs (28 Sep 2026)", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/chancellor-backs-young-people-into-work-by-supporting-jobs" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "official", "name": "HM Treasury" } } } ], "events": [ { "date": "2026-09-28", "type": "promised", "text": "The Chancellor confirms £15m a year to restore the Union Learning Fund in England", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-your-first-home-2026", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-your-first-home-2026", "headline": "Launch the Your First Home equity loan scheme", "actor_id": "hm-government", "actor_name": "HM Government", "party_id": null, "made_on": "2026-09-26", "venue": "press_release", "venue_label": "MHCLG press release", "policy_area": "housing_env", "status": "promised", "status_label": "Promised", "status_note": "The government says the scheme will be confirmed at the Budget on 28 October 2026, with its costs, income and price caps and timetable.", "deadline": "2026-10-28", "outcome_by": "hm-government", "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "manual", "text": "The government has today (Saturday 26 September 2026) announced a new equity loan scheme - Your First Home - in England will be confirmed at next month’s Budget, to support more people into homeownership.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/new-first-time-buyer-scheme-to-be-confirmed-at-budget", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-08", "quote_licence": "Open Government Licence v3.0", "who": "First-time buyers in England buying a new-build home from a developer in the scheme. The government says it is expected to support 2.5% deposits, backed by 20% government-backed equity loans; income and price caps are to be set at the Budget.", "when": "To be confirmed at the Budget on 28 October 2026; no start date given", "funded_by": "Partly stated: \"Developers will be expected to make a contribution when signing up to the scheme to help cover costs\"", "cost": null, "sources": [ { "title": "MHCLG: New first-time buyer scheme to be confirmed at Budget (26 Sep 2026)", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/new-first-time-buyer-scheme-to-be-confirmed-at-budget", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "The government has today (Saturday 26 September 2026) announced a new equity loan scheme - Your First Home - in England will be confirmed at next month’s Budget, to support more people into homeownership.", "recorded_on": "2026-09-26", "source_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/new-first-time-buyer-scheme-to-be-confirmed-at-budget", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-08", "cost": null } ], "events": [ { "date": "2026-09-26", "type": "promised", "text": "The government announces the Your First Home equity loan scheme for England, to be confirmed at the Budget", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false }, { "date": "2026-10-28", "type": "deadline", "text": "Due to be confirmed at the Budget", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-ld-personal-allowance-15k-2026", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-ld-personal-allowance-15k-2026", "headline": "Raise the tax-free personal allowance to £15,000", "actor_id": "liberal-democrats", "actor_name": "Liberal Democrats", "party_id": "liberal-democrats", "made_on": "2026-09-22", "venue": "press_release", "venue_label": "Liberal Democrat news release with the leader's conference speech", "policy_area": "taxes", "status": "promised", "status_label": "Promised", "status_note": "The Liberal Democrats are not in government, so the card stays at Promised. The release says 2.5 million people would be taken out of income tax; the leader's speech the same day says 2 million more.", "deadline": null, "outcome_by": null, "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "manual", "text": "The Liberal Democrats will take 2.5 million people out of paying income tax altogether by raising the tax-free personal allowance to £15,000.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://www.libdems.org.uk/news/article/cutting-income-tax-to-tackle-the-cost-of-living-crisis", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-08", "quote_licence": "Quoted for reporting; rights stay with the publisher", "who": "UK income taxpayers. The same package raises the employee National Insurance threshold to £15,000 and the higher-rate threshold to £56,000 (outside Scotland).", "when": "Not stated", "funded_by": "From a \"growth dividend worth £27 billion a year\" the party expects from a new partnership with the EU, including the Single Market and a Customs Union; it says £17bn of it would pay for the tax cuts", "cost": { "low": 15.3, "central": 17, "high": 18.7, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "The party's own figure, £17bn a year, covers the whole package (the allowance, the National Insurance threshold and the higher-rate threshold) with no split, and the release gives no year. No independent costing was found on 8 Oct 2026. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "sources": [ { "title": "Liberal Democrats: Cutting income tax to tackle the cost of living crisis (22 Sep 2026)", "url": "https://www.libdems.org.uk/news/article/cutting-income-tax-to-tackle-the-cost-of-living-crisis" }, { "title": "Chartered Institute of Taxation: Liberal Democrat Conference 2026", "url": "https://www.tax.org.uk/liberal-democrats-conference-2026-tax" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "party", "name": "Liberal Democrats" } }, "sources": [ { "title": "Liberal Democrats: Cutting income tax to tackle the cost of living crisis (22 Sep 2026)", "url": "https://www.libdems.org.uk/news/article/cutting-income-tax-to-tackle-the-cost-of-living-crisis", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Liberal Democrats: The fight of our lives, leader's speech (22 Sep 2026)", "url": "https://www.libdems.org.uk/news/article/the-fight-of-our-lives", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Chartered Institute of Taxation: Liberal Democrat Conference 2026", "url": "https://www.tax.org.uk/liberal-democrats-conference-2026-tax", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "The Liberal Democrats will take 2.5 million people out of paying income tax altogether by raising the tax-free personal allowance to £15,000.", "recorded_on": "2026-09-22", "source_url": "https://www.libdems.org.uk/news/article/cutting-income-tax-to-tackle-the-cost-of-living-crisis", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-08", "cost": { "low": 15.3, "central": 17, "high": 18.7, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "The party's own figure, £17bn a year, covers the whole package (the allowance, the National Insurance threshold and the higher-rate threshold) with no split, and the release gives no year. No independent costing was found on 8 Oct 2026. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "sources": [ { "title": "Liberal Democrats: Cutting income tax to tackle the cost of living crisis (22 Sep 2026)", "url": "https://www.libdems.org.uk/news/article/cutting-income-tax-to-tackle-the-cost-of-living-crisis" }, { "title": "Chartered Institute of Taxation: Liberal Democrat Conference 2026", "url": "https://www.tax.org.uk/liberal-democrats-conference-2026-tax" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "party", "name": "Liberal Democrats" } } } ], "events": [ { "date": "2026-09-22", "type": "promised", "text": "The Liberal Democrats announce the £15,000 personal allowance on the last day of their conference", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-bics-electricity-2026", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-bics-electricity-2026", "headline": "Cut manufacturers’ electricity bills by up to 25%", "actor_id": "blair-mcdougall", "actor_name": "Blair McDougall", "party_id": "labour", "made_on": "2026-09-09", "venue": "parliament", "venue_label": "Commons statement", "policy_area": "economic_affairs", "status": "in_plan", "status_label": "In plan", "status_note": "The scheme is in the government's plans (Modern Industrial Strategy, June 2025; consultation responses of 16 April and July 2026), and applications opened on 1 October 2026 and close on 30 November 2026. Exemptions on bills start in April 2027. Draft regulations amending the Renewables Obligation and Capacity Market rules were laid on 7 September 2026 and need approval by both Houses; none had been made by 7 October 2026. The Exchequer funding is due to be scored at Budget 2026, so the card stays at In plan.", "deadline": null, "outcome_by": "hm-government", "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "llm_intake", "text": "When it comes to energy costs, our British industrial competitiveness scheme will save more than 10,000 manufacturers up to 25% of their electricity bills.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://hansard.parliament.uk/Commons/2026-09-09/debates/CAB0EF73-A8DD-4708-AF57-2221AD011A5A/JaguarLandRoverRedundancies", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-07", "quote_licence": "Open Parliament Licence v3.0", "who": "Manufacturers in Great Britain in eligible frontier and foundational sectors, such as automotive, aerospace and chemicals, that meet the electricity-use threshold (government estimate: over 10,000 businesses). They stop paying the indirect costs of the Renewables Obligation, Feed-in Tariffs and the Capacity Market. The Northern Ireland Executive is to get funding for an equivalent programme, subject to a business case.", "when": "Applications 1 October to 30 November 2026; exemptions on bills from April 2027 (Renewables Obligation and Feed-in Tariffs) and October 2027 (Capacity Market); a one-off payment in 2027 covers the support firms would have received had the scheme run from April 2026", "funded_by": "A combination of changes within the energy system (such as those recently made to inflation indexation of RO/FITs), removal of Carbon Price Support from April 2028 and Exchequer funding, so that domestic and non-domestic electricity consumers do not see an increase in their bills; the one-off 2027 payment is funded by the Exchequer", "cost": { "low": 0.54, "central": 0.6, "high": 0.66, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Year shown: a typical year of the scheme from April 2027; the government gives an average yearly figure, not one for a named year. Its estimate is \"around £600 million on average p.a.\" (government response, 16 April 2026); its press release the same day says \"up to £600 million per year from April 2027\". Central figure only, subject to final scheme design and consumption forecasts. Neither source says whether this includes the one-off additional payment in 2027, worth around a year's relief, for businesses that apply in the first window. The final impact assessment (7 September 2026), published with the draft regulations, puts the cost of BICS support at £3.8bn in present value over 2027-28 to 2034-35 (2025 prices), including the additional payment, or £3.2bn without it; that is a discounted eight-year total, not a yearly figure, so it is not used for the range. No independent costing has been published. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "sources": [ { "title": "Government response: BICS consultation on scheme eligibility and approach, 16 Apr 2026", "url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/69dfe1fdf5069cdc548688aa/british-industrial-competitiveness-scheme-consultation-on-scheme-eligibility-approach-government-response.pdf" }, { "title": "DBT and HM Treasury press release, 16 Apr 2026: Government cuts electricity bill for 10,000 manufacturers", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/government-cuts-electricity-bill-for-10000-manufacturers-in-boost-for-uk-competitiveness" }, { "title": "BIST impact assessment: British Industrial Competitiveness Scheme (final stage, 7 Sep 2026)", "url": "https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukia/2026/149/pdfs/ukia_20260149_en.pdf" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "official", "name": "Department for Business and Trade" } }, "sources": [ { "title": "Hansard, House of Commons, 9 Sep 2026: Jaguar Land Rover: Redundancies (statement)", "url": "https://hansard.parliament.uk/Commons/2026-09-09/debates/CAB0EF73-A8DD-4708-AF57-2221AD011A5A/JaguarLandRoverRedundancies", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "The UK's Modern Industrial Strategy, 23 Jun 2025 (DBT)", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/industrial-strategy", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Government response: BICS consultation on scheme eligibility and approach, 16 Apr 2026", "url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/69dfe1fdf5069cdc548688aa/british-industrial-competitiveness-scheme-consultation-on-scheme-eligibility-approach-government-response.pdf", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "DBT and HM Treasury press release, 16 Apr 2026: Government cuts electricity bill for 10,000 manufacturers", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/government-cuts-electricity-bill-for-10000-manufacturers-in-boost-for-uk-competitiveness", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "BICS consultation on regulatory changes and scheme delivery: government response, Jul 2026", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/consultations/british-industrial-competitiveness-scheme-consultation-on-regulatory-changes-and-scheme-delivery", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "BIST press release, 1 Oct 2026: Applications open for scheme to slash electricity bills for over 10,000 manufacturers", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/applications-open-for-scheme-to-slash-electricity-bills-for-over-10000-manufacturers", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "GOV.UK collection: British Industrial Competitiveness Scheme", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/british-industrial-competitiveness-scheme", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Draft Renewables Obligation and Electricity Capacity (Amendment) (British Industrial Competitiveness Scheme Excluded Electricity) Regulations 2026 (laid 7 Sep 2026), legislation.gov.uk", "url": "https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukdsi/2026/9780348286762/contents", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "BIST impact assessment: British Industrial Competitiveness Scheme (final stage, 7 Sep 2026)", "url": "https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukia/2026/149/pdfs/ukia_20260149_en.pdf", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "When it comes to energy costs, our British industrial competitiveness scheme will save more than 10,000 manufacturers up to 25% of their electricity bills.", "recorded_on": "2026-09-09", "source_url": "https://hansard.parliament.uk/Commons/2026-09-09/debates/CAB0EF73-A8DD-4708-AF57-2221AD011A5A/JaguarLandRoverRedundancies", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-07", "cost": { "low": 0.54, "central": 0.6, "high": 0.66, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Year shown: a typical year of the scheme from April 2027; the government gives an average yearly figure, not one for a named year. Its estimate is \"around £600 million on average p.a.\" (government response, 16 April 2026); its press release the same day says \"up to £600 million per year from April 2027\". Central figure only, subject to final scheme design and consumption forecasts. Neither source says whether this includes the one-off additional payment in 2027, worth around a year's relief, for businesses that apply in the first window. The final impact assessment (7 September 2026), published with the draft regulations, puts the cost of BICS support at £3.8bn in present value over 2027-28 to 2034-35 (2025 prices), including the additional payment, or £3.2bn without it; that is a discounted eight-year total, not a yearly figure, so it is not used for the range. No independent costing has been published. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "sources": [ { "title": "Government response: BICS consultation on scheme eligibility and approach, 16 Apr 2026", "url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/69dfe1fdf5069cdc548688aa/british-industrial-competitiveness-scheme-consultation-on-scheme-eligibility-approach-government-response.pdf" }, { "title": "DBT and HM Treasury press release, 16 Apr 2026: Government cuts electricity bill for 10,000 manufacturers", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/government-cuts-electricity-bill-for-10000-manufacturers-in-boost-for-uk-competitiveness" }, { "title": "BIST impact assessment: British Industrial Competitiveness Scheme (final stage, 7 Sep 2026)", "url": "https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukia/2026/149/pdfs/ukia_20260149_en.pdf" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "official", "name": "Department for Business and Trade" } } } ], "events": [ { "date": "2026-09-09", "type": "promised", "text": "Minister for Reindustrialisation Blair McDougall tells the Commons the scheme will save more than 10,000 manufacturers up to 25% of their electricity bills", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false }, { "date": "2026-10-01", "type": "in_plan", "text": "Applications open until 30 November 2026; the government says eligible firms receive support from April 2027", "evidence_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/applications-open-for-scheme-to-slash-electricity-bills-for-over-10000-manufacturers", "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-child-nude-images-law-2026", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-child-nude-images-law-2026", "headline": "Stop children taking, sharing or viewing naked pictures", "actor_id": "hm-government", "actor_name": "HM Government", "party_id": null, "made_on": "2026-09-09", "venue": "press_release", "venue_label": "Press release (DCMS)", "policy_area": "public_order", "status": "promised", "status_label": "Promised", "status_note": "No date was given: the government says it will introduce the legislation as soon as possible, and will reassess whether it is needed if companies put solutions in place themselves. The same press release says features that keep users scrolling for longer, such as videos that play one after another and personalised feeds, will also be switched off by default for 16 and 17-year-olds; no date is given for this either.", "deadline": null, "outcome_by": "hm-government", "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "llm_intake", "text": "New legislation will be prepared by the government to force tech companies to make it impossible for children to take, share or view naked pictures.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-to-have-worlds-strongest-online-child-safety-laws-as-government-prepares-legislation-on-nude-images", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-07", "quote_licence": "Open Government Licence v3.0", "who": "Children under 18 in the UK; technology companies, which would be legally required to build protections into their devices", "when": "Not stated; the government says it will introduce the legislation \"as soon as possible\"", "funded_by": null, "cost": null, "sources": [ { "title": "DCMS press release, 9 Sep 2026: UK to have world's strongest online child safety laws as government prepares legislation on nude images", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-to-have-worlds-strongest-online-child-safety-laws-as-government-prepares-legislation-on-nude-images", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "New legislation will be prepared by the government to force tech companies to make it impossible for children to take, share or view naked pictures.", "recorded_on": "2026-09-09", "source_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-to-have-worlds-strongest-online-child-safety-laws-as-government-prepares-legislation-on-nude-images", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-07", "cost": null } ], "events": [ { "date": "2026-09-09", "type": "promised", "text": "Government announces it will bring forward legislation requiring technology companies to stop under-18s taking, sharing or viewing nude images on their devices", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [ { "date": "2026-10-08", "path": "versions[0].parameters.cost_note", "was": "No costing published.", "now": "No cost to the public purse stated. The law would require technology companies to build protections into their devices, so the main cost falls on the companies. The government has not yet published the bill or an impact assessment, and its announcement gives no figure.", "reason": "The note said only that no costing was published. It now says who bears the cost under the announced plan.", "source_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-to-have-worlds-strongest-online-child-safety-laws-as-government-prepares-legislation-on-nude-images" }, { "date": "2026-10-08", "path": "versions[0].parameters.cost_sources", "was": null, "now": [ { "title": "DCMS: UK to have world's strongest online child safety laws as government prepares legislation on nude images (9 Sep 2026)", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-to-have-worlds-strongest-online-child-safety-laws-as-government-prepares-legislation-on-nude-images" }, { "title": "DCMS: Lisa Nandy's statement on protecting children online (8 Sep 2026)", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/speeches/lisa-nandys-statement-on-protecting-children-online" } ], "reason": "The note said only that no costing was published. It now says who bears the cost under the announced plan.", "source_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-to-have-worlds-strongest-online-child-safety-laws-as-government-prepares-legislation-on-nude-images" } ], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-con-cheap-power-plan-2026", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-con-cheap-power-plan-2026", "headline": "Cheap power plan to cut energy costs", "actor_id": "conservatives", "actor_name": "Conservative Party", "party_id": "conservatives", "made_on": "2026-09-09", "venue": "parliament", "venue_label": "Commons statement (Julia Lopez, for the Conservatives)", "policy_area": "economic_affairs", "status": "promised", "status_label": "Promised", "status_note": "The Conservatives are not in government, so the card stays at Promised. Claire Coutinho, then Shadow Energy Secretary, announced the repeal of the Climate Change Act and the first Cheap Power Plan policies (to \"axe the Carbon Tax on electricity generation\" and to scrap old wind farm subsidies) at the party's 2025 conference, and the party's policy page lists repealing the Act and axing the \"Carbon Tax\".", "deadline": null, "outcome_by": null, "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "llm_intake", "text": "The Conservatives have a cheap power plan to slash energy costs for the entire economy. It involves hard-nosed choices: repealing the Climate Change Act 2008, axing the emissions trading scheme, scrapping wind and solar subsidies, investing in nuclear and getting the North sea drilling again.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://hansard.parliament.uk/Commons/2026-09-09/debates/CAB0EF73-A8DD-4708-AF57-2221AD011A5A/JaguarLandRoverRedundancies", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-07", "quote_licence": "Open Parliament Licence v3.0", "who": "Electricity bill payers, households and businesses (the party says the Cheap Power Plan would save the average family £200 a year on electricity bills); wind and solar generators that receive subsidies", "when": "Not stated; the party says the next Conservative Government would act", "funded_by": "The party says its plan to cut bills \"would be paid for by getting Britain drilling\" (party broadcast, 8 April 2026). No other funding is stated on its policy pages.", "cost": null, "sources": [ { "title": "Hansard, House of Commons, 9 Sep 2026: Jaguar Land Rover: Redundancies (statement)", "url": "https://hansard.parliament.uk/Commons/2026-09-09/debates/CAB0EF73-A8DD-4708-AF57-2221AD011A5A/JaguarLandRoverRedundancies", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Conservatives: Energy is prosperity (Claire Coutinho conference speech), 6 Oct 2025", "url": "https://www.conservatives.com/news/energy-is-prosperity", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Conservatives: The Hidden Cost of Net Zero (Claire Coutinho speech and Onward report), 19 Aug 2026", "url": "https://www.conservatives.com/news/the-hidden-cost-of-net-zero", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Conservatives: Our Plan for Britain (policy page)", "url": "https://www.conservatives.com/our-plan-for-britain", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Conservatives: New Conservative Broadcast: Cut Britain's Bills, 8 Apr 2026", "url": "https://www.conservatives.com/news/cut-britains-bills-broadcast", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "The Conservatives have a cheap power plan to slash energy costs for the entire economy. It involves hard-nosed choices: repealing the Climate Change Act 2008, axing the emissions trading scheme, scrapping wind and solar subsidies, investing in nuclear and getting the North sea drilling again.", "recorded_on": "2026-09-09", "source_url": "https://hansard.parliament.uk/Commons/2026-09-09/debates/CAB0EF73-A8DD-4708-AF57-2221AD011A5A/JaguarLandRoverRedundancies", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-07", "cost": null } ], "events": [ { "date": "2026-09-09", "type": "promised", "text": "Conservative frontbencher Julia Lopez tells the Commons the Conservatives' cheap power plan involves repealing the Climate Change Act 2008, axing the emissions trading scheme and scrapping wind and solar subsidies", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-con-zev-mandate-abolition-2026", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-con-zev-mandate-abolition-2026", "headline": "Abolish the zero emission vehicle (ZEV) mandate", "actor_id": "conservatives", "actor_name": "Conservative Party", "party_id": "conservatives", "made_on": "2026-09-09", "venue": "parliament", "venue_label": "Commons statement (Julia Lopez, for the Conservatives)", "policy_area": "economic_affairs", "status": "promised", "status_label": "Promised", "status_note": "The Conservatives are not in government, so the card stays at Promised; the party's policy pages say the next Conservative Government will completely abolish the Zero Emission Vehicle (ZEV) mandate. Filed under economic affairs, not housing and environment, because the mandate regulates car and van makers' sales (transport and manufacturing are economic affairs in the COFOG classification the ledger uses) and the pledge was made in a statement on car-industry job losses.", "deadline": null, "outcome_by": null, "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "llm_intake", "text": "The Conservatives would abolish the ZEV mandate.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://hansard.parliament.uk/Commons/2026-09-09/debates/CAB0EF73-A8DD-4708-AF57-2221AD011A5A/JaguarLandRoverRedundancies", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-07", "quote_licence": "Open Parliament Licence v3.0", "who": "Car and van manufacturers, which would no longer have to meet the mandate's yearly targets for zero-emission sales; the party also says it would end the 2030 ban on new petrol and diesel cars", "when": "Not stated; the party says the next Conservative Government would act", "funded_by": null, "cost": null, "sources": [ { "title": "Hansard, House of Commons, 9 Sep 2026: Jaguar Land Rover: Redundancies (statement)", "url": "https://hansard.parliament.uk/Commons/2026-09-09/debates/CAB0EF73-A8DD-4708-AF57-2221AD011A5A/JaguarLandRoverRedundancies", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Conservatives: Our new plan for drivers, 24 Apr 2026", "url": "https://www.conservatives.com/news/our-new-plan-for-drivers", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Conservatives: Our Plan for Britain (policy page)", "url": "https://www.conservatives.com/our-plan-for-britain", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "FleetPoint, 15 Dec 2025: Conservatives to rip up electric vehicle rules (reports the party's announcement)", "url": "https://www.fleetpoint.org/environment-news/zero-emission-vehicle-mandate/conservatives-to-rip-up-electric-vehicle-rules/", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "The Conservatives would abolish the ZEV mandate.", "recorded_on": "2026-09-09", "source_url": "https://hansard.parliament.uk/Commons/2026-09-09/debates/CAB0EF73-A8DD-4708-AF57-2221AD011A5A/JaguarLandRoverRedundancies", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-07", "cost": null } ], "events": [ { "date": "2026-09-09", "type": "promised", "text": "Conservative frontbencher Julia Lopez tells the Commons the Conservatives would abolish the ZEV mandate", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-curriculum-proposals-2026", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-curriculum-proposals-2026", "headline": "Publish curriculum and assessment reform proposals", "actor_id": "lucy-powell", "actor_name": "Lucy Powell", "party_id": "labour", "made_on": "2026-09-09", "venue": "parliament", "venue_label": "Commons statement", "policy_area": "education", "status": "promised", "status_label": "Promised", "status_note": "No date was given (\"soon\"), so the card has no deadline. The independent Curriculum and Assessment Review, chaired by Professor Becky Francis, published its final report on 5 November 2025, alongside a government response.", "deadline": null, "outcome_by": "hm-government", "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "llm_intake", "text": "Our curriculum and assessment reform will go hand in hand with that ambition, and we will soon publish proposals building on the Becky Francis review.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://hansard.parliament.uk/Commons/2026-09-09/debates/5464194E-3C69-4173-B4BA-5F57B9F7B471/EducationAndSkillsReform", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-07", "quote_licence": "Open Parliament Licence v3.0", "who": "Pupils and students in England, and the schools and colleges that teach and assess them", "when": "Not stated (\"soon\")", "funded_by": null, "cost": null, "sources": [ { "title": "Hansard, House of Commons, 9 Sep 2026: Education and Skills Reform", "url": "https://hansard.parliament.uk/Commons/2026-09-09/debates/5464194E-3C69-4173-B4BA-5F57B9F7B471/EducationAndSkillsReform", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "DfE, 5 Nov 2025: Curriculum and Assessment Review Final Report", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/curriculum-and-assessment-review-final-report", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "DfE, 5 Nov 2025: Curriculum and Assessment Review Final Report: government response", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/curriculum-and-assessment-review-final-report-government-response", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "Our curriculum and assessment reform will go hand in hand with that ambition, and we will soon publish proposals building on the Becky Francis review.", "recorded_on": "2026-09-09", "source_url": "https://hansard.parliament.uk/Commons/2026-09-09/debates/5464194E-3C69-4173-B4BA-5F57B9F7B471/EducationAndSkillsReform", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-07", "cost": null } ], "events": [ { "date": "2026-09-09", "type": "promised", "text": "Lucy Powell tells the Commons that proposals for curriculum and assessment reform building on the Becky Francis review will be published soon", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [ { "date": "2026-10-08", "path": "versions[0].parameters.cost_note", "was": "No costing published.", "now": "No separate cost: publishing proposals costs nothing of its own, and the Department for Education has published no costing. Its November 2025 response to the Curriculum and Assessment Review sets the timetable, aiming to publish the final revised national curriculum by spring 2027, but gives no overall cost for the reform.", "reason": "The note said only that no costing was published. It now says why the promise has no separate cost and what the Department for Education has published.", "source_url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/690b2a4a14b040dfe82922ea/Government_response_to_the_Curriculum_and_Assessment_Review.pdf" }, { "date": "2026-10-08", "path": "versions[0].parameters.cost_sources", "was": null, "now": [ { "title": "DfE: Government response to the Curriculum and Assessment Review (5 Nov 2025)", "url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/690b2a4a14b040dfe82922ea/Government_response_to_the_Curriculum_and_Assessment_Review.pdf" } ], "reason": "The note said only that no costing was published. It now says why the promise has no separate cost and what the Department for Education has published.", "source_url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/690b2a4a14b040dfe82922ea/Government_response_to_the_Curriculum_and_Assessment_Review.pdf" } ], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-landlord-register-2026", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-landlord-register-2026", "headline": "All landlords registered by 14 November 2027", "actor_id": "hm-government", "actor_name": "HM Government", "party_id": null, "made_on": "2026-09-09", "venue": "press_release", "venue_label": "Press release (MHCLG)", "policy_area": "housing_env", "status": "in_plan", "status_label": "In plan", "status_note": "The register is due to launch on 15 December 2026 in the West Midlands and reach other regions over 12 months; the Private Rented Sector Database Regulations 2026 were laid in draft on 9 September 2026 and need approval by both Houses, and section 75 of the Renters’ Rights Act 2025, which creates the database, is not yet in force. The same release says HMRC’s Valuation Office will take over decisions on challenges to rent increases in England; until then renters apply to the First-tier Tribunal.", "deadline": "2027-11-14", "outcome_by": "hm-government", "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "llm_intake", "text": "All landlords actively letting property will need to have registered by 14 November 2027.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/stronger-protections-and-greater-confidence-for-renters", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-07", "quote_licence": "Open Government Licence v3.0", "who": "Landlords in England with properties under let, who must register; their tenants; and councils, which get access to the information (the government says this will help them \"spot rogue landlords and take quicker action\")", "when": "Launch on 15 December 2026 in the West Midlands, then other regions over 12 months; landlords in each region get three months to sign up once it is called forward, and all landlords actively letting must be registered by 14 November 2027", "funded_by": null, "cost": null, "sources": [ { "title": "MHCLG press release, 9 Sep 2026: Stronger protections and greater confidence for renters", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/stronger-protections-and-greater-confidence-for-renters", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Draft Private Rented Sector Database Regulations 2026 (laid 9 Sep 2026), legislation.gov.uk", "url": "https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukdsi/2026/9780348286861/contents", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Renters’ Rights Act 2025, section 75 (The database), legislation.gov.uk", "url": "https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2025/26/section/75", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "All landlords actively letting property will need to have registered by 14 November 2027.", "recorded_on": "2026-09-09", "source_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/stronger-protections-and-greater-confidence-for-renters", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-07", "cost": null } ], "events": [ { "date": "2026-09-09", "type": "promised", "text": "MHCLG announces the national landlord register will launch on 15 December 2026 in the West Midlands, with all landlords actively letting property registered by 14 November 2027", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false }, { "date": "2026-09-09", "type": "in_plan", "text": "Draft Private Rented Sector Database Regulations 2026 laid before Parliament, setting regional start dates from 15 December 2026 (West Midlands) to 15 August 2027 (South West)", "evidence_url": "https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukdsi/2026/9780348286861/contents", "auto": false }, { "date": "2027-11-14", "type": "deadline", "text": "All landlords actively letting property due to be registered", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [ { "date": "2026-10-08", "path": "versions[0].parameters.cost_note", "was": "No costing published. Under the draft regulations, a fee must be paid to make or renew (every 12 months) each dwelling entry, and in some cases to reactivate one; the database operator sets the fee by reference to its relevant costs (draft regulations 6(5), 10(2), 12(5) and 14).", "now": "The government has not published what the register costs the public purse. Its 2024 impact assessment lists a government grant to set up the database without a figure, and says the database will eventually pay for itself through registration fees. The fee is now £65 a year per property, and the law lets it cover running the database and enforcing the rules. The 2026 regulations came without a new impact assessment.", "reason": "The note said only that no costing was published. It now says what the government's impact assessment does say: an uncosted upfront grant, paid back over time by landlord fees.", "source_url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/67405a2353373262c0d825c5/Renters__Rights_Bill_Impact_assessment.pdf" }, { "date": "2026-10-08", "path": "versions[0].parameters.cost_sources", "was": [ { "title": "Draft Private Rented Sector Database Regulations 2026, legislation.gov.uk", "url": "https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukdsi/2026/9780348286861/contents" } ], "now": [ { "title": "Draft Private Rented Sector Database Regulations 2026, legislation.gov.uk", "url": "https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukdsi/2026/9780348286861/contents" }, { "title": "MHCLG: Renters' Rights Bill impact assessment (22 Nov 2024), paragraph 115 and Annex 3", "url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/67405a2353373262c0d825c5/Renters__Rights_Bill_Impact_assessment.pdf" }, { "title": "MHCLG: Explanatory memorandum to the draft Private Rented Sector Database Regulations 2026", "url": "https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukdsi/2026/9780348286861/memorandum/contents" }, { "title": "MHCLG Housing Hub: Get ready to register (the £65 fee)", "url": "https://housinghub.campaign.gov.uk/renting-is-changing/get-ready-to-register/" } ], "reason": "The note said only that no costing was published. It now says what the government's impact assessment does say: an uncosted upfront grant, paid back over time by landlord fees.", "source_url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/67405a2353373262c0d825c5/Renters__Rights_Bill_Impact_assessment.pdf" } ], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-mayors-16-19-budget-2026", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-mayors-16-19-budget-2026", "headline": "Give mayors control of the 16-19 education budget", "actor_id": "lucy-powell", "actor_name": "Lucy Powell", "party_id": "labour", "made_on": "2026-09-09", "venue": "parliament", "venue_label": "Commons statement", "policy_area": "education", "status": "promised", "status_label": "Promised", "status_note": "No start date was given in the statement. The Cabinet's Rewiring the State statement (31 July 2026) lists mayors' control of the budget for 16- to 19-year-olds among the agreed reforms and says a white paper this autumn will set out a timetable for implementation.", "deadline": null, "outcome_by": "hm-government", "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "llm_intake", "text": "For the first time, mayors will have control of the 16-19 education budget, and I know that, in respect of early years and early intervention, we can transform outcomes through the power of place.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://hansard.parliament.uk/Commons/2026-09-09/debates/5464194E-3C69-4173-B4BA-5F57B9F7B471/EducationAndSkillsReform", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-07", "quote_licence": "Open Parliament Licence v3.0", "who": "Mayors of strategic authorities in England, who would control 16-19 education funding in their areas, and 16- to 19-year-olds in education there", "when": "Not stated. The Cabinet's Rewiring the State statement says a white paper in autumn 2026 will set out the timetable.", "funded_by": null, "cost": null, "sources": [ { "title": "Hansard, House of Commons, 9 Sep 2026: Education and Skills Reform", "url": "https://hansard.parliament.uk/Commons/2026-09-09/debates/5464194E-3C69-4173-B4BA-5F57B9F7B471/EducationAndSkillsReform", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Cabinet Office, 31 Jul 2026: Rewiring the State – Cabinet Statement", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/rewiring-the-state-cabinet-statement/rewiring-the-state-cabinet-statement-html", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "No 10 press release, 30 Jul 2026: PM hands mayors share of income tax to make lives better in every postcode", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/pm-hands-mayors-share-of-income-tax-to-make-lives-better-in-every-postcode", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "DfE press release, 10 Sep 2026: Local leaders have say on reforms to prepare youngsters for work", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/local-leaders-have-say-on-reforms-to-prepare-youngsters-for-work", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "For the first time, mayors will have control of the 16-19 education budget, and I know that, in respect of early years and early intervention, we can transform outcomes through the power of place.", "recorded_on": "2026-09-09", "source_url": "https://hansard.parliament.uk/Commons/2026-09-09/debates/5464194E-3C69-4173-B4BA-5F57B9F7B471/EducationAndSkillsReform", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-07", "cost": null } ], "events": [ { "date": "2026-09-09", "type": "promised", "text": "Lucy Powell tells the Commons that mayors will control the 16-19 education budget for the first time", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [ { "date": "2026-10-08", "path": "versions[0].parameters.cost_note", "was": "No costing published. The pledge moves control of existing 16-19 education funding from central government to mayors. No official figure has been published for how much of that budget would be devolved, or for any change in total spending. DfE describes it as the devolution of \"billions of pounds of funding for 16 to 19-year-olds\".", "now": "No cost of its own: the pledge hands mayors control of money the Department for Education already spends, and no costing has been published. For scale only, England's whole 16-19 budget is nearly £9 billion in the 2026/27 academic year, but the government has not said how much of it would pass to mayors. DfE describes it as the devolution of \"billions of pounds of funding for 16 to 19-year-olds\".", "reason": "The note now gives the size of the existing national 16-19 budget, from a ministerial answer, so readers can see the scale; it stays clear that this is money already spent, not a new cost.", "source_url": "https://questions-statements.parliament.uk/written-questions/detail/2026-04-10/125387" }, { "date": "2026-10-08", "path": "versions[0].parameters.cost_sources", "was": [ { "title": "DfE press release, 10 Sep 2026: Local leaders have say on reforms to prepare youngsters for work", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/local-leaders-have-say-on-reforms-to-prepare-youngsters-for-work" }, { "title": "Cabinet Office, 31 Jul 2026: Rewiring the State – Cabinet Statement", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/rewiring-the-state-cabinet-statement/rewiring-the-state-cabinet-statement-html" } ], "now": [ { "title": "DfE press release, 10 Sep 2026: Local leaders have say on reforms to prepare youngsters for work", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/local-leaders-have-say-on-reforms-to-prepare-youngsters-for-work" }, { "title": "Cabinet Office, 31 Jul 2026: Rewiring the State – Cabinet Statement", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/rewiring-the-state-cabinet-statement/rewiring-the-state-cabinet-statement-html" }, { "title": "UK Parliament: written question 125387, Further Education: Finance (answered 20 Apr 2026)", "url": "https://questions-statements.parliament.uk/written-questions/detail/2026-04-10/125387" } ], "reason": "The note now gives the size of the existing national 16-19 budget, from a ministerial answer, so readers can see the scale; it stays clear that this is money already spent, not a new cost.", "source_url": "https://questions-statements.parliament.uk/written-questions/detail/2026-04-10/125387" } ], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-mental-health-strategy-2026", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-mental-health-strategy-2026", "headline": "Present a mental health strategy before Christmas", "actor_id": "andy-burnham", "actor_name": "Andy Burnham", "party_id": "labour", "made_on": "2026-09-09", "venue": "parliament", "venue_label": "Prime Minister's Questions", "policy_area": "health", "status": "promised", "status_label": "Promised", "status_note": "\"Before Christmas\" is recorded as a deadline of 24 December 2026. DHSC opened a call for evidence for a cross-government mental health strategy for England on 15 May 2026; no strategy had been published by 7 October 2026.", "deadline": "2026-12-24", "outcome_by": "hm-government", "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "llm_intake", "text": "This will all be considered as part of a mental health strategy that will come before this House before Christmas.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://hansard.parliament.uk/Commons/2026-09-09/debates/C226C460-61AA-49F3-BBE8-1219B334BEDC/Engagements", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-07", "quote_licence": "Open Parliament Licence v3.0", "who": "Children and adults in England who need mental health support (DHSC's May 2026 call for evidence is for a mental health strategy for England). The question was about mental health in-patient beds in Hertfordshire and patients sent far from home.", "when": "Before Christmas 2026", "funded_by": null, "cost": null, "sources": [ { "title": "Hansard, House of Commons, 9 Sep 2026: Engagements (Prime Minister's Questions)", "url": "https://hansard.parliament.uk/Commons/2026-09-09/debates/C226C460-61AA-49F3-BBE8-1219B334BEDC/Engagements", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "DHSC call for evidence, 15 May 2026: Informing the mental health strategy for England", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/calls-for-evidence/informing-the-mental-health-strategy-for-england", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "This will all be considered as part of a mental health strategy that will come before this House before Christmas.", "recorded_on": "2026-09-09", "source_url": "https://hansard.parliament.uk/Commons/2026-09-09/debates/C226C460-61AA-49F3-BBE8-1219B334BEDC/Engagements", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-07", "cost": null } ], "events": [ { "date": "2026-09-09", "type": "promised", "text": "The Prime Minister tells the Commons a mental health strategy will come before the House before Christmas", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false }, { "date": "2026-12-24", "type": "deadline", "text": "Strategy due before the House before Christmas (editorial date)", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [ { "date": "2026-10-08", "path": "versions[0].parameters.cost_note", "was": "No costing published.", "now": "No separate cost: presenting a strategy costs nothing of its own, and no costing had been published by 8 October 2026. For context only: the Department of Health and Social Care says NHS mental health spending in England is forecast to reach a record £16.1 billion in 2026-27. That is the whole NHS mental health budget, not money for this promise.", "reason": "The note said only that no costing was published. It now says why the promise has no separate cost and gives the wider NHS mental health budget for context, labelled as such.", "source_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/calls-for-evidence/informing-the-mental-health-strategy-for-england/informing-the-mental-health-strategy-for-england-call-for-evidence-document" }, { "date": "2026-10-08", "path": "versions[0].parameters.cost_sources", "was": null, "now": [ { "title": "DHSC: Informing the mental health strategy for England, call for evidence (15 May 2026)", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/calls-for-evidence/informing-the-mental-health-strategy-for-england/informing-the-mental-health-strategy-for-england-call-for-evidence-document" } ], "reason": "The note said only that no costing was published. It now says why the promise has no separate cost and gives the wider NHS mental health budget for context, labelled as such.", "source_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/calls-for-evidence/informing-the-mental-health-strategy-for-england/informing-the-mental-health-strategy-for-england-call-for-evidence-document" } ], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-nhs-capital-1-5bn-2026", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-nhs-capital-1-5bn-2026", "headline": "Fund 10 major hospital projects and maintenance", "actor_id": "hm-government", "actor_name": "HM Government", "party_id": null, "made_on": "2026-09-09", "venue": "press_release", "venue_label": "Press release (DHSC)", "policy_area": "health", "status": "in_plan", "status_label": "In plan", "status_note": "On 11 September 2026 DHSC published the initial Estates Safety Fund allocations for 2026-27 to 2029-30, listed by NHS trust with the number of schemes and sites (about £1.3bn for more than 950 schemes). DHSC says these schemes are approved to proceed to detailed design and that final cost and scope are subject to business case approvals. The list gives totals by trust, not by project, so the 10 major projects (over £200m) named in the 9 September press release cannot be matched to it: Bristol Royal Infirmary (£41m), Royal Free Hospital, London (£32m), Stepping Hill Hospital, Stockport (£26m), Wycombe Hospital (£25m), St George’s Hospital, Stafford (£25m), John Howard Centre, London (£25m), Crystal Centre and Linden Centre, Essex (£15m), Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Gateshead (£12m), Lister Hospital, Hertfordshire (£11m) and Southend Hospital (£1m, to begin planning a replacement tower).", "deadline": null, "outcome_by": "hm-government", "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "llm_intake", "text": "Over £200 million will fund 10 major hospital projects, while over £1.3 billion will go towards maintenance, safety and resilience improvements.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/over-15-billion-to-help-nhs-withstand-year-round-pressure", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-07", "quote_licence": "Open Government Licence v3.0", "who": "NHS hospitals and other NHS facilities in England, and their patients and staff: 10 major projects and more than 950 maintenance, safety and resilience schemes", "when": "Allocations cover the financial years 2026-27 to 2029-30; no completion dates are given for the projects", "funded_by": "The £6.75 billion Estates Safety Fund, which DHSC describes as \"part of the government’s record capital budget for health\"", "cost": null, "sources": [ { "title": "DHSC press release, 9 Sep 2026: Over £1.5 billion to help NHS withstand year-round pressure", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/over-15-billion-to-help-nhs-withstand-year-round-pressure", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "DHSC, 11 Sep 2026: Estates Safety Fund: initial schemes and associated funding allocations, 2026 to 2030", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/estates-safety-fund-initial-schemes-and-associated-funding-allocations-2026-to-2030", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "Over £200 million will fund 10 major hospital projects, while over £1.3 billion will go towards maintenance, safety and resilience improvements.", "recorded_on": "2026-09-09", "source_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/over-15-billion-to-help-nhs-withstand-year-round-pressure", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-07", "cost": null } ], "events": [ { "date": "2026-09-09", "type": "promised", "text": "DHSC announces over £1.5bn for NHS buildings: over £200m for 10 major hospital projects and over £1.3bn for maintenance, safety and resilience improvements", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false }, { "date": "2026-09-11", "type": "in_plan", "text": "DHSC publishes the initial Estates Safety Fund allocations for 2026-27 to 2029-30: about £1.3bn for more than 950 schemes, given as totals by NHS trust rather than by project", "evidence_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/estates-safety-fund-initial-schemes-and-associated-funding-allocations-2026-to-2030", "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-send-inclusion-standards-2026", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-send-inclusion-standards-2026", "headline": "Publish national inclusion standards for SEND", "actor_id": "lucy-powell", "actor_name": "Lucy Powell", "party_id": "labour", "made_on": "2026-09-09", "venue": "parliament", "venue_label": "Commons statement", "policy_area": "education", "status": "promised", "status_label": "Promised", "status_note": "No date was given: the standards are to be published alongside any SEND legislation or further steps, and in the same statement Lucy Powell said the government will introduce SEND legislation \"in due course\". The schools white paper Every child achieving and thriving (23 February 2026) sets out National Inclusion Standards and says they should guide how schools meet children's needs by 2028.", "deadline": null, "outcome_by": "hm-government", "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "llm_intake", "text": "We are developing national inclusion standards, which we will publish alongside any legislation or further steps we take on SEND.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://hansard.parliament.uk/Commons/2026-09-09/debates/5464194E-3C69-4173-B4BA-5F57B9F7B471/EducationAndSkillsReform", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-07", "quote_licence": "Open Parliament Licence v3.0", "who": "Children and young people with special educational needs and disabilities (SEND) in England, their families, and the schools that support them", "when": "Not stated; alongside any SEND legislation or further steps on SEND. The schools white paper says the standards should guide schools by 2028.", "funded_by": null, "cost": null, "sources": [ { "title": "Hansard, House of Commons, 9 Sep 2026: Education and Skills Reform", "url": "https://hansard.parliament.uk/Commons/2026-09-09/debates/5464194E-3C69-4173-B4BA-5F57B9F7B471/EducationAndSkillsReform", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "DfE schools white paper, 23 Feb 2026: Every child achieving and thriving", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/every-child-achieving-and-thriving/every-child-achieving-and-thriving-html-version", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "We are developing national inclusion standards, which we will publish alongside any legislation or further steps we take on SEND.", "recorded_on": "2026-09-09", "source_url": "https://hansard.parliament.uk/Commons/2026-09-09/debates/5464194E-3C69-4173-B4BA-5F57B9F7B471/EducationAndSkillsReform", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-07", "cost": null } ], "events": [ { "date": "2026-09-09", "type": "promised", "text": "Lucy Powell tells the Commons that national inclusion standards will be published alongside any SEND legislation or further steps", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-socio-economic-duty-2026", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-socio-economic-duty-2026", "headline": "Enact the Socio-Economic Duty", "actor_id": "bridget-phillipson", "actor_name": "Bridget Phillipson", "party_id": "labour", "made_on": "2026-09-09", "venue": "parliament", "venue_label": "Written ministerial statement", "policy_area": "social_protection", "status": "promised", "status_label": "Promised", "status_note": "The duty is section 1 of the Equality Act 2010, in force in Scotland since 1 April 2018 and in Wales since 31 March 2021 but never commenced in England; legislation.gov.uk lists no commencement for England, and no date had been announced by 7 October 2026. The same statement announced the closure of the Social Mobility Commission, to be achieved through primary legislation \"when Parliamentary time and consideration allows\".", "deadline": null, "outcome_by": "hm-government", "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "llm_intake", "text": "Crucially, the unit will lead the enactment of the Socio-Economic Duty, a new power in the Equality Act that will legally require public bodies to consider how to improve the lives of lower-income families as part of decisions around issues like transport, services and budgets.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://questions-statements.parliament.uk/written-statements/detail/2026-09-09/HCWS322", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-07", "quote_licence": "Open Parliament Licence v3.0", "who": "Public bodies in England covered by section 1 of the Equality Act 2010, which would have to consider reducing inequalities of outcome from socio-economic disadvantage in strategic decisions; lower-income families", "when": "Not stated. A government press release the same day calls it one of the new Class Unit's early priorities.", "funded_by": null, "cost": null, "sources": [ { "title": "Written ministerial statement HCWS322, 9 Sep 2026: Driving Opportunity in Every Postcode", "url": "https://questions-statements.parliament.uk/written-statements/detail/2026-09-09/HCWS322", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Office for Equality and Opportunity press release, 9 Sep 2026: Time to end class squeamishness", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/time-to-end-class-squeamishness-first-government-unit-to-improve-life-chances-for-working-class", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Equality Act 2010, section 1 (public sector duty regarding socio-economic inequalities), legislation.gov.uk", "url": "https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2010/15/section/1", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "Crucially, the unit will lead the enactment of the Socio-Economic Duty, a new power in the Equality Act that will legally require public bodies to consider how to improve the lives of lower-income families as part of decisions around issues like transport, services and budgets.", "recorded_on": "2026-09-09", "source_url": "https://questions-statements.parliament.uk/written-statements/detail/2026-09-09/HCWS322", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-07", "cost": null } ], "events": [ { "date": "2026-09-09", "type": "promised", "text": "Bridget Phillipson tells Parliament a new Class Unit will lead the enactment of the socio-economic duty in the Equality Act 2010", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [ { "date": "2026-10-08", "path": "versions[0].parameters.cost_note", "was": "No costing published.", "now": "Too small to show in billions. The only official costing is the 2009 Equality Bill impact assessment: about £187,000 a year across 695 public bodies in England and Wales, plus about £468,000 once, almost all staff time. It uses 2008 pay rates, and the government has published no new costing for bringing the duty into force in England.", "reason": "The note said only that no costing was published. An official costing exists, from 2009, and shows the cost is negligible; the note now gives it.", "source_url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/5a7c7cf4ed915d6969f4538c/9780108508677.pdf" }, { "date": "2026-10-08", "path": "versions[0].parameters.cost_sources", "was": null, "now": [ { "title": "Government Equalities Office: Equality Bill impact assessment, version 3 (Nov 2009), Annex A", "url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/5a7c7cf4ed915d6969f4538c/9780108508677.pdf" } ], "reason": "The note said only that no costing was published. An official costing exists, from 2009, and shows the cost is negligible; the note now gives it.", "source_url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/5a7c7cf4ed915d6969f4538c/9780108508677.pdf" } ], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-reform-energy-bills-250-2026", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-reform-energy-bills-250-2026", "headline": "Cut energy bills by over £250 a year", "actor_id": "reform-uk", "actor_name": "Reform UK", "party_id": "reform-uk", "made_on": "2026-09-05", "venue": null, "venue_label": "The First 100 Days: Our Pledges to You, page 8", "policy_area": "economic_affairs", "status": "promised", "status_label": "Promised", "status_note": "Reform UK is not in government, so the card stays at Promised. The VAT part overlaps with the government's own cut: domestic electricity has been zero-rated in Great Britain since 1 October 2026 (see the card \"Cut taxes on energy bills\").", "deadline": null, "outcome_by": null, "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "manual", "text": "In total, our plan will remove over £250 per year from energy bills, through removing government policy costs from electricity and gas bills, scrapping carbon taxes on generators and permanently taking VAT off of consumer energy bills.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://www.reformparty.uk/policies/the-first-100-days-our-pledges-to-you/pdf", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-08", "quote_licence": "Quoted for reporting; rights stay with the publisher", "who": "Households paying gas and electricity bills. Gas generators would stop paying carbon taxes, and four schemes now charged on bills would be paid by the Treasury instead.", "when": "\"A Reform Government would take these measures within 100 days of taking office.\"", "funded_by": "Previously announced savings: £52bn a year from the Making Welfare Work programme by the end of the next Parliament, £7bn from eliminating most foreign aid, £10bn from cutting net zero programmes and £7bn from shrinking the government by the end of the next Parliament, plus immigration-related savings (the party lists £91bn of itemised savings and new revenue against £58bn of costs).", "cost": { "low": 8.9, "central": 9.9, "high": 10.9, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Year shown: the fifth year, the latest year Reform UK costed. The party's own figure is £9.9bn by the fifth year: £2.1bn from removing VAT, £4.8bn from removing energy taxes, and the rest from moving scheme costs onto the Treasury. No independent costing was found on 8 Oct 2026. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "sources": [ { "title": "Reform UK: The First 100 Days, Costings (PDF)", "url": "https://www.reformparty.uk/policies/the-first-100-days-our-pledges-to-you/pdf" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "party", "name": "Reform UK" } }, "sources": [ { "title": "Reform UK: The First 100 Days: Our Pledges to You (PDF), September 2026", "url": "https://www.reformparty.uk/policies/the-first-100-days-our-pledges-to-you/pdf", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "ITV News: Reform launching its conference with pledges for first 100 days in government (3 Sep 2026)", "url": "https://www.itv.com/news/2026-09-03/reform-launching-its-conference-with-pledges-for-first-100-days-in-government", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "In total, our plan will remove over £250 per year from energy bills, through removing government policy costs from electricity and gas bills, scrapping carbon taxes on generators and permanently taking VAT off of consumer energy bills.", "recorded_on": "2026-09-05", "source_url": "https://www.reformparty.uk/policies/the-first-100-days-our-pledges-to-you/pdf", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-08", "cost": { "low": 8.9, "central": 9.9, "high": 10.9, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Year shown: the fifth year, the latest year Reform UK costed. The party's own figure is £9.9bn by the fifth year: £2.1bn from removing VAT, £4.8bn from removing energy taxes, and the rest from moving scheme costs onto the Treasury. No independent costing was found on 8 Oct 2026. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "sources": [ { "title": "Reform UK: The First 100 Days, Costings (PDF)", "url": "https://www.reformparty.uk/policies/the-first-100-days-our-pledges-to-you/pdf" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "party", "name": "Reform UK" } } } ], "events": [ { "date": "2026-09-05", "type": "promised", "text": "Reform UK publishes its First 100 Days document at its conference, pledging to cut energy bills by over £250 a year", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-reform-personal-allowance-15k-2026", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-reform-personal-allowance-15k-2026", "headline": "Raise the personal allowance to £15,000", "actor_id": "reform-uk", "actor_name": "Reform UK", "party_id": "reform-uk", "made_on": "2026-09-05", "venue": null, "venue_label": "The First 100 Days: Our Pledges to You, page 12", "policy_area": "taxes", "status": "promised", "status_label": "Promised", "status_note": "Reform UK is not in government, so the card stays at Promised. This pledge replaces the party's 2024 aim of a £20,000 allowance, which it said in November 2025 it was no longer committed to; the same document keeps £20,000 as a long-term ambition.", "deadline": null, "outcome_by": null, "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "manual", "text": "The first Budget of a Reform government will increase the tax-free personal allowance for income tax to £15,000, beginning at the next tax year.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://www.reformparty.uk/policies/the-first-100-days-our-pledges-to-you/pdf", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-06", "quote_licence": "Quoted for reporting; rights stay with the publisher", "who": "Income taxpayers earning under £100,000 (the party says about 40 million, with 2.9 million taken out of income tax). The higher-rate threshold stays at £50,270 and the taper above £100,000 is kept.", "when": "In the first Budget of a Reform government, pledged within its first 100 days; takes effect at the start of the next tax year", "funded_by": "Previously announced savings: £52bn a year from the Making Welfare Work programme by the end of the next Parliament, £7bn from eliminating most foreign aid, £10bn from cutting net zero programmes and £7bn from shrinking the government by the end of the next Parliament, plus immigration-related savings (the party lists £91bn of itemised savings and new revenue against £58bn of costs).", "cost": { "low": 19, "central": 21.1, "high": 23.2, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Year shown: the fifth year, the latest year Reform UK costed. The party's own costing, including a behavioural adjustment, is £17.7bn in the first year (2026-27 incomes), rising to £21.1bn by the fifth year (central). No independent costing of the £15,000 pledge was found on 6 Oct 2026; an editor should add one when published. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "sources": [ { "title": "Reform UK: The First 100 Days, Costings (pages 13-14)", "url": "https://www.reformparty.uk/policies/the-first-100-days-our-pledges-to-you/pdf" }, { "title": "BBC News, 5 Sep 2026", "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cgk5g51xk57o" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "party", "name": "Reform UK" } }, "sources": [ { "title": "Reform UK: The First 100 Days: Our Pledges to You (PDF), September 2026", "url": "https://www.reformparty.uk/policies/the-first-100-days-our-pledges-to-you/pdf", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "BBC News: Reform promises to increase tax-free personal allowance to £15,000, 5 Sep 2026", "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cgk5g51xk57o", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Chartered Institute of Taxation: Reform UK Conference 2026 report", "url": "https://www.tax.org.uk/reform-uk-conference-2026-tax-policy", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "The first Budget of a Reform government will increase the tax-free personal allowance for income tax to £15,000, beginning at the next tax year.", "recorded_on": "2026-09-05", "source_url": "https://www.reformparty.uk/policies/the-first-100-days-our-pledges-to-you/pdf", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-06", "cost": { "low": 19, "central": 21.1, "high": 23.2, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Year shown: the fifth year, the latest year Reform UK costed. The party's own costing, including a behavioural adjustment, is £17.7bn in the first year (2026-27 incomes), rising to £21.1bn by the fifth year (central). No independent costing of the £15,000 pledge was found on 6 Oct 2026; an editor should add one when published. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "sources": [ { "title": "Reform UK: The First 100 Days, Costings (pages 13-14)", "url": "https://www.reformparty.uk/policies/the-first-100-days-our-pledges-to-you/pdf" }, { "title": "BBC News, 5 Sep 2026", "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cgk5g51xk57o" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "party", "name": "Reform UK" } } } ], "events": [ { "date": "2026-09-05", "type": "promised", "text": "Robert Jenrick announces the £15,000 allowance at Reform UK's conference; the party publishes its First 100 Days document", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [ { "date": "2026-10-06", "path": "versions[0].parameters.how_much_bn_per_year", "was": [ 17.7, 17.7, 21.1 ], "now": [ 19, 21.1, 23.2 ], "reason": "The range ran from the first-year cost to the fifth-year cost (a time profile). Cards show one year: the party's fifth-year figure, with an editorial ±10% because the party gives a central figure only.", "source_url": "https://www.reformparty.uk/policies/the-first-100-days-our-pledges-to-you/pdf" }, { "date": "2026-10-06", "path": "versions[0].parameters.cost_note", "was": "Reform UK's own costing: £17.7bn in the first year (low and central) and £21.1bn by the fifth year (high), including a behavioural adjustment. No independent costing of the £15,000 pledge was found on 6 Oct 2026; an editor should add one when published.", "now": "Year shown: the fifth year, the latest year Reform UK costed. The party's own costing, including a behavioural adjustment, is £17.7bn in the first year (2026-27 incomes), rising to £21.1bn by the fifth year (central). No independent costing of the £15,000 pledge was found on 6 Oct 2026; an editor should add one when published. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "reason": "The note used the first-year and fifth-year costs as the ends of a range. It now gives the year shown, the editorial ±10% and the two costs as a time profile.", "source_url": "https://www.reformparty.uk/policies/the-first-100-days-our-pledges-to-you/pdf" }, { "date": "2026-10-06", "path": "versions[0].parameters.funded_by", "was": "Previously announced savings: £52bn a year from the Making Welfare Work programme, £7bn from eliminating most foreign aid, £10bn from cutting net zero programmes and £7bn from shrinking the government, plus immigration-related savings (the party lists £91bn of itemised savings and new revenue against £58bn of costs).", "now": "Previously announced savings: £52bn a year from the Making Welfare Work programme by the end of the next Parliament, £7bn from eliminating most foreign aid, £10bn from cutting net zero programmes and £7bn from shrinking the government by the end of the next Parliament, plus immigration-related savings (the party lists £91bn of itemised savings and new revenue against £58bn of costs).", "reason": "The entry left out when the savings arrive. The party's costings give the £52bn welfare and £7bn government savings as amounts by the end of the next Parliament.", "source_url": "https://www.reformparty.uk/policies/the-first-100-days-our-pledges-to-you/pdf" } ], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-disabled-bus-pass-2026", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-disabled-bus-pass-2026", "headline": "Free unlimited bus travel for disabled people", "actor_id": "andy-burnham", "actor_name": "Andy Burnham", "party_id": "labour", "made_on": "2026-08-18", "venue": "press_release", "venue_label": "No 10, DfT and DWP press release", "policy_area": "economic_affairs", "status": "promised", "status_label": "Promised", "status_note": "Announced with £60m from existing DWP and DfT budgets, to start on 1 April 2027. No plan, legislation or funding allocation has been published since, so the card stays at Promised.", "deadline": "2027-04-01", "outcome_by": "hm-government", "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "manual", "text": "Disabled people will now have unlimited free bus travel 24/7.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/free-bus-travel-247-for-disabled-people-as-prime-minister-takes-further-action-to-ease-cost-of-living", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-06", "quote_licence": "Open Government Licence v3.0", "who": "Holders of a disabled person's bus pass in England", "when": "2027-04-01", "funded_by": "£60m from existing DWP (£40m) and DfT (£20m) budgets", "cost": null, "sources": [ { "title": "Press release, 18 Aug 2026: Free bus travel 24/7 for disabled people", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/free-bus-travel-247-for-disabled-people-as-prime-minister-takes-further-action-to-ease-cost-of-living", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "Disabled people will now have unlimited free bus travel 24/7.", "recorded_on": "2026-08-18", "source_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/free-bus-travel-247-for-disabled-people-as-prime-minister-takes-further-action-to-ease-cost-of-living", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-06", "cost": null } ], "events": [ { "date": "2026-08-18", "type": "promised", "text": "PM announces that time limits on disabled people's bus passes in England will be lifted from 1 April 2027", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false }, { "date": "2027-04-01", "type": "deadline", "text": "Due to start", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-mayors-income-tax-2026", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-mayors-income-tax-2026", "headline": "Give every mayor a share of income tax", "actor_id": "hm-government", "actor_name": "HM Government", "party_id": null, "made_on": "2026-07-31", "venue": "press_release", "venue_label": "Cabinet statement: Rewiring the State", "policy_area": "general_services", "status": "promised", "status_label": "Promised", "status_note": "The Chancellor has said he will set out a roadmap to fiscal devolution at the Budget on 28 October 2026. The Cabinet statement says detailed arrangements will be confirmed at the upcoming Spending Review, with income tax receipts kept locally from April 2028.", "deadline": "2028-04-01", "outcome_by": "hm-government", "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "manual", "text": "We have therefore agreed to overhaul the way regional government is funded, starting by replacing grants from central government with a share of local income tax for every mayor beginning in 2028, such that where a region grows its tax base, it benefits from the increased receipts.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/rewiring-the-state-cabinet-statement/rewiring-the-state-cabinet-statement-html", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-08", "quote_licence": "Open Government Licence v3.0", "who": "Every mayor in England and the people their strategic authorities serve", "when": "Income tax receipts kept locally from April 2028; a roadmap at the Budget on 28 October 2026", "funded_by": "\"replacing grants from central government with a share of local income tax\"", "cost": null, "sources": [ { "title": "Cabinet Office: Rewiring the State – Cabinet Statement (31 Jul 2026)", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/rewiring-the-state-cabinet-statement/rewiring-the-state-cabinet-statement-html", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "No 10: PM hands mayors share of income tax to make lives better in every postcode (30 Jul 2026)", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/pm-hands-mayors-share-of-income-tax-to-make-lives-better-in-every-postcode", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "HM Treasury: Chancellor John Healey's Growth Speech 2026 (7 Sep 2026)", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/speeches/chancellor-john-healeys-growth-speech-2026", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "UK Parliament: Written statement HCWS330, Fiscal Devolution in England (10 Sep 2026)", "url": "https://questions-statements.parliament.uk/written-statements/detail/2026-09-10/HCWS330", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "We have therefore agreed to overhaul the way regional government is funded, starting by replacing grants from central government with a share of local income tax for every mayor beginning in 2028, such that where a region grows its tax base, it benefits from the increased receipts.", "recorded_on": "2026-07-31", "source_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/rewiring-the-state-cabinet-statement/rewiring-the-state-cabinet-statement-html", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-08", "cost": null } ], "events": [ { "date": "2026-07-31", "type": "promised", "text": "The Cabinet agrees to give every mayor a share of local income tax from 2028, in place of central grants", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false }, { "date": "2028-04-01", "type": "deadline", "text": "Income tax receipts due to be kept locally", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-pubs-business-rates-cut-2026", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-pubs-business-rates-cut-2026", "headline": "Cut business rates 20% for pubs and venues", "actor_id": "hm-government", "actor_name": "HM Government", "party_id": null, "made_on": "2026-07-23", "venue": "press_release", "venue_label": "Press release from No 10, HM Treasury and the business department", "policy_area": "taxes", "status": "promised", "status_label": "Promised", "status_note": "The cut applies to bills from April 2027. The government says details of the exclusion for the very largest live music venues will be set out at the Budget, and the Chancellor told the Commons on 8 September 2026 that he would set out more details of business rates reform there.", "deadline": "2027-04-01", "outcome_by": "hm-government", "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "manual", "text": "Pubs, clubs and live music venues set to receive a 20% cut to their business rates bills saving the typical pub an estimated £1,100 next year", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/burnham-means-business-pm-slashes-business-rates-bills-for-pubs-clubs-and-live-music-venues", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-08", "quote_licence": "Open Government Licence v3.0", "who": "Nearly 32,000 pubs, clubs and live music venues in England (the very largest live music venues excluded)", "when": "Business rates bills from April 2027; no end date given", "funded_by": "\"Today’s changes will be fully funded, including through reviewing reliefs for businesses that do not make a positive contribution to local communities, such as vape shops.\"", "cost": { "low": 0.09, "central": 0.1, "high": 0.11, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Year shown: 2027-28, the first year of the cut. The government says the package is worth around £100 million a year. No independent costing has been published. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "sources": [ { "title": "No 10, HM Treasury and DBT press release (23 Jul 2026)", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/burnham-means-business-pm-slashes-business-rates-bills-for-pubs-clubs-and-live-music-venues" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "official", "name": "No 10" } }, "sources": [ { "title": "No 10, HM Treasury and DBT: Burnham means business: PM slashes business rates bills for pubs, clubs and live music venues (23 Jul 2026)", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/burnham-means-business-pm-slashes-business-rates-bills-for-pubs-clubs-and-live-music-venues", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "HM Treasury: Treasury to call time on uncertainty for pubs and hotels (24 Aug 2026)", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/treasury-to-call-time-on-uncertainty-for-pubs-and-hotels", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Hansard (Commons): High Street Renewal (8 Sep 2026)", "url": "https://hansard.parliament.uk/Commons/2026-09-08/debates/316E8598-025F-4C1E-B595-1D7CBC383C7C/HighStreetRenewal", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "Pubs, clubs and live music venues set to receive a 20% cut to their business rates bills saving the typical pub an estimated £1,100 next year", "recorded_on": "2026-07-23", "source_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/burnham-means-business-pm-slashes-business-rates-bills-for-pubs-clubs-and-live-music-venues", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-08", "cost": { "low": 0.09, "central": 0.1, "high": 0.11, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Year shown: 2027-28, the first year of the cut. The government says the package is worth around £100 million a year. No independent costing has been published. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "sources": [ { "title": "No 10, HM Treasury and DBT press release (23 Jul 2026)", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/burnham-means-business-pm-slashes-business-rates-bills-for-pubs-clubs-and-live-music-venues" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "official", "name": "No 10" } } } ], "events": [ { "date": "2026-07-23", "type": "promised", "text": "The government announces a 20% business rates cut for pubs, clubs and live music venues in England", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false }, { "date": "2027-04-01", "type": "deadline", "text": "Due to apply to bills", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-bus-cap-2-2026", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-bus-cap-2-2026", "headline": "Cap bus fares at £2", "actor_id": "andy-burnham", "actor_name": "Andy Burnham", "party_id": "labour", "made_on": "2026-07-22", "venue": "press_release", "venue_label": "Government announcement", "policy_area": "economic_affairs", "status": "in_plan", "status_label": "In plan", "status_note": "Funding was named when it was announced, but it is not yet in an Estimates line. A promise counts as funded only once a Budget, Spending Review or Estimates allocates the money, so this card stays at In plan. Earlier caps for context: a £2 cap ran in England outside London from January 2023 under the previous government; it rose to £3 in January 2025, and Spending Review 2025 (11 June 2025) extended the £3 cap to March 2027 (sources below).", "deadline": "2027-01-01", "outcome_by": "hm-government", "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "manual", "text": "I’ve done it before and I will do it again now: a £2 cap on bus fares for millions across the country.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/cheaper-travel-for-millions-with-a-third-off-fares", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-06", "quote_licence": "Open Government Licence v3.0", "who": "Bus passengers on participating services in England outside London", "when": "1 January to 31 December 2027", "funded_by": "An extra £454m (including funding for devolved governments) from a reprioritisation of DESNZ’s budget, switching funding that had been set aside for international climate finance projects into loans", "cost": { "low": 0.36, "central": 0.4, "high": 0.44, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Year shown: 2027, the only year of the cap (1 January to 31 December 2027); central figure only. The government says the cap is backed by £400m of extra funding. Its press release puts the total at £454m including funding for the devolved governments, paid through the Barnett formula. Neither source says whether the £400m is the full cost of the cap or the extra over the £3 cap it replaces, and no independent costing has been published. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "sources": [ { "title": "Written statement to Parliament: £2 bus fares from January 2027", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/speeches/2-bus-fares-from-january-2027" }, { "title": "Press release: Cheaper travel for millions with a third off fares", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/cheaper-travel-for-millions-with-a-third-off-fares" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "official", "name": "Department for Transport" } }, "sources": [ { "title": "No 10, HM Treasury and DfT press release: Cheaper travel for millions with a third off fares, 22 Jul 2026", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/cheaper-travel-for-millions-with-a-third-off-fares", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Written statement to Parliament: £2 bus fares from January 2027, 22 Jul 2026", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/speeches/2-bus-fares-from-january-2027", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "DfT guidance: £3 national bus fare cap (updated 22 Jul 2026 with the £2 cap for 2027)", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/guidance/3-national-bus-fare-cap", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Spending Review 2025 (HM Treasury)", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/spending-review-2025-document/spending-review-2025-html", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "DfT news, 1 Jan 2025: £3 national bus fare cap starts", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/bus-passengers-to-save-hundreds-as-government-prevents-cliff-edge-fare-hike", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "DfT news, 1 Jan 2023: £2 bus tickets for thousands of routes", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/new-year-cheer-2-bus-tickets-for-thousands-of-routes", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "I’ve done it before and I will do it again now: a £2 cap on bus fares for millions across the country.", "recorded_on": "2026-07-22", "source_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/cheaper-travel-for-millions-with-a-third-off-fares", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-06", "cost": { "low": 0.36, "central": 0.4, "high": 0.44, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Year shown: 2027, the only year of the cap (1 January to 31 December 2027); central figure only. The government says the cap is backed by £400m of extra funding. Its press release puts the total at £454m including funding for the devolved governments, paid through the Barnett formula. Neither source says whether the £400m is the full cost of the cap or the extra over the £3 cap it replaces, and no independent costing has been published. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "sources": [ { "title": "Written statement to Parliament: £2 bus fares from January 2027", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/speeches/2-bus-fares-from-january-2027" }, { "title": "Press release: Cheaper travel for millions with a third off fares", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/cheaper-travel-for-millions-with-a-third-off-fares" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "official", "name": "Department for Transport" } } } ], "events": [ { "date": "2026-07-22", "type": "promised", "text": "PM announces a £2 cap on single bus fares from 1 January to 31 December 2027, backed by £400m of extra funding", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false }, { "date": "2026-07-22", "type": "in_plan", "text": "Written statement to Parliament confirms the scheme and names the funding: £400m extra, from reprioritising DESNZ's budget", "evidence_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/speeches/2-bus-fares-from-january-2027", "auto": false }, { "date": "2027-01-01", "type": "deadline", "text": "Due to start", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-electricity-vat-2026", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-electricity-vat-2026", "headline": "Cut taxes on energy bills", "actor_id": "andy-burnham", "actor_name": "Andy Burnham", "party_id": "labour", "made_on": "2026-07-21", "venue": "press_release", "venue_label": "No 10 press release", "policy_area": "taxes", "status": "delivered", "status_label": "Delivered", "status_note": "A Treasury order made on 7 September 2026 zero-rates domestic electricity in Great Britain from 1 October 2026, and the government confirmed the cut took effect that day. The zero rate is temporary and ends on 31 March 2027; Northern Ireland gets comparable funding instead because EU VAT rules apply there.", "deadline": "2026-10-01", "outcome_by": "hm-government", "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "manual", "text": "We’re taking immediate action to cut taxes on energy bills, put more money in people’s pockets and bring back hope.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/new-pm-cuts-tax-on-household-electricity-bills-to-give-breathing-space-on-cost-of-living", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-06", "quote_licence": "Open Government Licence v3.0", "who": "Households in Great Britain paying for domestic electricity (VAT cut from 5% to 0%), plus eligible charities, care homes and non-VAT-registered small businesses that qualify for domestic energy VAT relief; Northern Ireland gets comparable funding instead", "when": "1 October 2026 to 31 March 2027", "funded_by": "Cancellation of the Digital ID programme (£1.8bn over the next three years)", "cost": { "low": 0.765, "central": 0.85, "high": 0.935, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Year shown: 2026-27, the only year of the measure, which covers six months (1 October 2026 to 31 March 2027); central figure only. Government estimate: around £850m, based on estimated electricity prices. There is no independent costing yet; the government says updated costs will be set out at the Budget. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "sources": [ { "title": "No 10 press release, 21 Jul 2026: New PM cuts tax on household electricity bills", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/new-pm-cuts-tax-on-household-electricity-bills-to-give-breathing-space-on-cost-of-living" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "official", "name": "No 10" } }, "sources": [ { "title": "No 10 press release, 21 Jul 2026: New PM cuts tax on household electricity bills", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/new-pm-cuts-tax-on-household-electricity-bills-to-give-breathing-space-on-cost-of-living", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "The Value Added Tax (Supplies of Domestic Electricity) Order 2026 (SI 2026/987)", "url": "https://www.legislation.gov.uk/uksi/2026/987/contents/made", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "GOV.UK news, 1 Oct 2026: Energy bill tax cut starts today", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/energy-bill-tax-cut-starts-today-to-give-families-breathing-space", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "We’re taking immediate action to cut taxes on energy bills, put more money in people’s pockets and bring back hope.", "recorded_on": "2026-07-21", "source_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/new-pm-cuts-tax-on-household-electricity-bills-to-give-breathing-space-on-cost-of-living", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-06", "cost": { "low": 0.765, "central": 0.85, "high": 0.935, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Year shown: 2026-27, the only year of the measure, which covers six months (1 October 2026 to 31 March 2027); central figure only. Government estimate: around £850m, based on estimated electricity prices. There is no independent costing yet; the government says updated costs will be set out at the Budget. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "sources": [ { "title": "No 10 press release, 21 Jul 2026: New PM cuts tax on household electricity bills", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/new-pm-cuts-tax-on-household-electricity-bills-to-give-breathing-space-on-cost-of-living" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "official", "name": "No 10" } } } ], "events": [ { "date": "2026-07-21", "type": "promised", "text": "PM announces VAT will be removed from household electricity bills from 1 October 2026", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false }, { "date": "2026-09-07", "type": "legislated", "text": "Treasury makes the order zero-rating domestic electricity from 1 October 2026 to 31 March 2027", "evidence_url": "https://www.legislation.gov.uk/uksi/2026/987/contents/made", "auto": false }, { "date": "2026-10-01", "type": "deadline", "text": "Due to start", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false }, { "date": "2026-10-01", "type": "delivered", "text": "Zero rate of VAT on domestic electricity in force", "evidence_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/energy-bill-tax-cut-starts-today-to-give-families-breathing-space", "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [ { "date": "2026-10-06", "path": "versions[0].parameters.who", "was": "Households in Great Britain paying for domestic electricity (VAT cut from 5% to 0%), plus eligible charities and care homes; Northern Ireland gets equivalent funding instead", "now": "Households in Great Britain paying for domestic electricity (VAT cut from 5% to 0%), plus eligible charities, care homes and non-VAT-registered small businesses that qualify for domestic energy VAT relief; Northern Ireland gets comparable funding instead", "reason": "The press release says Northern Ireland gets \"comparable\" funding, not \"equivalent\" funding. It also names small businesses that are not registered for VAT and qualify for domestic energy VAT relief, which the entry left out.", "source_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/new-pm-cuts-tax-on-household-electricity-bills-to-give-breathing-space-on-cost-of-living" } ], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-fiscal-rules-2026", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-fiscal-rules-2026", "headline": "Meet the fiscal rules, with a buffer", "actor_id": "john-healey", "actor_name": "John Healey", "party_id": "labour", "made_on": "2026-07-21", "venue": "speech", "venue_label": "Speech to Treasury staff", "policy_area": "general_services", "status": "promised", "status_label": "Promised", "status_note": "The test comes at the Budget on 28 October 2026, when the OBR judges whether the government's plans meet the rules in the Charter for Budget Responsibility. The Prime Minister repeated the commitment at Prime Minister's Questions on 2 September 2026, describing the debt rule as debt falling \"by the end of the Parliament\"; the Charter sets 2029-30.", "deadline": "2026-10-28", "outcome_by": "hm-government", "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "manual", "text": "We will meet the fiscal rules. And Andy Burnham and I have talked about how we will do that in lockstep, ensuring there’s a buffer also for uncertainty.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/speeches/chancellor-john-healey-delivers-speech-to-treasury-staff", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-08", "quote_licence": "Open Government Licence v3.0", "who": "Everyone in the UK, through the overall balance of taxes, spending and borrowing", "when": "Judged at the Budget on 28 October 2026", "funded_by": "Not a spending pledge", "cost": null, "sources": [ { "title": "HM Treasury: Chancellor John Healey delivers speech to Treasury staff (21 Jul 2026)", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/speeches/chancellor-john-healey-delivers-speech-to-treasury-staff", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "HM Treasury: Budget to move power and money out of Westminster, and into every postcode around Britain (31 Jul 2026)", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/budget-to-move-power-and-money-out-of-westminster-and-into-every-postcode-around-britain", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Hansard (Commons): Engagements, Prime Minister's Questions (2 Sep 2026)", "url": "https://hansard.parliament.uk/Commons/2026-09-02/debates/64E68DAF-DE26-43C9-A6E0-ED2ED525D1FF/Engagements", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "HM Treasury: Chancellor John Healey's Growth Speech 2026 (7 Sep 2026)", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/speeches/chancellor-john-healeys-growth-speech-2026", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "HM Treasury: Charter for Budget Responsibility, autumn 2025", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/draft-charter-for-budget-responsibility-autumn-2025", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "We will meet the fiscal rules. And Andy Burnham and I have talked about how we will do that in lockstep, ensuring there’s a buffer also for uncertainty.", "recorded_on": "2026-07-21", "source_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/speeches/chancellor-john-healey-delivers-speech-to-treasury-staff", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-08", "cost": null } ], "events": [ { "date": "2026-07-21", "type": "promised", "text": "The Chancellor tells Treasury staff the government will meet the fiscal rules, with a buffer for uncertainty", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false }, { "date": "2026-10-28", "type": "deadline", "text": "The Budget, and the OBR's assessment of the fiscal rules", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-snp-income-tax-bands-rates-2026", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-snp-income-tax-bands-rates-2026", "headline": "Hold Scottish income tax bands and rates", "actor_id": "snp", "actor_name": "Scottish National Party", "party_id": "snp", "made_on": "2026-04-16", "venue": "manifesto", "venue_label": "SNP Scottish Parliament election manifesto 2026, page 27", "policy_area": "taxes", "status": "promised", "status_label": "Promised", "status_note": "A pledge about Scottish income tax, which the Scottish Parliament sets. The SNP leads the Scottish Government (First Minister John Swinney), so each year's Scottish rate resolution tests it, starting with 2027-28. The manifesto introduces it \"accepting that all governments require flexibility to respond to material changes in circumstances\". It covers the number of bands and their rates, not the thresholds.", "deadline": null, "outcome_by": "scottish-government", "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "manual", "text": "We will not increase the number of bands or their rates over the lifetime of the next parliament.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://s3-eu-west-2.amazonaws.com/www.snp.org/uploads/2026/04/2026-05-0120SNP20The20Scottish20Parliament20Election2020262072pp20COMPLETE20no-crops.pdf", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-08", "quote_licence": "Quoted for reporting; rights stay with the publisher", "who": "Scottish income taxpayers", "when": "Over the 2026–2031 Scottish Parliament", "funded_by": "Not a spending pledge", "cost": null, "sources": [ { "title": "SNP: Scottish Parliament election manifesto 2026 (PDF), page 27", "url": "https://s3-eu-west-2.amazonaws.com/www.snp.org/uploads/2026/04/2026-05-0120SNP20The20Scottish20Parliament20Election2020262072pp20COMPLETE20no-crops.pdf", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Scottish Government: Scottish income tax rates and bands, 2026 to 2027", "url": "https://www.gov.scot/publications/scottish-income-tax-rates-and-bands/pages/2026-to-2027/", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Scottish Government: First Minister", "url": "https://www.gov.scot/about/who-runs-government/first-minister/", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "We will not increase the number of bands or their rates over the lifetime of the next parliament.", "recorded_on": "2026-04-16", "source_url": "https://s3-eu-west-2.amazonaws.com/www.snp.org/uploads/2026/04/2026-05-0120SNP20The20Scottish20Parliament20Election2020262072pp20COMPLETE20no-crops.pdf", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-08", "cost": null } ], "events": [ { "date": "2026-04-16", "type": "promised", "text": "The SNP publishes its Scottish Parliament manifesto, pledging not to add income tax bands or raise rates", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-plaid-childcare-20-hours-2026", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-plaid-childcare-20-hours-2026", "headline": "Give 20 hours' free childcare from 9 months", "actor_id": "plaid-cymru", "actor_name": "Plaid Cymru", "party_id": "plaid-cymru", "made_on": "2026-04-09", "venue": "manifesto", "venue_label": "Plaid Cymru Senedd manifesto 2026, page 8", "policy_area": "social_protection", "status": "in_plan", "status_label": "In plan", "status_note": "A pledge about Wales, where childcare is devolved. The Welsh Government's Programme for Government 2026 to 2030 commits to a new childcare offer from 9 months to 4 years, building to 20 hours a week for 48 weeks a year, so the card is In plan. The existing offer for 3 and 4-year-olds of working parents stays.", "deadline": null, "outcome_by": "welsh-government", "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "manual", "text": "By the time our new offer is fully rolled out, every child aged 9 months to 4 years will be entitled to 20 hours of free childcare every week, for 48 weeks a year.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://assets.nationbuilder.com/plaid2016/pages/41843/attachments/original/1775140240/For_Wales_-_2026_Manifesto.pdf", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-08", "quote_licence": "Quoted for reporting; rights stay with the publisher", "who": "Every child in Wales aged 9 months to 4 years, whatever their parents' work", "when": "Phased in over the 2026–2031 Senedd term", "funded_by": null, "cost": { "low": 0.36, "central": 0.4, "high": 0.44, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Year shown: the end of the Senedd term, 2030-31. The manifesto gives no cost; the IFS says Plaid Cymru propose increasing spending on childcare by around £400 million a year by the end of the parliament, and warns take-up for the youngest children could push it higher. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "sources": [ { "title": "IFS: Initial response to Plaid Cymru's manifesto (9 Apr 2026)", "url": "https://ifs.org.uk/articles/initial-response-plaid-cymrus-manifesto" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "independent", "name": "IFS" } }, "sources": [ { "title": "Plaid Cymru: For Wales, Senedd manifesto 2026 (PDF), page 8", "url": "https://assets.nationbuilder.com/plaid2016/pages/41843/attachments/original/1775140240/For_Wales_-_2026_Manifesto.pdf", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Welsh Government: Programme for Government 2026 to 2030, chapter 2", "url": "https://www.gov.wales/programme-for-government-2026-to-2030-chapter-2-html", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Welsh Government: FM and DFM set out plans for most generous childcare offer since devolution", "url": "https://www.gov.wales/fm-and-dfm-set-out-plans-for-most-generous-childcare-offer-since-devolution", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "IFS: Initial response to Plaid Cymru's manifesto (9 Apr 2026)", "url": "https://ifs.org.uk/articles/initial-response-plaid-cymrus-manifesto", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "By the time our new offer is fully rolled out, every child aged 9 months to 4 years will be entitled to 20 hours of free childcare every week, for 48 weeks a year.", "recorded_on": "2026-04-09", "source_url": "https://assets.nationbuilder.com/plaid2016/pages/41843/attachments/original/1775140240/For_Wales_-_2026_Manifesto.pdf", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-08", "cost": { "low": 0.36, "central": 0.4, "high": 0.44, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Year shown: the end of the Senedd term, 2030-31. The manifesto gives no cost; the IFS says Plaid Cymru propose increasing spending on childcare by around £400 million a year by the end of the parliament, and warns take-up for the youngest children could push it higher. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "sources": [ { "title": "IFS: Initial response to Plaid Cymru's manifesto (9 Apr 2026)", "url": "https://ifs.org.uk/articles/initial-response-plaid-cymrus-manifesto" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "independent", "name": "IFS" } } } ], "events": [ { "date": "2026-04-09", "type": "promised", "text": "Plaid Cymru launches its Senedd manifesto with a new childcare offer from 9 months", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false }, { "date": "2026-09-10", "type": "in_plan", "text": "The Welsh Government's Programme for Government 2026 to 2030 commits to the new childcare offer", "evidence_url": "https://www.gov.wales/programme-for-government-2026-to-2030-chapter-2-html", "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-two-child-limit-2025", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-two-child-limit-2025", "headline": "Remove the two-child limit in full", "actor_id": "rachel-reeves", "actor_name": "Rachel Reeves", "party_id": "labour", "made_on": "2025-11-26", "venue": "parliament", "venue_label": "Budget statement, House of Commons", "policy_area": "social_protection", "status": "delivered", "status_label": "Delivered", "status_note": "The Universal Credit (Removal of Two Child Limit) Act 2026 became law on 18 March 2026 and the limit stopped applying from assessment periods starting on or after 6 April 2026, as DWP's official statistics confirm.", "deadline": "2026-04-06", "outcome_by": "hm-government", "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "manual", "text": "I can announce today, fully costed and fully funded, the removal of the two-child limit in full from April.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://hansard-api.parliament.uk/debates/debate/0FD15A2E-84B6-49F0-939A-24B7AABFB798.json", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-06", "quote_licence": "Open Parliament Licence v3.0", "who": "Families on Universal Credit with three or more children", "when": "2026-04-06", "funded_by": "Tackling fraud and error in our welfare system, cracking down on tax avoidance and reforming gambling taxation", "cost": { "low": 2.1285, "central": 2.365, "high": 2.6015, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Year shown: 2026-27, the first full year (Budget 2025 policy table, certified by the OBR); central figure only. Other years in the same table: £2.590bn in 2027-28, £2.815bn in 2028-29, £3.095bn in 2029-30 and £3.235bn in 2030-31. The OBR puts the cost at £3bn by 2029-30, with 560,000 families gaining £5,310 a year on average. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "sources": [ { "title": "Budget 2025 (HM Treasury), Table 5.1", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/budget-2025-document/budget-2025-html" }, { "title": "OBR Economic and fiscal outlook, November 2025", "url": "https://obr.uk/efo/economic-and-fiscal-outlook-november-2025/" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "official", "name": "HM Treasury" } }, "sources": [ { "title": "Hansard, House of Commons, 26 Nov 2025: Financial Statement and Budget Report", "url": "https://hansard.parliament.uk/commons/2025-11-26/debates/0FD15A2E-84B6-49F0-939A-24B7AABFB798/FinancialStatementAndBudgetReport", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Hansard, House of Commons, 26 Nov 2025: Financial Statement and Budget Report (official report, Hansard API)", "url": "https://hansard-api.parliament.uk/debates/debate/0FD15A2E-84B6-49F0-939A-24B7AABFB798.json", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Budget 2025 (HM Treasury)", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/budget-2025-document/budget-2025-html", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "OBR Economic and fiscal outlook, November 2025", "url": "https://obr.uk/efo/economic-and-fiscal-outlook-november-2025/", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Universal Credit (Removal of Two Child Limit) Act 2026", "url": "https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2026/13/enacted", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "DWP press release, 19 Mar 2026: Two-child limit scrapped as Bill becomes law", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/two-child-limit-scrapped-as-historic-bill-to-lift-450000-children-out-of-poverty-becomes-law", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "DWP official statistics: Universal Credit claimants statistics on the two child limit policy, April 2026", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/universal-credit-claimants-statistics-on-the-two-child-limit-policy-april-2026/universal-credit-claimants-statistics-on-the-two-child-limit-policy-april-2026", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "I can announce today, fully costed and fully funded, the removal of the two-child limit in full from April.", "recorded_on": "2025-11-26", "source_url": "https://hansard-api.parliament.uk/debates/debate/0FD15A2E-84B6-49F0-939A-24B7AABFB798.json", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-06", "cost": { "low": 2.1285, "central": 2.365, "high": 2.6015, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Year shown: 2026-27, the first full year (Budget 2025 policy table, certified by the OBR); central figure only. Other years in the same table: £2.590bn in 2027-28, £2.815bn in 2028-29, £3.095bn in 2029-30 and £3.235bn in 2030-31. The OBR puts the cost at £3bn by 2029-30, with 560,000 families gaining £5,310 a year on average. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "sources": [ { "title": "Budget 2025 (HM Treasury), Table 5.1", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/budget-2025-document/budget-2025-html" }, { "title": "OBR Economic and fiscal outlook, November 2025", "url": "https://obr.uk/efo/economic-and-fiscal-outlook-november-2025/" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "official", "name": "HM Treasury" } } } ], "events": [ { "date": "2025-11-26", "type": "promised", "text": "Chancellor announces the removal of the two-child limit in full from April 2026 in the Budget", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false }, { "date": "2025-11-26", "type": "funded", "text": "Budget 2025 scores the removal at £2.365bn in 2026-27, rising to £3.235bn in 2030-31", "evidence_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/budget-2025-document/budget-2025-html", "auto": false }, { "date": "2026-03-18", "type": "legislated", "text": "Universal Credit (Removal of Two Child Limit) Act 2026 receives Royal Assent; in force from 6 April 2026", "evidence_url": "https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2026/13/enacted", "auto": false }, { "date": "2026-04-06", "type": "deadline", "text": "Due to take effect from April 2026", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false }, { "date": "2026-04-06", "type": "delivered", "text": "Two-child limit removed for Universal Credit assessment periods starting on or after 6 April 2026", "evidence_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/universal-credit-claimants-statistics-on-the-two-child-limit-policy-april-2026/universal-credit-claimants-statistics-on-the-two-child-limit-policy-april-2026", "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [ { "date": "2026-10-06", "path": "versions[0].parameters.funded_by", "was": "Tackling fraud and error in the welfare system, cracking down on tax avoidance and reforming gambling taxation", "now": "Tackling fraud and error in our welfare system, cracking down on tax avoidance and reforming gambling taxation", "reason": "Funding is recorded exactly as stated (Promise standard, section 2). The Chancellor said \"our welfare system\", not \"the welfare system\".", "source_url": "https://hansard-api.parliament.uk/debates/debate/0FD15A2E-84B6-49F0-939A-24B7AABFB798.json" } ], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-con-stamp-duty-abolition-2025", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-con-stamp-duty-abolition-2025", "headline": "Abolish stamp duty on homes", "actor_id": "conservatives", "actor_name": "Conservative Party", "party_id": "conservatives", "made_on": "2025-10-08", "venue": "speech", "venue_label": "Leader's speech, Conservative Party Conference 2025", "policy_area": "taxes", "status": "promised", "status_label": "Promised", "status_note": "The Conservatives are not in government, so the card stays at Promised. Shadow Chancellor Andrew Griffith restated the pledge at the party's 2026 conference on 5 October 2026.", "deadline": null, "outcome_by": null, "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "manual", "text": "Conference, the next Conservative Government will abolish stamp duty on your home. It will be gone.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://www.conservatives.com/news/kemi-badenoch-closes-conference", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-06", "quote_licence": "Quoted for reporting; rights stay with the publisher", "who": "UK residents buying a main home in England and Northern Ireland, at any price. Second and further homes, purchases by companies and by non-UK residents would still pay. Stamp duty is devolved in Scotland and Wales.", "when": "Not stated (\"the next Conservative Government\"); the party costed it for 2029-30", "funded_by": "From the £47bn of savings the party says it has identified (including £23bn from welfare, £8bn from cutting the civil service and £7bn from overseas aid). Under its Golden Economic Rule at least half of the savings go to cutting the deficit and the rest to tax cuts and pro-growth measures.", "cost": { "low": 8.1, "central": 9, "high": 9.9, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Year shown: 2029-30, the year the party costed. The party's own estimate is £9bn in 2029-30 (central); it says the current cost is about £4.5bn, so the yearly cost rises over time. The Institute for Government says these figures are roughly consistent with forecasts: stamp duty raised just over £10bn in 2024-25, about half of it on additional homes. The party says it has not counted any extra tax from more housing sales. No OBR or HMRC costing of this pledge. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "sources": [ { "title": "Institute for Government: stamp duty land tax explainer", "url": "https://www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/explainer/stamp-duty-land-tax" }, { "title": "Chartered Institute of Taxation: Conservative Party Conference 2025 report", "url": "https://www.tax.org.uk/conservative-party-conference-2025-report" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "party", "name": "Conservative Party" } }, "sources": [ { "title": "Conservatives: Kemi Badenoch Announces Our Plan to Abolish Stamp Duty (speech text), 8 Oct 2025", "url": "https://www.conservatives.com/news/kemi-badenoch-closes-conference", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Conservatives: Our Plan To Get Britain's Economy Growing (Andrew Griffith speech), 5 Oct 2026", "url": "https://www.conservatives.com/news/our-plan-to-get-britains-economy-growing", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Conservatives: policy page (savings list and Golden Economic Rule)", "url": "https://www.conservatives.com/policy", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Institute for Government: stamp duty land tax explainer (Badenoch pledge section)", "url": "https://www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/explainer/stamp-duty-land-tax", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Chartered Institute of Taxation: Conservative Party Conference 2025 report", "url": "https://www.tax.org.uk/conservative-party-conference-2025-report", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "Conference, the next Conservative Government will abolish stamp duty on your home. It will be gone.", "recorded_on": "2025-10-08", "source_url": "https://www.conservatives.com/news/kemi-badenoch-closes-conference", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-06", "cost": { "low": 8.1, "central": 9, "high": 9.9, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Year shown: 2029-30, the year the party costed. The party's own estimate is £9bn in 2029-30 (central); it says the current cost is about £4.5bn, so the yearly cost rises over time. The Institute for Government says these figures are roughly consistent with forecasts: stamp duty raised just over £10bn in 2024-25, about half of it on additional homes. The party says it has not counted any extra tax from more housing sales. No OBR or HMRC costing of this pledge. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "sources": [ { "title": "Institute for Government: stamp duty land tax explainer", "url": "https://www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/explainer/stamp-duty-land-tax" }, { "title": "Chartered Institute of Taxation: Conservative Party Conference 2025 report", "url": "https://www.tax.org.uk/conservative-party-conference-2025-report" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "party", "name": "Conservative Party" } } } ], "events": [ { "date": "2025-10-08", "type": "promised", "text": "Kemi Badenoch pledges to abolish stamp duty on main homes in her conference speech", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [ { "date": "2026-10-06", "path": "versions[0].parameters.how_much_bn_per_year", "was": [ 4.5, 9, 9 ], "now": [ 8.1, 9, 9.9 ], "reason": "The range mixed the current cost with the 2029-30 cost (a time profile). Cards show one year: the party's 2029-30 figure, with an editorial ±10% because the party gives a central figure only.", "source_url": "https://www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/explainer/stamp-duty-land-tax" }, { "date": "2026-10-06", "path": "versions[0].parameters.cost_note", "was": "The party's own estimate is £9bn in 2029-30 (used as central and high); it notes the cost at today's prices is about £4.5bn (low). The Institute for Government says these figures are roughly consistent with forecasts: stamp duty raised just over £10bn in 2024-25, about half of it on additional homes. The party says it has not counted any extra tax from more housing sales. No OBR or HMRC costing of this pledge.", "now": "Year shown: 2029-30, the year the party costed. The party's own estimate is £9bn in 2029-30 (central); it says the current cost is about £4.5bn, so the yearly cost rises over time. The Institute for Government says these figures are roughly consistent with forecasts: stamp duty raised just over £10bn in 2024-25, about half of it on additional homes. The party says it has not counted any extra tax from more housing sales. No OBR or HMRC costing of this pledge. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "reason": "The £4.5bn is the current cost, not the 2029-30 cost at today's prices, so it cannot be the low end of a 2029-30 range. The note now gives the year shown, the editorial ±10% and the two costs as a time profile.", "source_url": "https://www.tax.org.uk/conservative-party-conference-2025-report" }, { "date": "2026-10-06", "path": "versions[0].parameters.funded_by", "was": "From the £47bn of savings the party says it has identified (including £23bn from welfare, £8bn from cutting the civil service and £7bn from overseas aid). Under its Golden Economic Rule at least half of the savings go to cutting the deficit and the rest to tax cuts.", "now": "From the £47bn of savings the party says it has identified (including £23bn from welfare, £8bn from cutting the civil service and £7bn from overseas aid). Under its Golden Economic Rule at least half of the savings go to cutting the deficit and the rest to tax cuts and pro-growth measures.", "reason": "The entry shortened the party's wording. Its policy page says the rest goes to \"tax cuts and pro-growth measures\".", "source_url": "https://www.conservatives.com/policy" } ], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-nato-5pc-2035-2025", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-nato-5pc-2035-2025", "headline": "5% of GDP on national security by 2035", "actor_id": "keir-starmer", "actor_name": "Keir Starmer", "party_id": "labour", "made_on": "2025-06-24", "venue": null, "venue_label": "National Security Strategy 2025, PM's foreword, page 5", "policy_area": "defence", "status": "in_plan", "status_label": "In plan", "status_note": "The National Security Strategy commits to 5% of GDP on national security by 2035; No 10's 23 June 2025 press release gives a projected split of 3.5% core defence and 1.5% resilience and security; the June 2026 Defence Investment Plan restates the 3.5% for 2035, but money is set out only to 2029-30, at 2.7% of GDP. The deadline is taken as the end of 2035.", "deadline": "2035-12-31", "outcome_by": "hm-government", "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "manual", "text": "That is why, as part of this strategy, we make a historic commitment to spend 5% of our GDP on national security by 2035.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/685ab0da72588f418862075c/E03360428_National_Security_Strategy_Accessible.pdf", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-06", "quote_licence": "Open Government Licence v3.0", "who": "UK defence and national security (3.5% of GDP core defence, 1.5% resilience and security)", "when": "By 2035", "funded_by": null, "cost": { "low": 36, "central": 40, "high": 44, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Year shown: 2034-35, in 2025-26 terms. The government gave no cost. The OBR estimates that raising core defence spending from 2.4% of GDP in 2025-26 to 3.5% would cost around £40bn a year by 2034-35. The government says the further 1.5% of GDP for resilience and security is met within existing spending plans, as the OBR reports, so the figure covers core defence only. It overlaps with the rise on the separate 2027 defence card. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the OBR gives a central figure only; the IFS puts the rise at about £36bn a year.", "sources": [ { "title": "OBR: Economic and fiscal outlook, March 2026, paragraph 4.15", "url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/69a6d7b62e1f4fbda4252208/economic-and-fiscal-outlook-march-2026-web-accessible.pdf#page=70" }, { "title": "OBR: Fiscal risks and sustainability, July 2025, paragraph 5.18", "url": "https://obr.uk/docs/dlm_uploads/Fiscal-risks-and-sustainability-report-July-2025.pdf#page=137" }, { "title": "IFS Green Budget 2025: Honouring NATO defence spending commitment would reshape British state", "url": "https://ifs.org.uk/news/honouring-nato-defence-spending-commitment-would-reshape-british-state" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "official", "name": "OBR" } }, "sources": [ { "title": "National Security Strategy 2025: Security for the British People in a Dangerous World (PDF)", "url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/685ab0da72588f418862075c/E03360428_National_Security_Strategy_Accessible.pdf", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "No 10 press release, 23 Jun 2025: UK to deliver on 5% NATO pledge", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-to-deliver-on-5-nato-pledge-as-government-drives-greater-security-for-working-people", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "The Defence Investment Plan: funding explainer, 30 Jun 2026", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/the-defence-investment-plan/the-defence-investment-plan-funding-explainer", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "IFS Green Budget 2025: Honouring NATO defence spending commitment would reshape British state", "url": "https://ifs.org.uk/news/honouring-nato-defence-spending-commitment-would-reshape-british-state", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "That is why, as part of this strategy, we make a historic commitment to spend 5% of our GDP on national security by 2035.", "recorded_on": "2025-06-24", "source_url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/685ab0da72588f418862075c/E03360428_National_Security_Strategy_Accessible.pdf", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-06", "cost": { "low": 36, "central": 40, "high": 44, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Year shown: 2034-35, in 2025-26 terms. The government gave no cost. The OBR estimates that raising core defence spending from 2.4% of GDP in 2025-26 to 3.5% would cost around £40bn a year by 2034-35. The government says the further 1.5% of GDP for resilience and security is met within existing spending plans, as the OBR reports, so the figure covers core defence only. It overlaps with the rise on the separate 2027 defence card. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the OBR gives a central figure only; the IFS puts the rise at about £36bn a year.", "sources": [ { "title": "OBR: Economic and fiscal outlook, March 2026, paragraph 4.15", "url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/69a6d7b62e1f4fbda4252208/economic-and-fiscal-outlook-march-2026-web-accessible.pdf#page=70" }, { "title": "OBR: Fiscal risks and sustainability, July 2025, paragraph 5.18", "url": "https://obr.uk/docs/dlm_uploads/Fiscal-risks-and-sustainability-report-July-2025.pdf#page=137" }, { "title": "IFS Green Budget 2025: Honouring NATO defence spending commitment would reshape British state", "url": "https://ifs.org.uk/news/honouring-nato-defence-spending-commitment-would-reshape-british-state" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "official", "name": "OBR" } } } ], "events": [ { "date": "2025-06-24", "type": "promised", "text": "PM commits to 5% of GDP on national security by 2035 in the National Security Strategy, ahead of the NATO summit", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false }, { "date": "2026-06-30", "type": "in_plan", "text": "Defence Investment Plan restates the 3.5% of GDP core defence commitment for 2035; funding set out to 2029-30 at 2.7%", "evidence_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/the-defence-investment-plan/the-defence-investment-plan-funding-explainer", "auto": false }, { "date": "2035-12-31", "type": "deadline", "text": "5% of GDP on national security due by 2035", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [ { "date": "2026-10-06", "path": "versions[0].parameters.cost_note", "was": "Year shown: 2035, the target year, in today's terms; central figure only. The government gave no cost. The IFS estimates that raising core defence from 2.3% of GDP to 3.5% equals about £36bn a year in today's terms. There is no costing for the 1.5% on resilience and security, so the figure covers the core defence part only. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "now": "Year shown: 2035, the target year, in 2025 terms; central figure only. The government gave no cost. The IFS estimates that raising core defence from 2.3% of GDP to 3.5% equals about £36bn a year in 2025 terms. The IFS figure is measured from 2024 spending (2.3% of GDP), so it overlaps with the rise to 2.5% on the separate 2027 defence card. There is no costing for the 1.5% on resilience and security, so the figure covers the core defence part only. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "reason": "\"Today's terms\" meant the IFS's 2025 terms, and the note did not say that the IFS figure starts from 2024 spending. It therefore includes the rise to 2.5% already counted on the 2027 defence card.", "source_url": "https://ifs.org.uk/news/honouring-nato-defence-spending-commitment-would-reshape-british-state" }, { "date": "2026-10-08", "path": "versions[0].parameters.how_much_bn_per_year", "was": [ 32.4, 36, 39.6 ], "now": [ 36, 40, 44 ], "reason": "The range came from the IFS, a think tank. The promise standard uses an official costing when one exists, and the OBR has one: around £40bn a year by 2034-35 in 2025-26 terms. The IFS figure stays as support.", "source_url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/69a6d7b62e1f4fbda4252208/economic-and-fiscal-outlook-march-2026-web-accessible.pdf#page=70" }, { "date": "2026-10-08", "path": "versions[0].parameters.cost_note", "was": "Year shown: 2035, the target year, in 2025 terms; central figure only. The government gave no cost. The IFS estimates that raising core defence from 2.3% of GDP to 3.5% equals about £36bn a year in 2025 terms. The IFS figure is measured from 2024 spending (2.3% of GDP), so it overlaps with the rise to 2.5% on the separate 2027 defence card. There is no costing for the 1.5% on resilience and security, so the figure covers the core defence part only. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "now": "Year shown: 2034-35, in 2025-26 terms. The government gave no cost. The OBR estimates that raising core defence spending from 2.4% of GDP in 2025-26 to 3.5% would cost around £40bn a year by 2034-35. The government says the further 1.5% of GDP for resilience and security is met within existing spending plans, as the OBR reports, so the figure covers core defence only. It overlaps with the rise on the separate 2027 defence card. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the OBR gives a central figure only; the IFS puts the rise at about £36bn a year.", "reason": "The note now explains the OBR figure that replaces the IFS one, and records the government's position that the 1.5% for resilience and security is met within existing plans.", "source_url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/69a6d7b62e1f4fbda4252208/economic-and-fiscal-outlook-march-2026-web-accessible.pdf#page=70" }, { "date": "2026-10-08", "path": "versions[0].parameters.cost_sources", "was": [ { "title": "IFS Green Budget 2025: Honouring NATO defence spending commitment would reshape British state", "url": "https://ifs.org.uk/news/honouring-nato-defence-spending-commitment-would-reshape-british-state" } ], "now": [ { "title": "OBR: Economic and fiscal outlook, March 2026, paragraph 4.15", "url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/69a6d7b62e1f4fbda4252208/economic-and-fiscal-outlook-march-2026-web-accessible.pdf#page=70" }, { "title": "OBR: Fiscal risks and sustainability, July 2025, paragraph 5.18", "url": "https://obr.uk/docs/dlm_uploads/Fiscal-risks-and-sustainability-report-July-2025.pdf#page=137" }, { "title": "IFS Green Budget 2025: Honouring NATO defence spending commitment would reshape British state", "url": "https://ifs.org.uk/news/honouring-nato-defence-spending-commitment-would-reshape-british-state" } ], "reason": "The OBR's reports, the official source of the new figure, are added; the IFS stays as support.", "source_url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/69a6d7b62e1f4fbda4252208/economic-and-fiscal-outlook-march-2026-web-accessible.pdf#page=70" } ], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-defence-25-2027", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-defence-25-2027", "headline": "Spend 2.5% of GDP on defence by 2027", "actor_id": "keir-starmer", "actor_name": "Keir Starmer", "party_id": "labour", "made_on": "2025-02-25", "venue": "parliament", "venue_label": "Commons statement on defence and security", "policy_area": "defence", "status": "funded", "status_label": "Funded", "status_note": "The Spending Review 2025 set the defence budget on a path to 2.6% of GDP on NATO's measure by 2027 (2.5% on the older measure plus intelligence spending), and the June 2026 Defence Investment Plan plans 2.6% in 2026-27 and 2.7% from 2027-28. Money is allocated to 2029-30; the card will move to Delivering when a source confirms spending at the higher level and to Delivered when 2027-28 outturn shows 2.5%.", "deadline": "2027-04-01", "outcome_by": "hm-government", "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "manual", "text": "We will deliver our commitment to spend 2.5% of GDP on defence, but we will bring it forward so that we reach that level in 2027 and we will maintain that for the rest of this Parliament.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://hansard.parliament.uk/commons/2025-02-25/debates/8BF58F19-B32B-4716-A613-8D5738541A30/DefenceAndSecurity", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-06", "quote_licence": "Open Parliament Licence v3.0", "who": "The armed forces and defence budget; paid for by a cut to overseas aid", "when": "2027-04-01", "funded_by": "Cutting development assistance from 0.5% of GNI to 0.3% in 2027", "cost": { "low": 6, "central": 13.4, "high": 13.4, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Year shown: 2027-28, the first full year at the new level. The PM put it at £13.4bn more on defence every year from 2027 (central). The IFS said an extra 0.2% of GDP is around £6bn (low), and that the £13.4bn figure seems to assume the defence budget would otherwise have been frozen in cash terms. The government counts more intelligence spending as defence from 2027, taking the total to 2.6% of GDP on NATO's measure, which is the level the sandbox preset uses.", "sources": [ { "title": "Hansard, House of Commons, 25 Feb 2025: Defence and Security", "url": "https://hansard.parliament.uk/commons/2025-02-25/debates/8BF58F19-B32B-4716-A613-8D5738541A30/DefenceAndSecurity" }, { "title": "IFS response to defence spending announcement, 25 Feb 2025", "url": "https://ifs.org.uk/articles/ifs-response-defence-spending-announcement" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "official", "name": "No 10" } }, "sources": [ { "title": "Hansard, House of Commons, 25 Feb 2025: Defence and Security (PM's statement)", "url": "https://hansard.parliament.uk/commons/2025-02-25/debates/8BF58F19-B32B-4716-A613-8D5738541A30/DefenceAndSecurity", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "No 10 press release, 25 Feb 2025: 2.5% of GDP from April 2027", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/prime-minister-sets-out-biggest-sustained-increase-in-defence-spending-since-the-cold-war-protecting-british-people-in-new-era-for-national-security", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Spending Review 2025 (HM Treasury)", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/spending-review-2025-document/spending-review-2025-html", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "The Defence Investment Plan: funding explainer, 30 Jun 2026", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/the-defence-investment-plan/the-defence-investment-plan-funding-explainer", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "IFS response to defence spending announcement, 25 Feb 2025", "url": "https://ifs.org.uk/articles/ifs-response-defence-spending-announcement", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "We will deliver our commitment to spend 2.5% of GDP on defence, but we will bring it forward so that we reach that level in 2027 and we will maintain that for the rest of this Parliament.", "recorded_on": "2025-02-25", "source_url": "https://hansard.parliament.uk/commons/2025-02-25/debates/8BF58F19-B32B-4716-A613-8D5738541A30/DefenceAndSecurity", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-06", "cost": { "low": 6, "central": 13.4, "high": 13.4, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Year shown: 2027-28, the first full year at the new level. The PM put it at £13.4bn more on defence every year from 2027 (central). The IFS said an extra 0.2% of GDP is around £6bn (low), and that the £13.4bn figure seems to assume the defence budget would otherwise have been frozen in cash terms. The government counts more intelligence spending as defence from 2027, taking the total to 2.6% of GDP on NATO's measure, which is the level the sandbox preset uses.", "sources": [ { "title": "Hansard, House of Commons, 25 Feb 2025: Defence and Security", "url": "https://hansard.parliament.uk/commons/2025-02-25/debates/8BF58F19-B32B-4716-A613-8D5738541A30/DefenceAndSecurity" }, { "title": "IFS response to defence spending announcement, 25 Feb 2025", "url": "https://ifs.org.uk/articles/ifs-response-defence-spending-announcement" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "official", "name": "No 10" } } } ], "events": [ { "date": "2025-02-25", "type": "promised", "text": "PM tells the Commons that defence spending will reach 2.5% of GDP in 2027, paid for by cutting aid to 0.3% of GNI", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false }, { "date": "2025-06-11", "type": "funded", "text": "Spending Review 2025 sets the defence budget on a path to 2.6% of GDP (NATO measure) by 2027", "evidence_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/spending-review-2025-document/spending-review-2025-html", "auto": false }, { "date": "2026-06-30", "type": "funded", "text": "Defence Investment Plan adds £15bn over four years; NATO-measure spending planned at 2.6% in 2026-27 and 2.7% from 2027-28", "evidence_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/the-defence-investment-plan/the-defence-investment-plan-funding-explainer", "auto": false }, { "date": "2027-04-01", "type": "deadline", "text": "2.5% of GDP due from April 2027", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-nhs-18-weeks-2024", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-nhs-18-weeks-2024", "headline": "Meet the 18-week NHS waiting time standard", "actor_id": "keir-starmer", "actor_name": "Keir Starmer", "party_id": "labour", "made_on": "2024-12-05", "venue": null, "venue_label": "Plan for Change, PM's foreword, page 6", "policy_area": "health", "status": "delivering", "status_label": "Delivering", "status_note": "NHS England's plan sets March 2029 for the 92% standard, and the Spending Review 2025 ties the NHS settlement to it. The share of waiting-list pathways (cases) under 18 weeks met the interim 65% goal in March 2026 (65.3%) and stood at 65.4% in July 2026, 26.6 percentage points below the 92% standard, so the card sits at Delivering.", "deadline": "2029-03-31", "outcome_by": "hm-government", "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "manual", "text": "ending hospital backlogs to meet the NHS standard of 92% of patients in England waiting no longer than 18 weeks for elective treatment", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/6751af4719e0c816d18d1df3/Plan_for_Change.pdf", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-06", "quote_licence": "Open Government Licence v3.0", "who": "Patients in England waiting for planned (elective) hospital treatment", "when": "By March 2029 (the end of the Parliament)", "funded_by": null, "cost": null, "sources": [ { "title": "Plan for Change: Milestones for mission-led government (PDF), 5 Dec 2024", "url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/6751af4719e0c816d18d1df3/Plan_for_Change.pdf", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "PM speech on Plan for Change, 5 Dec 2024", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/speeches/pm-speech-on-plan-for-change-5-december-2024", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "NHS England: Reforming elective care for patients, 6 Jan 2025", "url": "https://www.england.nhs.uk/long-read/reforming-elective-care-for-patients/", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Spending Review 2025 (HM Treasury)", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/spending-review-2025-document/spending-review-2025-html", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "NHS England RTT statistical press notice, March 2026 data (14 May 2026)", "url": "https://www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2026/05/Mar26-RTT-statistical-press-notice-PDF-545K-Dc1i9U.pdf", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "NHS England RTT statistical press notice, July 2026 data (10 Sep 2026)", "url": "https://www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2026/09/Jul26-RTT-statistical-press-notice-PDF-578K-97ylx5.pdf", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "ending hospital backlogs to meet the NHS standard of 92% of patients in England waiting no longer than 18 weeks for elective treatment", "recorded_on": "2024-12-05", "source_url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/6751af4719e0c816d18d1df3/Plan_for_Change.pdf", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-06", "cost": null } ], "events": [ { "date": "2024-12-05", "type": "promised", "text": "PM sets the 18-week milestone in the Plan for Change", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false }, { "date": "2025-01-06", "type": "in_plan", "text": "NHS England's elective reform plan commits to meet the 92% standard by March 2029, with 65% by March 2026", "evidence_url": "https://www.england.nhs.uk/long-read/reforming-elective-care-for-patients/", "auto": false }, { "date": "2025-06-11", "type": "funded", "text": "Spending Review 2025 links the NHS settlement to 92% of patients starting treatment within 18 weeks by the end of the Parliament", "evidence_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/spending-review-2025-document/spending-review-2025-html", "auto": false }, { "date": "2026-05-14", "type": "delivering", "text": "March 2026 figures: 65.3% of waiting-list pathways (cases) under 18 weeks, meeting the interim 65% goal", "evidence_url": "https://www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2026/05/Mar26-RTT-statistical-press-notice-PDF-545K-Dc1i9U.pdf", "auto": false }, { "date": "2029-03-31", "type": "deadline", "text": "92% of patients due to wait no longer than 18 weeks", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [ { "date": "2026-10-06", "path": "events[3].text", "was": "March 2026 figures: 65.3% of patients waiting under 18 weeks, meeting the interim 65% goal", "now": "March 2026 figures: 65.3% of waiting-list pathways (cases) under 18 weeks, meeting the interim 65% goal", "reason": "The statistic counts waiting-list pathways, not people; one patient can have more than one pathway. NHS England reports it as 65.3% of cases.", "source_url": "https://www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2026/05/Mar26-RTT-statistical-press-notice-PDF-545K-Dc1i9U.pdf" } ], "contracts": [ "ocds-h6vhtk-05e464" ] }, { "id": "uk-snp-two-child-cap-2024", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-snp-two-child-cap-2024", "headline": "Scrap the two-child benefit cap", "actor_id": "snp", "actor_name": "Scottish National Party", "party_id": "snp", "made_on": "2024-06-19", "venue": "manifesto", "venue_label": "2024 manifesto, page 5 (key pledges)", "policy_area": "social_protection", "status": "delivered", "status_label": "Delivered", "status_note": "The SNP is not in government at Westminster. The UK Government adopted the policy: Budget 2025 funded it, the Universal Credit (Removal of Two Child Limit) Act 2026 became law on 18 March 2026, and the limit stopped applying from 6 April 2026. This card records that the change the SNP asked for happened, not who made it.", "deadline": null, "outcome_by": "hm-government", "brought_about_by": "hm-government", "origin": "manual", "text": "Scrap the two child benefit cap, ending the unnecessary suffering caused by both the benefit cap on children and associated rape clause.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://s3-eu-west-2.amazonaws.com/www.snp.org/uploads/2024/06/2024-06-20b-SNP-General-Election-Manifesto-2024_interactive.pdf", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-06", "quote_licence": "Quoted for reporting; rights stay with the publisher", "who": "Families with three or more children claiming Universal Credit or Child Tax Credit", "when": "Not stated in the manifesto", "funded_by": null, "cost": { "low": 2.53, "central": 2.815, "high": 3.1, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "The SNP did not publish a cost. The UK Government's Budget 2025 scorecard puts removing the limit at £2.365bn in 2026-27, £2.815bn in 2028-29 and £3.235bn in 2030-31. The card uses 2028-29, once the change has bedded in; the low–high range is an editorial ±10% because the scorecard gives central figures only.", "sources": [ { "title": "HM Treasury: Budget 2025, Table 4.1, line 6", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/budget-2025-document/budget-2025-html" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "official", "name": "HM Treasury" } }, "sources": [ { "title": "SNP: A Future Made in Scotland, 2024 manifesto (PDF), page 5", "url": "https://s3-eu-west-2.amazonaws.com/www.snp.org/uploads/2024/06/2024-06-20b-SNP-General-Election-Manifesto-2024_interactive.pdf", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "SNP: John Swinney's 2024 manifesto speech, 19 Jun 2024", "url": "https://www.snp.org/snp-leader-john-swinneys-2024-manifesto-speech/", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "HM Treasury: Budget 2025, 26 Nov 2025", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/budget-2025-document/budget-2025-html", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "legislation.gov.uk: Universal Credit (Removal of Two Child Limit) Act 2026", "url": "https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2026/13/enacted", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "DWP: Two-child limit scrapped as historic Bill becomes law, 19 Mar 2026", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/two-child-limit-scrapped-as-historic-bill-to-lift-450000-children-out-of-poverty-becomes-law", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "DWP: Plan to track progress on lifting 550,000 children out of poverty published, 9 Jul 2026", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/plan-to-track-progress-on-lifting-550000-children-out-of-poverty-published", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "DWP: Universal Credit claimants statistics on the two child limit policy, April 2026, 8 Jul 2026", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/universal-credit-claimants-statistics-on-the-two-child-limit-policy-april-2026/universal-credit-claimants-statistics-on-the-two-child-limit-policy-april-2026", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "Scrap the two child benefit cap, ending the unnecessary suffering caused by both the benefit cap on children and associated rape clause.", "recorded_on": "2024-06-19", "source_url": "https://s3-eu-west-2.amazonaws.com/www.snp.org/uploads/2024/06/2024-06-20b-SNP-General-Election-Manifesto-2024_interactive.pdf", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-06", "cost": { "low": 2.53, "central": 2.815, "high": 3.1, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "The SNP did not publish a cost. The UK Government's Budget 2025 scorecard puts removing the limit at £2.365bn in 2026-27, £2.815bn in 2028-29 and £3.235bn in 2030-31. The card uses 2028-29, once the change has bedded in; the low–high range is an editorial ±10% because the scorecard gives central figures only.", "sources": [ { "title": "HM Treasury: Budget 2025, Table 4.1, line 6", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/budget-2025-document/budget-2025-html" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "official", "name": "HM Treasury" } } } ], "events": [ { "date": "2024-06-19", "type": "promised", "text": "SNP manifesto lists scrapping the two-child benefit cap among its key pledges", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false }, { "date": "2025-11-26", "type": "funded", "text": "UK Government's Budget 2025 sets aside £2.4bn in 2026-27, rising to £3.2bn in 2030-31, to remove the limit from April 2026", "evidence_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/budget-2025-document/budget-2025-html", "auto": false }, { "date": "2026-03-18", "type": "legislated", "text": "Universal Credit (Removal of Two Child Limit) Act 2026 receives Royal Assent", "evidence_url": "https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2026/13/enacted", "auto": false }, { "date": "2026-04-06", "type": "delivered", "text": "The limit stops applying for Universal Credit assessment periods starting on or after 6 April 2026; DWP later reports the last statistics on families affected", "evidence_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/plan-to-track-progress-on-lifting-550000-children-out-of-poverty-published", "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [ { "date": "2026-10-06", "path": "versions[0].parameters.cost_sources", "was": [ { "title": "HM Treasury: Budget 2025, Table 2.1, line 6", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/budget-2025-document/budget-2025-html" } ], "now": [ { "title": "HM Treasury: Budget 2025, Table 4.1, line 6", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/budget-2025-document/budget-2025-html" } ], "reason": "The source title gave the wrong table number. The figures are in Table 4.1 (Budget 2025 policy decisions), line 6.", "source_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/budget-2025-document/budget-2025-html" } ], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-abolish-non-dom-2024", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-abolish-non-dom-2024", "headline": "Abolish non-dom status", "actor_id": "labour", "actor_name": "Labour Party", "party_id": "labour", "made_on": "2024-06-13", "venue": "manifesto", "venue_label": "2024 manifesto, page 21", "policy_area": "taxes", "status": "delivered", "status_label": "Delivered", "status_note": "Finance Act 2025 ended the remittance basis for non-domiciled individuals after the 2024-25 tax year, and on 6 April 2025 a 4-year foreign income and gains regime for new arrivals replaced it. The previous government had announced an end to the regime in March 2024; Labour's Autumn Budget 2024 changed parts of the design, such as removing a planned 50% discount on foreign income in 2025-26.", "deadline": null, "outcome_by": "hm-government", "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "manual", "text": "We will abolish non-dom status once and for all, replacing it with a modern scheme for people genuinely in the country for a short period.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://labour.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Labour-Party-manifesto-2024.pdf#page=21", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-06", "quote_licence": "Quoted for reporting; rights stay with the publisher", "who": "UK residents who used non-dom status now pay UK tax on worldwide income and gains; people who become UK resident after at least 10 years as non-residents can claim relief on foreign income and gains for up to 4 years", "when": "From 6 April 2025", "funded_by": "Not a spending pledge; the manifesto says NHS appointments will be \"paid for by cracking down on tax avoidance and non-dom loopholes\" (page 10)", "cost": { "low": -2.7995, "central": -2.545, "high": -2.2905, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Negative because the pledge raises money. Year used: 2028-29, the year Labour's costings use. The official Autumn Budget 2024 costing of Labour's changes, on top of the abolition already in the forecast since March 2024, is £2,545m in 2028-29 (Table 5.1, line 20); central figure only. Other years: negligible in 2025-26, £4,170m in 2026-27, £5,895m in 2027-28 and £95m in 2029-30, as the temporary repatriation facility ends. Labour's own costings do not show the measure separately: it is part of £5,230m in 2028-29 from non-dom loopholes and tax avoidance, plus £600m in 2025-26 from removing the non-dom discount (manifesto page 127). Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "sources": [ { "title": "HM Treasury: Autumn Budget 2024, Table 5.1, line 20", "url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/672b9695fbd69e1861921c63/Autumn_Budget_2024_Accessible.pdf" }, { "title": "Labour Party: Change, 2024 manifesto (PDF), costings, page 127", "url": "https://labour.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Labour-Party-manifesto-2024.pdf#page=127" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "official", "name": "HM Treasury" } }, "sources": [ { "title": "Labour Party: Change, 2024 manifesto (PDF), page 21", "url": "https://labour.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Labour-Party-manifesto-2024.pdf#page=21", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Finance Act 2025, Part 2: replacement of special rules relating to domicile", "url": "https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2025/8/part/2", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "HMRC: Check if you can claim the 4-year foreign income and gains regime", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/guidance/check-if-you-can-claim-the-4-year-foreign-income-and-gains-regime", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "HM Treasury: Non-UK domiciled individuals, policy summary (29 Jul 2024)", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/2024-non-uk-domiciled-individuals-policy-summary", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "HM Treasury: Autumn Budget 2024 (30 Oct 2024)", "url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/672b9695fbd69e1861921c63/Autumn_Budget_2024_Accessible.pdf", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "We will abolish non-dom status once and for all, replacing it with a modern scheme for people genuinely in the country for a short period.", "recorded_on": "2024-06-13", "source_url": "https://labour.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Labour-Party-manifesto-2024.pdf#page=21", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-06", "cost": { "low": -2.7995, "central": -2.545, "high": -2.2905, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Negative because the pledge raises money. Year used: 2028-29, the year Labour's costings use. The official Autumn Budget 2024 costing of Labour's changes, on top of the abolition already in the forecast since March 2024, is £2,545m in 2028-29 (Table 5.1, line 20); central figure only. Other years: negligible in 2025-26, £4,170m in 2026-27, £5,895m in 2027-28 and £95m in 2029-30, as the temporary repatriation facility ends. Labour's own costings do not show the measure separately: it is part of £5,230m in 2028-29 from non-dom loopholes and tax avoidance, plus £600m in 2025-26 from removing the non-dom discount (manifesto page 127). Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "sources": [ { "title": "HM Treasury: Autumn Budget 2024, Table 5.1, line 20", "url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/672b9695fbd69e1861921c63/Autumn_Budget_2024_Accessible.pdf" }, { "title": "Labour Party: Change, 2024 manifesto (PDF), costings, page 127", "url": "https://labour.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Labour-Party-manifesto-2024.pdf#page=127" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "official", "name": "HM Treasury" } } } ], "events": [ { "date": "2024-06-13", "type": "promised", "text": "Labour manifesto pledges to abolish non-dom status and replace it with a short-stay scheme", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false }, { "date": "2024-07-29", "type": "in_plan", "text": "Treasury policy summary: the government will remove domicile status from the tax system and bring in a residence-based regime from 6 April 2025", "evidence_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/2024-non-uk-domiciled-individuals-policy-summary", "auto": false }, { "date": "2025-03-20", "type": "legislated", "text": "Finance Act 2025 receives Royal Assent; Part 2 ends the remittance basis after the 2024-25 tax year", "evidence_url": "https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2025/8/part/2", "auto": false }, { "date": "2025-04-06", "type": "delivered", "text": "The 4-year foreign income and gains regime replaces the remittance basis", "evidence_url": "https://www.gov.uk/guidance/check-if-you-can-claim-the-4-year-foreign-income-and-gains-regime", "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-carried-interest-2024", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-carried-interest-2024", "headline": "Close the carried interest loophole", "actor_id": "labour", "actor_name": "Labour Party", "party_id": "labour", "made_on": "2024-06-13", "venue": "manifesto", "venue_label": "2024 manifesto, page 21", "policy_area": "taxes", "status": "delivered", "status_label": "Delivered", "status_note": "From the 2026-27 tax year, carried interest (the share of a fund's profits paid to its managers) is taxed under income tax instead of capital gains tax (Finance Act 2026, section 58). Under the design announced at Autumn Budget 2024, a 72.5% multiplier applies to qualifying carried interest brought into the charge (para 5.67). As an interim step, the capital gains tax rates on carried interest rose to 32% from 6 April 2025.", "deadline": null, "outcome_by": "hm-government", "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "manual", "text": "Private equity is the only industry where performance-related pay is treated as capital gains. Labour will close this loophole.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://labour.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Labour-Party-manifesto-2024.pdf#page=21", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-09", "quote_licence": "Quoted for reporting; rights stay with the publisher", "who": "Private equity and other fund managers who are paid carried interest", "when": "From the 2026-27 tax year", "funded_by": "Not a spending pledge; Labour's costings count the £565m among the revenue paying for its manifesto plans (page 127)", "cost": { "low": -0.088, "central": -0.08, "high": -0.072, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Negative because the pledge raises money. Year used: 2028-29, the year Labour's costings use. The official Autumn Budget 2024 costing, covering both the 32% interim rate and the move into income tax, is £80m in 2028-29 (Table 5.1, line 21); central figure only. Other years: nothing in 2024-25 and 2025-26, a cost of £5m in 2026-27, £140m in 2027-28 and £85m in 2029-30. Labour's own costing was £565m in 2028-29 (manifesto page 127). Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "sources": [ { "title": "HM Treasury: Autumn Budget 2024, Table 5.1, line 21", "url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/672b9695fbd69e1861921c63/Autumn_Budget_2024_Accessible.pdf" }, { "title": "Labour Party: Change, 2024 manifesto (PDF), costings, page 127", "url": "https://labour.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Labour-Party-manifesto-2024.pdf#page=127" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "official", "name": "HM Treasury" } }, "sources": [ { "title": "Labour Party: Change, 2024 manifesto (PDF), page 21", "url": "https://labour.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Labour-Party-manifesto-2024.pdf#page=21", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "HM Treasury: Autumn Budget 2024 (30 Oct 2024), paras 2.57 and 5.67", "url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/672b9695fbd69e1861921c63/Autumn_Budget_2024_Accessible.pdf", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Finance Act 2026, section 58: carried interest", "url": "https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2026/11/section/58", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "Private equity is the only industry where performance-related pay is treated as capital gains. Labour will close this loophole.", "recorded_on": "2024-06-13", "source_url": "https://labour.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Labour-Party-manifesto-2024.pdf#page=21", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-09", "cost": { "low": -0.088, "central": -0.08, "high": -0.072, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Negative because the pledge raises money. Year used: 2028-29, the year Labour's costings use. The official Autumn Budget 2024 costing, covering both the 32% interim rate and the move into income tax, is £80m in 2028-29 (Table 5.1, line 21); central figure only. Other years: nothing in 2024-25 and 2025-26, a cost of £5m in 2026-27, £140m in 2027-28 and £85m in 2029-30. Labour's own costing was £565m in 2028-29 (manifesto page 127). Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "sources": [ { "title": "HM Treasury: Autumn Budget 2024, Table 5.1, line 21", "url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/672b9695fbd69e1861921c63/Autumn_Budget_2024_Accessible.pdf" }, { "title": "Labour Party: Change, 2024 manifesto (PDF), costings, page 127", "url": "https://labour.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Labour-Party-manifesto-2024.pdf#page=127" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "official", "name": "HM Treasury" } } } ], "events": [ { "date": "2024-06-13", "type": "promised", "text": "Labour manifesto pledges to stop treating private equity performance pay as capital gains", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false }, { "date": "2024-10-30", "type": "in_plan", "text": "Autumn Budget 2024 says carried interest will be taxed within income tax from April 2026, and raises its capital gains tax rates to 32% from April 2025", "evidence_url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/672b9695fbd69e1861921c63/Autumn_Budget_2024_Accessible.pdf", "auto": false }, { "date": "2026-03-18", "type": "legislated", "text": "Finance Act 2026 receives Royal Assent; section 58 moves carried interest into income tax", "evidence_url": "https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2026/11/section/58", "auto": false }, { "date": "2026-04-06", "type": "delivered", "text": "Carried interest is taxed under income tax from the 2026-27 tax year", "evidence_url": "https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2026/11/section/58", "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-corp-tax-cap-25-2024", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-corp-tax-cap-25-2024", "headline": "Cap corporation tax at 25%", "actor_id": "labour", "actor_name": "Labour Party", "party_id": "labour", "made_on": "2024-06-13", "venue": "manifesto", "venue_label": "2024 manifesto, page 31", "policy_area": "taxes", "status": "legislated", "status_label": "Legislated", "status_note": "The Corporate Tax Roadmap (October 2024) commits to the 25% cap for the Parliament, and Finance Acts have set the main rate at 25% for the financial years starting April 2026 and April 2027. Later years are not yet set in law, so the card sits at Legislated until the end of the Parliament, taken as 1 July 2029.", "deadline": "2029-07-01", "outcome_by": "hm-government", "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "manual", "text": "Labour will cap corporation tax at the current level of 25 per cent, the lowest in the G7, for the entire parliament, and we will act if tax changes in other countries pose a risk to UK competitiveness.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://labour.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Labour-Party-manifesto-2024.pdf#page=31", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-06", "quote_licence": "Quoted for reporting; rights stay with the publisher", "who": "Companies that pay the main rate of corporation tax", "when": "For the whole Parliament (taken as to 1 July 2029)", "funded_by": null, "cost": null, "sources": [ { "title": "Labour Party: Change, 2024 manifesto (PDF), page 31", "url": "https://labour.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Labour-Party-manifesto-2024.pdf#page=31", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "HM Treasury: Corporate Tax Roadmap 2024 (30 Oct 2024)", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/corporate-tax-roadmap-2024", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Finance Act 2025, section 13: main rate for financial year 2026", "url": "https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2025/8/section/13/enacted", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Finance Act 2026, section 11: main rate for financial year 2027", "url": "https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2026/11/section/11/enacted", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "HM Treasury: Budget 2025 (26 Nov 2025)", "url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/6929b353345e31ab14ecf735/E03444720_Budget_2025_Web_Accessible.pdf", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "Labour will cap corporation tax at the current level of 25 per cent, the lowest in the G7, for the entire parliament, and we will act if tax changes in other countries pose a risk to UK competitiveness.", "recorded_on": "2024-06-13", "source_url": "https://labour.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Labour-Party-manifesto-2024.pdf#page=31", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-06", "cost": null } ], "events": [ { "date": "2024-06-13", "type": "promised", "text": "Labour manifesto pledges to cap corporation tax at 25% for the whole Parliament", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false }, { "date": "2024-10-30", "type": "in_plan", "text": "Corporate Tax Roadmap commits to capping the main rate of corporation tax at 25% for the Parliament", "evidence_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/corporate-tax-roadmap-2024", "auto": false }, { "date": "2025-03-20", "type": "legislated", "text": "Finance Act 2025 sets the main rate at 25% for the financial year 2026", "evidence_url": "https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2025/8/section/13/enacted", "auto": false }, { "date": "2026-03-18", "type": "legislated", "text": "Finance Act 2026 sets the main rate at 25% for the financial year 2027", "evidence_url": "https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2026/11/section/11/enacted", "auto": false }, { "date": "2029-07-01", "type": "deadline", "text": "End of the Parliament (editorial date)", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [ { "date": "2026-10-08", "path": "versions[0].parameters.cost_note", "was": "Keeping the rate at its current level has no direct cost against existing plans, and no official costing of the pledge exists. Labour's fiscal plan says policies not listed in its costings are funded from existing budgets or have no cost.", "now": "Keeping the main rate at 25% costs nothing against current plans, because 25% is already the rate; Labour's fiscal plan lists no cost for it. For scale, HMRC estimates that 1 percentage point on corporation tax would raise about £3.9bn in 2027-28. That estimate moves the small profits rate too, so the main rate alone would raise somewhat less. These are HMRC's June 2025 estimates, made before Budget 2025; HMRC has postponed its next update.", "reason": "The note now gives HMRC's official estimate of what 1 percentage point of corporation tax raises, for scale. The pledge itself still has no cost against current plans.", "source_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/direct-effects-of-illustrative-tax-changes/direct-effects-of-illustrative-tax-changes-bulletin-january-2025" }, { "date": "2026-10-08", "path": "versions[0].parameters.cost_sources", "was": [ { "title": "Labour Party: Change, 2024 manifesto (PDF), fiscal plan, page 126", "url": "https://labour.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Labour-Party-manifesto-2024.pdf#page=126" } ], "now": [ { "title": "Labour Party: Change, 2024 manifesto (PDF), fiscal plan, page 126", "url": "https://labour.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Labour-Party-manifesto-2024.pdf#page=126" }, { "title": "HMRC: Direct effects of illustrative tax changes, bulletin (June 2025)", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/direct-effects-of-illustrative-tax-changes/direct-effects-of-illustrative-tax-changes-bulletin-january-2025" }, { "title": "HMRC: Direct effects of illustrative tax changes, tables (June 2025, ODS)", "url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/68552862b46781eacfd71d71/June_2025_TRR_ODS__1_.ods" }, { "title": "HMRC: 2026 statistics announcements (6 Jul 2026: next edition postponed)", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/schedule-of-updates-and-announcements-for-hmrcs-statistics/2026-hmrc-statistics-announcements" } ], "reason": "The note now gives HMRC's official estimate of what 1 percentage point of corporation tax raises, for scale. The pledge itself still has no cost against current plans.", "source_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/direct-effects-of-illustrative-tax-changes/direct-effects-of-illustrative-tax-changes-bulletin-january-2025" } ], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-great-british-energy-2024", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-great-british-energy-2024", "headline": "Create Great British Energy", "actor_id": "labour", "actor_name": "Labour Party", "party_id": "labour", "made_on": "2024-06-13", "venue": "manifesto", "venue_label": "2024 manifesto, page 53", "policy_area": "economic_affairs", "status": "delivering", "status_label": "Delivering", "status_note": "Great British Energy exists in law (Great British Energy Act 2025), is wholly owned by the Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero and has started investing, including £255m in solar for schools, NHS and military sites in its first period to 31 March 2026. The manifesto's £8.3bn runs over the Parliament, and the government now counts that sum across both Great British Energy and Great British Energy–Nuclear, so the card sits at Delivering.", "deadline": "2029-07-01", "outcome_by": "hm-government", "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "manual", "text": "To drive forward investment in clean, home-grown energy production, Labour will create a new publicly-owned company, Great British Energy. It will be owned by the British people and deliver power back to the British people.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://labour.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Labour-Party-manifesto-2024.pdf#page=53", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-06", "quote_licence": "Quoted for reporting; rights stay with the publisher", "who": "Energy billpayers and communities across the UK; taxpayers provide the company's capital", "when": "Company set up in this Parliament; £8.3bn capitalisation over the Parliament (taken as to 1 July 2029)", "funded_by": "A windfall tax on oil and gas giants (manifesto page 10); the wider Green Prosperity Plan is funded in part by a time-limited windfall tax on oil and gas giants and the rest by borrowing to invest within the fiscal rules (page 128)", "cost": { "low": 1.53, "central": 1.7, "high": 1.87, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Year used: an average year of the Parliament, as Labour's costings give an annual average (£1.7bn, manifesto page 128) of the £8.3bn capitalisation promised on page 53; central figure only. Later official figures: Spending Review 2025 says Great British Energy and Great British Energy–Nuclear together will invest more than £8.3bn over the Parliament, and the company's 2025-26 annual report says up to £5.3bn is expected to be made available to it from 2025/26 to 2029/30. Autumn Budget 2024 gave £125m for 2025-26. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "sources": [ { "title": "Labour Party: Change, 2024 manifesto (PDF), Green Prosperity Plan costings, page 128", "url": "https://labour.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Labour-Party-manifesto-2024.pdf#page=128" }, { "title": "HM Treasury: Spending Review 2025", "url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/68627094354985706f111adc/E03349913_HMT_Spending_Review_June_2025_TEXT_CS_Accessible__002_.pdf" }, { "title": "Great British Energy: Annual report and accounts 2025 to 2026", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/great-british-energy-annual-report-and-accounts-2025-to-2026/gbe-annual-report-and-accounts-2025-to-2026-html" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "party", "name": "Labour Party" } }, "sources": [ { "title": "Labour Party: Change, 2024 manifesto (PDF), page 53", "url": "https://labour.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Labour-Party-manifesto-2024.pdf#page=53", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Great British Energy Act 2025", "url": "https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2025/16", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "DESNZ: Notice of designation of Great British Energy (19 May 2025)", "url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/682b504a8999f671f3c2443a/GBE-designation-letter.pdf", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "HM Treasury: Spending Review 2025 (11 Jun 2025)", "url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/68627094354985706f111adc/E03349913_HMT_Spending_Review_June_2025_TEXT_CS_Accessible__002_.pdf", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Great British Energy: Annual report and accounts 2025 to 2026 (14 Sep 2026)", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/great-british-energy-annual-report-and-accounts-2025-to-2026/gbe-annual-report-and-accounts-2025-to-2026-html", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "To drive forward investment in clean, home-grown energy production, Labour will create a new publicly-owned company, Great British Energy. It will be owned by the British people and deliver power back to the British people.", "recorded_on": "2024-06-13", "source_url": "https://labour.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Labour-Party-manifesto-2024.pdf#page=53", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-06", "cost": { "low": 1.53, "central": 1.7, "high": 1.87, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Year used: an average year of the Parliament, as Labour's costings give an annual average (£1.7bn, manifesto page 128) of the £8.3bn capitalisation promised on page 53; central figure only. Later official figures: Spending Review 2025 says Great British Energy and Great British Energy–Nuclear together will invest more than £8.3bn over the Parliament, and the company's 2025-26 annual report says up to £5.3bn is expected to be made available to it from 2025/26 to 2029/30. Autumn Budget 2024 gave £125m for 2025-26. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "sources": [ { "title": "Labour Party: Change, 2024 manifesto (PDF), Green Prosperity Plan costings, page 128", "url": "https://labour.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Labour-Party-manifesto-2024.pdf#page=128" }, { "title": "HM Treasury: Spending Review 2025", "url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/68627094354985706f111adc/E03349913_HMT_Spending_Review_June_2025_TEXT_CS_Accessible__002_.pdf" }, { "title": "Great British Energy: Annual report and accounts 2025 to 2026", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/great-british-energy-annual-report-and-accounts-2025-to-2026/gbe-annual-report-and-accounts-2025-to-2026-html" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "party", "name": "Labour Party" } } } ], "events": [ { "date": "2024-06-13", "type": "promised", "text": "Labour manifesto pledges a new publicly owned company, Great British Energy", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false }, { "date": "2024-10-30", "type": "funded", "text": "Autumn Budget 2024 confirms £125m for Great British Energy in 2025-26, with its headquarters in Aberdeen", "evidence_url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/672b9695fbd69e1861921c63/Autumn_Budget_2024_Accessible.pdf", "auto": false }, { "date": "2025-05-15", "type": "legislated", "text": "Great British Energy Act 2025 receives Royal Assent", "evidence_url": "https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2025/16", "auto": false }, { "date": "2025-05-21", "type": "delivering", "text": "Great British Energy Group Limited is designated as Great British Energy under the Act, with effect from 21 May 2025", "evidence_url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/682b504a8999f671f3c2443a/GBE-designation-letter.pdf", "auto": false }, { "date": "2025-06-11", "type": "funded", "text": "Spending Review 2025 says Great British Energy and Great British Energy–Nuclear will together invest more than £8.3bn over the Parliament", "evidence_url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/68627094354985706f111adc/E03349913_HMT_Spending_Review_June_2025_TEXT_CS_Accessible__002_.pdf", "auto": false }, { "date": "2026-09-14", "type": "delivering", "text": "First annual report: £255m invested (via DESNZ) in solar for 250 schools, 260 NHS sites and military sites in the period to 31 March 2026", "evidence_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/great-british-energy-annual-report-and-accounts-2025-to-2026/gbe-annual-report-and-accounts-2025-to-2026-html", "auto": false }, { "date": "2029-07-01", "type": "deadline", "text": "End of the Parliament, when the £8.3bn capitalisation period ends (editorial date)", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [ { "date": "2026-10-06", "path": "events[5].date", "was": "2026-09-30", "now": "2026-09-14", "reason": "The annual report was published on 14 September 2026. 30 September 2026 is a later update to the web version, not the publication date.", "source_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/great-british-energy-annual-report-and-accounts-2025-to-2026/gbe-annual-report-and-accounts-2025-to-2026-html" } ], "contracts": [ "ocds-h6vhtk-058e4b", "ocds-h6vhtk-065530", "ocds-b5fd17-3516e68f-d185-496b-af5d-9934219ba07f", "ocds-b5fd17-d480ec34-23e5-4b09-9730-134fc569fd86", "ocds-b5fd17-906f1ac1-654e-4a71-ab0f-72dc43cfb945", "ocds-b5fd17-6b3c68e6-762c-4315-868d-bbd08d8a4a74", "ocds-b5fd17-61d799b3-d072-4a16-a62b-f639ba3ba4cb", "ocds-h6vhtk-060bd4--award-1", "ocds-h6vhtk-060bd4--award-2", "ocds-h6vhtk-06d82a" ] }, { "id": "uk-homes-1-5m-2024", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-homes-1-5m-2024", "headline": "Build 1.5 million new homes", "actor_id": "labour", "actor_name": "Labour Party", "party_id": "labour", "made_on": "2024-06-13", "venue": "manifesto", "venue_label": "2024 manifesto, page 36", "policy_area": "housing_env", "status": "delivering", "status_label": "Delivering", "status_note": "Homes are being built and the government publishes official estimates against the target. The latest, published on 24 September 2026, puts net additional homes in England since 9 July 2024 at 437,900, about 29% of 1.5 million, so the card sits at Delivering. The manifesto says \"over the next parliament\", taken here as by 1 July 2029.", "deadline": "2029-07-01", "outcome_by": "hm-government", "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "manual", "text": "Labour will get Britain building again, creating jobs across England, with 1.5 million new homes over the next parliament.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://labour.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Labour-Party-manifesto-2024.pdf#page=36", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-06", "quote_licence": "Quoted for reporting; rights stay with the publisher", "who": "People in England who need a home; housebuilders and local planning authorities build and approve them", "when": "Over the Parliament that first met on 9 July 2024 (taken as by 1 July 2029)", "funded_by": null, "cost": null, "sources": [ { "title": "Labour Party: Change, 2024 manifesto (PDF), page 36", "url": "https://labour.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Labour-Party-manifesto-2024.pdf#page=36", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "MHCLG: Housing supply: indicators of new supply, England: April to June 2026 (24 Sep 2026)", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/housing-supply-indicators-of-new-supply-england-april-to-june-2026/housing-supply-indicators-of-new-supply-england-april-to-june-2026", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "MHCLG: Housing supply: net additional dwellings, England: 2024 to 2025 (20 Nov 2025)", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/housing-supply-net-additional-dwellings-england-2024-to-2025/housing-supply-net-additional-dwellings-england-2024-to-2025", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "HM Government: Plan for Change, milestones for mission-led government (5 Dec 2024)", "url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/6751af4719e0c816d18d1df3/Plan_for_Change.pdf", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "HM Treasury: Spending Review 2025 (11 Jun 2025)", "url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/68627094354985706f111adc/E03349913_HMT_Spending_Review_June_2025_TEXT_CS_Accessible__002_.pdf", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Planning and Infrastructure Act 2025", "url": "https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2025/34", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "Labour will get Britain building again, creating jobs across England, with 1.5 million new homes over the next parliament.", "recorded_on": "2024-06-13", "source_url": "https://labour.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Labour-Party-manifesto-2024.pdf#page=36", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-06", "cost": null } ], "events": [ { "date": "2024-06-13", "type": "promised", "text": "Labour manifesto pledges 1.5 million new homes over the Parliament", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false }, { "date": "2024-12-05", "type": "in_plan", "text": "The government's Plan for Change sets building 1.5 million homes in England as a milestone", "evidence_url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/6751af4719e0c816d18d1df3/Plan_for_Change.pdf", "auto": false }, { "date": "2025-06-11", "type": "funded", "text": "Spending Review 2025 confirms £39bn for a new 10-year Affordable Homes Programme", "evidence_url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/68627094354985706f111adc/E03349913_HMT_Spending_Review_June_2025_TEXT_CS_Accessible__002_.pdf", "auto": false }, { "date": "2025-11-20", "type": "delivering", "text": "Official estimate: 275,600 net additional homes in England from 9 July 2024 to 9 November 2025", "evidence_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/housing-supply-net-additional-dwellings-england-2024-to-2025/housing-supply-net-additional-dwellings-england-2024-to-2025", "auto": false }, { "date": "2025-12-18", "type": "legislated", "text": "Planning and Infrastructure Act 2025 receives Royal Assent (the manifesto ties planning reform to the target)", "evidence_url": "https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2025/34", "auto": false }, { "date": "2026-09-24", "type": "delivering", "text": "Official estimate: 437,900 net additional homes in England from 9 July 2024 to 20 September 2026", "evidence_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/housing-supply-indicators-of-new-supply-england-april-to-june-2026/housing-supply-indicators-of-new-supply-england-april-to-june-2026", "auto": false }, { "date": "2029-07-01", "type": "deadline", "text": "End of the Parliament (editorial date)", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [], "contracts": [ "ocds-b5fd17-199d7c84-a3d7-4db7-97c5-adc77fbd0202", "ocds-b5fd17-90d99861-b50c-41c7-b887-099339c4ea81", "ocds-b5fd17-037c328b-982f-4112-867a-20211aef5235", "ocds-b5fd17-51d43372-dcbe-4ed4-a14f-39b76b57f06a", "ocds-b5fd17-8ef59a0b-6fe9-41e6-a3f0-e39c329dfa04" ] }, { "id": "uk-neighbourhood-police-2024", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-neighbourhood-police-2024", "headline": "Thousands of new neighbourhood police officers", "actor_id": "labour", "actor_name": "Labour Party", "party_id": "labour", "made_on": "2024-06-13", "venue": "manifesto", "venue_label": "2024 manifesto, page 64", "policy_area": "public_order", "status": "delivering", "status_label": "Delivering", "status_note": "The Neighbourhood Policing Guarantee started in April 2025 with a £200m grant. Official statistics show 3,814 more full-time-equivalent officers and PCSOs in neighbourhood roles at 31 March 2026 than a year earlier. Over the same year the total number of police officers fell by 566 FTE, PCSOs by 55 FTE and special constables by 324 (headcount); the neighbourhood measure counts officers and PCSOs, including those in training, but not special constables (Home Office, Police workforce, 31 March 2026). The manifesto text says \"thousands\"; its costings (page 129) and the government's milestone put the number at 13,000. The manifesto gives no date; the government's milestone is this Parliament, taken as by 1 July 2029.", "deadline": "2029-07-01", "outcome_by": "hm-government", "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "manual", "text": "Labour will introduce a new Neighbourhood Policing Guarantee, restoring patrols to our town centres by recruiting thousands of new police officers, police and community support officers, and special constables.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://labour.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Labour-Party-manifesto-2024.pdf#page=64", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-06", "quote_licence": "Quoted for reporting; rights stay with the publisher", "who": "Communities in England and Wales; police forces recruit or move officers, PCSOs and special constables into neighbourhood roles", "when": "Not dated in the manifesto; the government's milestone is 13,000 over this Parliament (taken as by 1 July 2029)", "funded_by": "\"These new recruits will be paid for by tackling waste through a new Police Efficiency and Collaboration programme for England and Wales.\" (manifesto page 65)", "cost": { "low": 0.36, "central": 0.4, "high": 0.44, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Year used: the year of highest cost, as Labour's costings give one annualised figure. Labour re-allocates £400m a year from a Police Efficiency and Collaboration Programme to \"13,000 additional neighbourhood police and community PCSOs; and specialist domestic abuse advisers in 999 control rooms at peak times\" (manifesto page 129); central figure only. No independent costing was found. The first-year Neighbourhood Policing Grant in 2025-26 was £200m (Home Office police funding statistics). Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "sources": [ { "title": "Labour Party: Change, 2024 manifesto (PDF), costings, page 129", "url": "https://labour.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Labour-Party-manifesto-2024.pdf#page=129" }, { "title": "Home Office: Police funding for England and Wales 2015 to 2027", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/police-funding-for-england-and-wales-2015-to-2027/police-funding-for-england-and-wales-2015-to-2027" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "party", "name": "Labour Party" } }, "sources": [ { "title": "Labour Party: Change, 2024 manifesto (PDF), pages 64-65", "url": "https://labour.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Labour-Party-manifesto-2024.pdf#page=64", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Labour Party: Change, 2024 manifesto (PDF), costings, page 129", "url": "https://labour.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Labour-Party-manifesto-2024.pdf#page=129", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Home Office: Police workforce, England and Wales: 31 March 2026 (22 Jul 2026)", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/police-workforce-england-and-wales-31-march-2026/police-workforce-england-and-wales-31-march-2026", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Home Office: Police funding for England and Wales 2015 to 2027 (19 Aug 2026)", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/police-funding-for-england-and-wales-2015-to-2027/police-funding-for-england-and-wales-2015-to-2027", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Home Office news: More detail announced on the Neighbourhood Policing Guarantee (10 Apr 2025)", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/more-detail-announced-on-the-neighbourhood-policing-guarantee", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "HM Government: Plan for Change, milestones for mission-led government (5 Dec 2024)", "url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/6751af4719e0c816d18d1df3/Plan_for_Change.pdf", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "Labour will introduce a new Neighbourhood Policing Guarantee, restoring patrols to our town centres by recruiting thousands of new police officers, police and community support officers, and special constables.", "recorded_on": "2024-06-13", "source_url": "https://labour.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Labour-Party-manifesto-2024.pdf#page=64", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-06", "cost": { "low": 0.36, "central": 0.4, "high": 0.44, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Year used: the year of highest cost, as Labour's costings give one annualised figure. Labour re-allocates £400m a year from a Police Efficiency and Collaboration Programme to \"13,000 additional neighbourhood police and community PCSOs; and specialist domestic abuse advisers in 999 control rooms at peak times\" (manifesto page 129); central figure only. No independent costing was found. The first-year Neighbourhood Policing Grant in 2025-26 was £200m (Home Office police funding statistics). Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "sources": [ { "title": "Labour Party: Change, 2024 manifesto (PDF), costings, page 129", "url": "https://labour.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Labour-Party-manifesto-2024.pdf#page=129" }, { "title": "Home Office: Police funding for England and Wales 2015 to 2027", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/police-funding-for-england-and-wales-2015-to-2027/police-funding-for-england-and-wales-2015-to-2027" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "party", "name": "Labour Party" } } } ], "events": [ { "date": "2024-06-13", "type": "promised", "text": "Labour manifesto pledges a Neighbourhood Policing Guarantee with thousands of new officers, PCSOs and specials", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false }, { "date": "2024-10-30", "type": "in_plan", "text": "Autumn Budget 2024 says the police settlement puts the government on track to start delivering 13,000 more neighbourhood officers and PCSOs", "evidence_url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/672b9695fbd69e1861921c63/Autumn_Budget_2024_Accessible.pdf", "auto": false }, { "date": "2024-12-05", "type": "in_plan", "text": "Plan for Change milestone: 13,000 additional officers, PCSOs and special constables in neighbourhood roles in England and Wales", "evidence_url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/6751af4719e0c816d18d1df3/Plan_for_Change.pdf", "auto": false }, { "date": "2025-04-01", "type": "funded", "text": "A £200m Neighbourhood Policing Grant is introduced for 2025-26", "evidence_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/police-funding-for-england-and-wales-2015-to-2027/police-funding-for-england-and-wales-2015-to-2027", "auto": false }, { "date": "2025-04-10", "type": "in_plan", "text": "Government says 3,000 more neighbourhood officers and PCSOs will be in post within 12 months, and 13,000 by 2029", "evidence_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/more-detail-announced-on-the-neighbourhood-policing-guarantee", "auto": false }, { "date": "2025-06-11", "type": "funded", "text": "Spending Review 2025 raises police spending power by an average 2.3% a year in real terms from 2023-24 to 2028-29, citing the 13,000 commitment", "evidence_url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/68627094354985706f111adc/E03349913_HMT_Spending_Review_June_2025_TEXT_CS_Accessible__002_.pdf", "auto": false }, { "date": "2026-07-22", "type": "delivering", "text": "Official statistics: 20,989 full-time-equivalent officers and PCSOs in neighbourhood roles at 31 March 2026, up 3,814 on the 31 March 2025 baseline", "evidence_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/police-workforce-england-and-wales-31-march-2026/police-workforce-england-and-wales-31-march-2026", "auto": false }, { "date": "2029-07-01", "type": "deadline", "text": "End of the Parliament (editorial date)", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [ { "date": "2026-10-06", "path": "events[5].text", "was": "Spending Review 2025 raises police spending power by an average 2.3% a year in real terms, citing the 13,000 commitment", "now": "Spending Review 2025 raises police spending power by an average 2.3% a year in real terms from 2023-24 to 2028-29, citing the 13,000 commitment", "reason": "The entry left out the period the average covers. The Spending Review gives 2.3% a year in real terms from 2023-24 to 2028-29.", "source_url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/68627094354985706f111adc/E03349913_HMT_Spending_Review_June_2025_TEXT_CS_Accessible__002_.pdf" } ], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-nhs-40000-appointments-2024", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-nhs-40000-appointments-2024", "headline": "40,000 more NHS appointments every week", "actor_id": "labour", "actor_name": "Labour Party", "party_id": "labour", "made_on": "2024-06-13", "venue": "manifesto", "venue_label": "2024 manifesto, page 95", "policy_area": "health", "status": "delivering", "status_label": "Delivering", "status_note": "The government reported almost 2.2 million more elective appointments in England in July to November 2024 than a year earlier, and in July 2025 the UK Statistics Authority said its regulator had verified a figure of 3.6 million extra in the government's first eight months. The pledge is for every year, so the card sits at Delivering rather than Delivered. The manifesto sets no end date.", "deadline": null, "outcome_by": "hm-government", "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "manual", "text": "As a first step, in England we will deliver an extra two million NHS operations, scans, and appointments every year; that is 40,000 more appointments every week.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://labour.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Labour-Party-manifesto-2024.pdf#page=95", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-06", "quote_licence": "Quoted for reporting; rights stay with the publisher", "who": "NHS patients in England waiting for planned (elective) operations, scans and appointments", "when": "Every year from the start of the Parliament; no end date stated", "funded_by": "Cracking down on tax avoidance and non-dom loopholes (manifesto page 10)", "cost": { "low": 0.909, "central": 1.01, "high": 1.111, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Year used: 2028-29, the year Labour's costings use. Labour's own figure is £1,010m (manifesto page 127); central figure only. No independent costing of the pledge itself was found. For comparison, Autumn Budget 2024 included an additional £1.8bn to support elective activity since July 2024, and a £22.6bn rise in the health department's day-to-day budget in 2025-26 compared with 2023-24. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "sources": [ { "title": "Labour Party: Change, 2024 manifesto (PDF), costings, page 127", "url": "https://labour.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Labour-Party-manifesto-2024.pdf#page=127" }, { "title": "HM Treasury: Autumn Budget 2024", "url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/672b9695fbd69e1861921c63/Autumn_Budget_2024_Accessible.pdf" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "party", "name": "Labour Party" } }, "sources": [ { "title": "Labour Party: Change, 2024 manifesto (PDF), page 95", "url": "https://labour.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Labour-Party-manifesto-2024.pdf#page=95", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "DHSC press release: Over two million extra NHS appointments delivered early (16 Feb 2025)", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/over-two-million-extra-nhs-appointments-delivered-early-as-trusts-handed-40-million-to-go-further-and-faster", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "UK Statistics Authority: letter from Sir Robert Chote to Helen Morgan MP (16 Jul 2025)", "url": "https://uksa.statisticsauthority.gov.uk/correspondence/letter-from-sir-robert-chote-to-helen-morgan-mp-nhs-appointment-statistics/", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "UK Statistics Authority: letter from Helen Morgan MP to Sir Robert Chote (23 May 2025)", "url": "https://uksa.statisticsauthority.gov.uk/correspondence/helen-morgan-mp-to-sir-robert-chote-nhs-appointment-statistics/", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "HM Treasury: Autumn Budget 2024 (30 Oct 2024)", "url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/672b9695fbd69e1861921c63/Autumn_Budget_2024_Accessible.pdf", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "HM Treasury: Budget 2025 (26 Nov 2025)", "url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/6929b353345e31ab14ecf735/E03444720_Budget_2025_Web_Accessible.pdf", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "As a first step, in England we will deliver an extra two million NHS operations, scans, and appointments every year; that is 40,000 more appointments every week.", "recorded_on": "2024-06-13", "source_url": "https://labour.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Labour-Party-manifesto-2024.pdf#page=95", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-06", "cost": { "low": 0.909, "central": 1.01, "high": 1.111, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Year used: 2028-29, the year Labour's costings use. Labour's own figure is £1,010m (manifesto page 127); central figure only. No independent costing of the pledge itself was found. For comparison, Autumn Budget 2024 included an additional £1.8bn to support elective activity since July 2024, and a £22.6bn rise in the health department's day-to-day budget in 2025-26 compared with 2023-24. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "sources": [ { "title": "Labour Party: Change, 2024 manifesto (PDF), costings, page 127", "url": "https://labour.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Labour-Party-manifesto-2024.pdf#page=127" }, { "title": "HM Treasury: Autumn Budget 2024", "url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/672b9695fbd69e1861921c63/Autumn_Budget_2024_Accessible.pdf" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "party", "name": "Labour Party" } } } ], "events": [ { "date": "2024-06-13", "type": "promised", "text": "Labour manifesto pledges two million extra NHS operations, scans and appointments a year in England", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false }, { "date": "2024-10-30", "type": "funded", "text": "Autumn Budget 2024 funds the NHS in England to deliver 40,000 extra elective appointments a week, including an additional £1.8bn for elective activity since July", "evidence_url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/672b9695fbd69e1861921c63/Autumn_Budget_2024_Accessible.pdf", "auto": false }, { "date": "2025-02-16", "type": "delivering", "text": "Government reports almost 2.2 million more elective appointments in July to November 2024 than in the same months of 2023", "evidence_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/over-two-million-extra-nhs-appointments-delivered-early-as-trusts-handed-40-million-to-go-further-and-faster", "auto": false }, { "date": "2025-07-16", "type": "delivering", "text": "UK Statistics Authority letter says the Office for Statistics Regulation has verified the government's figure of 3.6 million additional elective appointments in its first eight months", "evidence_url": "https://uksa.statisticsauthority.gov.uk/correspondence/letter-from-sir-robert-chote-to-helen-morgan-mp-nhs-appointment-statistics/", "auto": false }, { "date": "2025-11-26", "type": "delivering", "text": "Budget 2025 reports 5.2 million more appointments delivered since the start of the Parliament", "evidence_url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/6929b353345e31ab14ecf735/E03444720_Budget_2025_Web_Accessible.pdf", "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [ { "date": "2026-10-06", "path": "versions[0].parameters.cost_note", "was": "Year used: 2028-29, the year Labour's costings use. Labour's own figure is £1,010m (manifesto page 127); central figure only. No independent costing of the pledge itself was found. For comparison, Autumn Budget 2024 gave an additional £1.8bn to support elective activity in 2024-25, within a £22.6bn rise in the health department's day-to-day budget for 2025-26 compared with 2023-24. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "now": "Year used: 2028-29, the year Labour's costings use. Labour's own figure is £1,010m (manifesto page 127); central figure only. No independent costing of the pledge itself was found. For comparison, Autumn Budget 2024 included an additional £1.8bn to support elective activity since July 2024, and a £22.6bn rise in the health department's day-to-day budget in 2025-26 compared with 2023-24. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "reason": "The note placed the £1.8bn inside the 2025-26 rise of £22.6bn. Autumn Budget 2024 gives the £1.8bn as 2024-25 money for elective activity since July 2024, so it is not part of the 2025-26 rise.", "source_url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/672b9695fbd69e1861921c63/Autumn_Budget_2024_Accessible.pdf" }, { "date": "2026-10-06", "path": "events[3].text", "was": "UK Statistics Authority letter says the Office for Statistics Regulation has verified the government's figure of 3.6 million additional elective appointments", "now": "UK Statistics Authority letter says the Office for Statistics Regulation has verified the government's figure of 3.6 million additional elective appointments in its first eight months", "reason": "The entry left out the period. The verified 3.6 million covers the government's first eight months, as the letter says.", "source_url": "https://uksa.statisticsauthority.gov.uk/correspondence/letter-from-sir-robert-chote-to-helen-morgan-mp-nhs-appointment-statistics/" } ], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-no-tax-rise-working-people-2024", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-no-tax-rise-working-people-2024", "headline": "No tax rises for working people", "actor_id": "labour", "actor_name": "Labour Party", "party_id": "labour", "made_on": "2024-06-13", "venue": "manifesto", "venue_label": "2024 manifesto, page 21", "policy_area": "taxes", "status": "in_plan", "status_label": "In plan", "status_note": "Autumn Budget 2024 restated the commitment (para 2.35), Budget 2025 said the headline rates were not increasing (para 2.27), and the main rates of income tax (20%, 40%, 45%), employee National Insurance and VAT have not risen since the election. Other changes affect the same taxes: employer National Insurance rose to 15% from April 2025, income tax and National Insurance thresholds stay frozen to April 2031, and the dividend ordinary and upper rates rise by 2 points from April 2026, and tax rates on savings and property income by 2 points from April 2027 (Finance Act 2026 ss.4, 5 and 7). The pledge names National Insurance, the main rates of income tax and VAT; it does not cover capital gains tax, whose main rates Autumn Budget 2024 raised from 10% and 20% to 18% and 24% from 30 October 2024 (para 2.48). The card stays at In plan until the pledge can be judged as a whole at the end of the Parliament, taken as 1 July 2029.", "deadline": "2029-07-01", "outcome_by": "hm-government", "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "manual", "text": "Labour will not increase taxes on working people, which is why we will not increase National Insurance, the basic, higher, or additional rates of Income Tax, or VAT.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://labour.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Labour-Party-manifesto-2024.pdf#page=21", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-06", "quote_licence": "Quoted for reporting; rights stay with the publisher", "who": "People in work across the UK who pay income tax, National Insurance and VAT", "when": "For the Parliament (taken as to 1 July 2029)", "funded_by": null, "cost": null, "sources": [ { "title": "Labour Party: Change, 2024 manifesto (PDF), page 21", "url": "https://labour.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Labour-Party-manifesto-2024.pdf#page=21", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "HM Treasury: Autumn Budget 2024 (30 Oct 2024)", "url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/672b9695fbd69e1861921c63/Autumn_Budget_2024_Accessible.pdf", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "HM Treasury: Budget 2025 (26 Nov 2025)", "url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/6929b353345e31ab14ecf735/E03444720_Budget_2025_Web_Accessible.pdf", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "National Insurance Contributions (Secondary Class 1 Contributions) Act 2025", "url": "https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2025/11", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Finance Act 2026 (main, dividend, savings and property income rates)", "url": "https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2026/11/contents", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "Labour will not increase taxes on working people, which is why we will not increase National Insurance, the basic, higher, or additional rates of Income Tax, or VAT.", "recorded_on": "2024-06-13", "source_url": "https://labour.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Labour-Party-manifesto-2024.pdf#page=21", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-06", "cost": null } ], "events": [ { "date": "2024-06-13", "type": "promised", "text": "Labour manifesto pledges not to raise National Insurance, the main rates of income tax or VAT", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false }, { "date": "2024-10-30", "type": "in_plan", "text": "Autumn Budget 2024 says the government is not increasing the basic, higher or additional rates of income tax, National Insurance contributions or VAT; the same Budget raises the employer National Insurance rate to 15% from April 2025", "evidence_url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/672b9695fbd69e1861921c63/Autumn_Budget_2024_Accessible.pdf", "auto": false }, { "date": "2025-11-26", "type": "in_plan", "text": "Budget 2025 says the government is not increasing the headline rates of income tax, National Insurance contributions or VAT; it extends the threshold freeze to April 2031 and raises tax rates on dividend, savings and property income", "evidence_url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/6929b353345e31ab14ecf735/E03444720_Budget_2025_Web_Accessible.pdf", "auto": false }, { "date": "2029-07-01", "type": "deadline", "text": "End of the Parliament (editorial date)", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [ { "date": "2026-10-08", "path": "versions[0].parameters.cost_note", "was": "A pledge not to raise rates has no direct cost against existing plans, and no official costing of it exists. Labour's fiscal plan says policies not listed in its costings are funded from existing budgets or have no cost.", "now": "Keeping this pledge costs nothing against current plans, because it only rules out rises; Labour's fiscal plan lists no cost for it. For scale, HMRC estimates that in 2027-28 1p on the basic rate of income tax would raise about £8.25bn, 1 percentage point on the main rate of employee National Insurance about £5.3bn, and 1 percentage point on the standard rate of VAT about £9.2bn. These are HMRC's June 2025 estimates, made before Budget 2025; HMRC has postponed its next update.", "reason": "The note now gives HMRC's official estimates of what each rise the pledge rules out would raise, for scale. The pledge itself still has no cost against current plans.", "source_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/direct-effects-of-illustrative-tax-changes/direct-effects-of-illustrative-tax-changes-bulletin-january-2025" }, { "date": "2026-10-08", "path": "versions[0].parameters.cost_sources", "was": [ { "title": "Labour Party: Change, 2024 manifesto (PDF), fiscal plan, page 126", "url": "https://labour.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Labour-Party-manifesto-2024.pdf#page=126" } ], "now": [ { "title": "Labour Party: Change, 2024 manifesto (PDF), fiscal plan, page 126", "url": "https://labour.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Labour-Party-manifesto-2024.pdf#page=126" }, { "title": "HMRC: Direct effects of illustrative tax changes, bulletin (June 2025)", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/direct-effects-of-illustrative-tax-changes/direct-effects-of-illustrative-tax-changes-bulletin-january-2025" }, { "title": "HMRC: Direct effects of illustrative tax changes, tables (June 2025, ODS)", "url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/68552862b46781eacfd71d71/June_2025_TRR_ODS__1_.ods" }, { "title": "HMRC: 2026 statistics announcements (6 Jul 2026: next edition postponed)", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/schedule-of-updates-and-announcements-for-hmrcs-statistics/2026-hmrc-statistics-announcements" } ], "reason": "The note now gives HMRC's official estimates of what each rise the pledge rules out would raise, for scale. The pledge itself still has no cost against current plans.", "source_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/direct-effects-of-illustrative-tax-changes/direct-effects-of-illustrative-tax-changes-bulletin-january-2025" } ], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-plaid-cgt-equalise-2024", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-plaid-cgt-equalise-2024", "headline": "Equalise capital gains tax with income tax", "actor_id": "plaid-cymru", "actor_name": "Plaid Cymru", "party_id": "plaid-cymru", "made_on": "2024-06-13", "venue": "manifesto", "venue_label": "2024 manifesto, page 8", "policy_area": "taxes", "status": "promised", "status_label": "Promised", "status_note": "Plaid Cymru is not in government, so the card stays at Promised. Capital gains tax is set for the whole UK at Westminster.", "deadline": null, "outcome_by": null, "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "manual", "text": "Plaid Cymru would equalise capital gains tax with income tax, raising between £12bn - £15bn.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://assets.nationbuilder.com/plaid2016/pages/13170/attachments/original/1721133624/Plaid_Cymru_Maniffesto_2024_ENGLISH.pdf?1721133624", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-09", "quote_licence": "Quoted for reporting; rights stay with the publisher", "who": "People across the UK who make taxable capital gains", "when": "Not stated", "funded_by": "Not a spending pledge", "cost": { "low": -15, "central": -13.5, "high": -12, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Negative because the pledge raises money. Year not stated by the party. Low and high are the party's own range, £12bn to £15bn (manifesto page 8); central is the midpoint. Independent estimates depend on the design. The Office of Tax Simplification (2020) put a static figure for aligning the rates at about £14bn a year, and said \"nothing like this amount would be raised in practice\". CenTax (September 2026) estimates £19.7bn more in 2030, but only for a package that also adds an investment allowance, ends the tax-free uplift at death and taxes gains when people leave the UK. HMRC's official estimates stop at a 10-point rise, show that rise on the higher rate losing £3,565m in 2028-29, and cannot be scaled up. No official costing of full alignment exists.", "sources": [ { "title": "Plaid Cymru: 2024 manifesto (PDF), page 8", "url": "https://assets.nationbuilder.com/plaid2016/pages/13170/attachments/original/1721133624/Plaid_Cymru_Maniffesto_2024_ENGLISH.pdf?1721133624" }, { "title": "Office of Tax Simplification: Capital Gains Tax review, first report (Nov 2020), page 39", "url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/935073/Capital_Gains_Tax_stage_1_report_-_Nov_2020_-_web_copy.pdf#page=39" }, { "title": "CenTax: Taxes at the top (Sep 2026), page 19", "url": "https://centax.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/AdvaniHughsonSummers2026_Taxes-at-the-top.pdf#page=19" }, { "title": "HMRC: Direct effects of illustrative tax changes, tables (June 2025, ODS)", "url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/68552862b46781eacfd71d71/June_2025_TRR_ODS__1_.ods" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "party", "name": "Plaid Cymru" } }, "sources": [ { "title": "Plaid Cymru: For fairness, for ambition, for Wales, 2024 manifesto (PDF), page 8", "url": "https://assets.nationbuilder.com/plaid2016/pages/13170/attachments/original/1721133624/Plaid_Cymru_Maniffesto_2024_ENGLISH.pdf?1721133624", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "Plaid Cymru would equalise capital gains tax with income tax, raising between £12bn - £15bn.", "recorded_on": "2024-06-13", "source_url": "https://assets.nationbuilder.com/plaid2016/pages/13170/attachments/original/1721133624/Plaid_Cymru_Maniffesto_2024_ENGLISH.pdf?1721133624", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-09", "cost": { "low": -15, "central": -13.5, "high": -12, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Negative because the pledge raises money. Year not stated by the party. Low and high are the party's own range, £12bn to £15bn (manifesto page 8); central is the midpoint. Independent estimates depend on the design. The Office of Tax Simplification (2020) put a static figure for aligning the rates at about £14bn a year, and said \"nothing like this amount would be raised in practice\". CenTax (September 2026) estimates £19.7bn more in 2030, but only for a package that also adds an investment allowance, ends the tax-free uplift at death and taxes gains when people leave the UK. HMRC's official estimates stop at a 10-point rise, show that rise on the higher rate losing £3,565m in 2028-29, and cannot be scaled up. No official costing of full alignment exists.", "sources": [ { "title": "Plaid Cymru: 2024 manifesto (PDF), page 8", "url": "https://assets.nationbuilder.com/plaid2016/pages/13170/attachments/original/1721133624/Plaid_Cymru_Maniffesto_2024_ENGLISH.pdf?1721133624" }, { "title": "Office of Tax Simplification: Capital Gains Tax review, first report (Nov 2020), page 39", "url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/935073/Capital_Gains_Tax_stage_1_report_-_Nov_2020_-_web_copy.pdf#page=39" }, { "title": "CenTax: Taxes at the top (Sep 2026), page 19", "url": "https://centax.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/AdvaniHughsonSummers2026_Taxes-at-the-top.pdf#page=19" }, { "title": "HMRC: Direct effects of illustrative tax changes, tables (June 2025, ODS)", "url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/68552862b46781eacfd71d71/June_2025_TRR_ODS__1_.ods" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "party", "name": "Plaid Cymru" } } } ], "events": [ { "date": "2024-06-13", "type": "promised", "text": "Plaid Cymru manifesto pledges to equalise capital gains tax with income tax", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-plaid-cost-of-living-2024", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-plaid-cost-of-living-2024", "headline": "Address the cost of living crisis in Wales", "actor_id": "plaid-cymru", "actor_name": "Plaid Cymru", "party_id": "plaid-cymru", "made_on": "2024-06-13", "venue": "manifesto", "venue_label": "2024 manifesto, introduction by Rhun ap Iorwerth, page 2", "policy_area": "economic_affairs", "status": "unscoreable", "status_label": "Unscoreable", "status_note": "The sentence commits to addressing the cost of living crisis but names no specific measure, amount or date, so it cannot be scored (Promise standard, section 2). The manifesto's specific pledges, such as the £4bn HS2 claim, would be separate cards.", "deadline": null, "outcome_by": null, "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "manual", "text": "By supporting families and by devolving powers to ensure that more of the decisions that affect Wales are made in Wales, we will address the cost of living crisis and provide Welsh solutions to Welsh problems.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://assets.nationbuilder.com/plaid2016/pages/13170/attachments/original/1721133624/Plaid_Cymru_Maniffesto_2024_ENGLISH.pdf?1721133624", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-06", "quote_licence": "Quoted for reporting; rights stay with the publisher", "who": null, "when": null, "funded_by": null, "cost": null, "sources": [ { "title": "Plaid Cymru: For fairness, for ambition, for Wales, 2024 manifesto (PDF), page 2", "url": "https://assets.nationbuilder.com/plaid2016/pages/13170/attachments/original/1721133624/Plaid_Cymru_Maniffesto_2024_ENGLISH.pdf?1721133624", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Plaid Cymru: manifesto launch, 13 Jun 2024", "url": "https://www.partyof.wales/lansio_maniffesto_2024", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "By supporting families and by devolving powers to ensure that more of the decisions that affect Wales are made in Wales, we will address the cost of living crisis and provide Welsh solutions to Welsh problems.", "recorded_on": "2024-06-13", "source_url": "https://assets.nationbuilder.com/plaid2016/pages/13170/attachments/original/1721133624/Plaid_Cymru_Maniffesto_2024_ENGLISH.pdf?1721133624", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-06", "cost": null } ], "events": [ { "date": "2024-06-13", "type": "promised", "text": "Plaid Cymru manifesto introduction pledges to address the cost of living crisis", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-vat-private-schools-2024", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-vat-private-schools-2024", "headline": "End private schools’ VAT exemption and rates relief", "actor_id": "labour", "actor_name": "Labour Party", "party_id": "labour", "made_on": "2024-06-13", "venue": "manifesto", "venue_label": "2024 manifesto, page 82", "policy_area": "taxes", "status": "delivered", "status_label": "Delivered", "status_note": "VAT at 20% has applied to private school fees since 1 January 2025 (Finance Act 2025), and charitable business rates relief for private schools in England ended from the 2025-26 financial year (Non-Domestic Rating (Multipliers and Private Schools) Act 2025). Business rates are devolved outside England. The High Court dismissed a human rights challenge to the VAT change on 13 June 2025 and the Court of Appeal dismissed the appeals on 27 February 2026; the Supreme Court gave permission to appeal on 22 May 2026 and has listed a hearing for 1–2 December 2026. This card tracks the two tax changes, not how the money is spent.", "deadline": null, "outcome_by": "hm-government", "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "manual", "text": "Labour will end the VAT exemption and business rates relief for private schools to invest in our state schools.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://labour.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Labour-Party-manifesto-2024.pdf#page=82", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-06", "quote_licence": "Quoted for reporting; rights stay with the publisher", "who": "Families paying private school fees and the schools (pay more); the stated aim is investment in state schools", "when": "VAT from 1 January 2025; business rates relief removed from April 2025", "funded_by": "Not a spending pledge; the manifesto says the change is \"to invest in our state schools\" (page 82), and its costings count the revenue towards public service pledges including 6,500 new expert teachers (page 127)", "cost": { "low": -1.75, "central": -1.75, "high": -1.51, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Negative because the pledge raises money. Year used: 2028-29, the year Labour's costings use. Central is the official figure from Autumn Budget 2024, certified by the OBR: £1,665m from VAT plus £85m from business rates (£1.75bn). The other end of the range is Labour's own figure for the same year, £1,510m (manifesto page 127). Official figures for other years: £460m VAT in 2024-25 (part year); £1,505m VAT and £70m rates in 2025-26; £1,560m and £85m in 2026-27; £1,725m and £90m in 2029-30.", "sources": [ { "title": "Labour Party: Change, 2024 manifesto (PDF), costings, page 127", "url": "https://labour.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Labour-Party-manifesto-2024.pdf#page=127" }, { "title": "HMRC: Private school fees, VAT measure (Exchequer impact)", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/vat-on-private-school-fees/applying-vat-to-private-school-fees" }, { "title": "HM Treasury: Autumn Budget 2024, Table 5.1, lines 22-23", "url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/672b9695fbd69e1861921c63/Autumn_Budget_2024_Accessible.pdf" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "official", "name": "HM Treasury" } }, "sources": [ { "title": "Labour Party: Change, 2024 manifesto (PDF), page 82", "url": "https://labour.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Labour-Party-manifesto-2024.pdf#page=82", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "HMRC: Private school fees, VAT measure (30 Oct 2024)", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/vat-on-private-school-fees/applying-vat-to-private-school-fees", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Finance Act 2025, section 47: removal of exemption for private school fees", "url": "https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2025/8/section/47", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Non-Domestic Rating (Multipliers and Private Schools) Act 2025", "url": "https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2025/12/contents", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "High Court press summary: R (ALR and others) v Chancellor of the Exchequer, 13 Jun 2025", "url": "https://www.judiciary.uk/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/ALR-and-others-v-Chancellor-of-the-Exchequer-private-schools-VAT-judgment-PRESS-SUMMARY.pdf", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Court of Appeal judgment: R (BYL and another) v Chancellor of the Exchequer [2026] EWCA Civ 170, 27 Feb 2026", "url": "https://caselaw.nationalarchives.gov.uk/ewca/civ/2026/170", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "UK Supreme Court: case UKSC 2026/0056, R (BYL and another) v Chancellor of the Exchequer and others", "url": "https://www.supremecourt.uk/cases/uksc-2026-0056", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "UK Supreme Court: case UKSC 2026/0045, R (Emmanuel School (Derby) Ltd and others) v Chancellor of the Exchequer and others", "url": "https://www.supremecourt.uk/cases/uksc-2026-0045", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "Labour will end the VAT exemption and business rates relief for private schools to invest in our state schools.", "recorded_on": "2024-06-13", "source_url": "https://labour.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Labour-Party-manifesto-2024.pdf#page=82", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-06", "cost": { "low": -1.75, "central": -1.75, "high": -1.51, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Negative because the pledge raises money. Year used: 2028-29, the year Labour's costings use. Central is the official figure from Autumn Budget 2024, certified by the OBR: £1,665m from VAT plus £85m from business rates (£1.75bn). The other end of the range is Labour's own figure for the same year, £1,510m (manifesto page 127). Official figures for other years: £460m VAT in 2024-25 (part year); £1,505m VAT and £70m rates in 2025-26; £1,560m and £85m in 2026-27; £1,725m and £90m in 2029-30.", "sources": [ { "title": "Labour Party: Change, 2024 manifesto (PDF), costings, page 127", "url": "https://labour.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Labour-Party-manifesto-2024.pdf#page=127" }, { "title": "HMRC: Private school fees, VAT measure (Exchequer impact)", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/vat-on-private-school-fees/applying-vat-to-private-school-fees" }, { "title": "HM Treasury: Autumn Budget 2024, Table 5.1, lines 22-23", "url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/672b9695fbd69e1861921c63/Autumn_Budget_2024_Accessible.pdf" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "official", "name": "HM Treasury" } } } ], "events": [ { "date": "2024-06-13", "type": "promised", "text": "Labour manifesto pledges to end the VAT exemption and business rates relief for private schools", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false }, { "date": "2024-10-30", "type": "in_plan", "text": "Autumn Budget 2024 confirms VAT on private school fees from 1 January 2025 and the end of charitable business rates relief for private schools in England from April 2025", "evidence_url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/vat-on-private-school-fees/applying-vat-to-private-school-fees", "auto": false }, { "date": "2025-01-01", "type": "delivering", "text": "VAT at 20% applies to private school education and boarding provided from 1 January 2025", "evidence_url": "https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2025/8/section/49", "auto": false }, { "date": "2025-03-20", "type": "legislated", "text": "Finance Act 2025 (sections 47 to 49) receives Royal Assent", "evidence_url": "https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2025/8/section/47", "auto": false }, { "date": "2025-04-03", "type": "legislated", "text": "Non-Domestic Rating (Multipliers and Private Schools) Act 2025 receives Royal Assent; section 5 removes charitable rate relief from private schools in England", "evidence_url": "https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2025/12/contents", "auto": false }, { "date": "2025-04-03", "type": "delivered", "text": "Both changes are in force: VAT since 1 January 2025, and the end of rates relief for the financial year from 1 April 2025", "evidence_url": "https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2025/12/section/6/enacted", "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-green-cgt-align-2024", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-green-cgt-align-2024", "headline": "Align capital gains tax with income tax", "actor_id": "green-party", "actor_name": "Green Party of England and Wales", "party_id": "green-party", "made_on": "2024-06-12", "venue": "manifesto", "venue_label": "2024 manifesto, page 13", "policy_area": "taxes", "status": "promised", "status_label": "Promised", "status_note": "The Green Party is not in government, so the card stays at Promised.", "deadline": null, "outcome_by": null, "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "manual", "text": "Elected Greens will push too for the reform Capital Gains Tax (CGT) by aligning the rates paid by taxpayers on income and taxable gains. This would affect less than 2% of all income-tax payers.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://greenparty.org.uk/app/uploads/2024/06/Green-Party-2024-General-Election-Manifesto-Long-version-with-cover.pdf#page=13", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-09", "quote_licence": "Quoted for reporting; rights stay with the publisher", "who": "People with taxable capital gains; the party says under 2% of income tax payers would be affected", "when": "By the end of the Parliament, in the party's estimate", "funded_by": "Not a spending pledge; the party says the money raised would pay for its investment in public services", "cost": { "low": -20.9, "central": -19, "high": -17.1, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Negative because the pledge raises money. Year shown: the end of the Parliament, the year of the party's figure. Party figure: about £19bn a year by the end of the Parliament (budget background paper, page 3). Independent estimates depend on the design. The Office of Tax Simplification (2020) put a static figure for aligning the rates at about £14bn a year, and said \"nothing like this amount would be raised in practice\". CenTax (September 2026) estimates £19.7bn more in 2030, but only for a package that also adds an investment allowance, ends the tax-free uplift at death and taxes gains when people leave the UK. HMRC's official estimates stop at a 10-point rise, show that rise on the higher rate losing £3,565m in 2028-29, and cannot be scaled up. No official costing of full alignment exists. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the party gives a central figure only.", "sources": [ { "title": "Green Party: Investing in Hope, budget background paper (PDF), page 3", "url": "https://greenparty.org.uk/app/uploads/2024/06/budget-background-v3.pdf#page=3" }, { "title": "Office of Tax Simplification: Capital Gains Tax review, first report (Nov 2020), page 39", "url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/935073/Capital_Gains_Tax_stage_1_report_-_Nov_2020_-_web_copy.pdf#page=39" }, { "title": "CenTax: Taxes at the top (Sep 2026), page 19", "url": "https://centax.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/AdvaniHughsonSummers2026_Taxes-at-the-top.pdf#page=19" }, { "title": "HMRC: Direct effects of illustrative tax changes, tables (June 2025, ODS)", "url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/68552862b46781eacfd71d71/June_2025_TRR_ODS__1_.ods" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "party", "name": "Green Party" } }, "sources": [ { "title": "Green Party: Real Hope. Real Change. 2024 manifesto (PDF), page 13", "url": "https://greenparty.org.uk/app/uploads/2024/06/Green-Party-2024-General-Election-Manifesto-Long-version-with-cover.pdf#page=13", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Green Party: Investing in Hope, budget background paper (PDF), June 2024, page 3", "url": "https://greenparty.org.uk/app/uploads/2024/06/budget-background-v3.pdf#page=3", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "Elected Greens will push too for the reform Capital Gains Tax (CGT) by aligning the rates paid by taxpayers on income and taxable gains. This would affect less than 2% of all income-tax payers.", "recorded_on": "2024-06-12", "source_url": "https://greenparty.org.uk/app/uploads/2024/06/Green-Party-2024-General-Election-Manifesto-Long-version-with-cover.pdf#page=13", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-09", "cost": { "low": -20.9, "central": -19, "high": -17.1, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Negative because the pledge raises money. Year shown: the end of the Parliament, the year of the party's figure. Party figure: about £19bn a year by the end of the Parliament (budget background paper, page 3). Independent estimates depend on the design. The Office of Tax Simplification (2020) put a static figure for aligning the rates at about £14bn a year, and said \"nothing like this amount would be raised in practice\". CenTax (September 2026) estimates £19.7bn more in 2030, but only for a package that also adds an investment allowance, ends the tax-free uplift at death and taxes gains when people leave the UK. HMRC's official estimates stop at a 10-point rise, show that rise on the higher rate losing £3,565m in 2028-29, and cannot be scaled up. No official costing of full alignment exists. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the party gives a central figure only.", "sources": [ { "title": "Green Party: Investing in Hope, budget background paper (PDF), page 3", "url": "https://greenparty.org.uk/app/uploads/2024/06/budget-background-v3.pdf#page=3" }, { "title": "Office of Tax Simplification: Capital Gains Tax review, first report (Nov 2020), page 39", "url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/935073/Capital_Gains_Tax_stage_1_report_-_Nov_2020_-_web_copy.pdf#page=39" }, { "title": "CenTax: Taxes at the top (Sep 2026), page 19", "url": "https://centax.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/AdvaniHughsonSummers2026_Taxes-at-the-top.pdf#page=19" }, { "title": "HMRC: Direct effects of illustrative tax changes, tables (June 2025, ODS)", "url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/68552862b46781eacfd71d71/June_2025_TRR_ODS__1_.ods" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "party", "name": "Green Party" } } } ], "events": [ { "date": "2024-06-12", "type": "promised", "text": "Green Party manifesto pledges to push to align the tax rates on income and on capital gains", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-green-wealth-tax-2024", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-green-wealth-tax-2024", "headline": "Push for a wealth tax above £10 million", "actor_id": "green-party", "actor_name": "Green Party of England and Wales", "party_id": "green-party", "made_on": "2024-06-12", "venue": "manifesto", "venue_label": "2024 manifesto, page 20", "policy_area": "taxes", "status": "promised", "status_label": "Promised", "status_note": "The Green Party is not in government, so the card stays at Promised. Leader Zack Polanski restated the same rates in a speech on 18 March 2026 and put the yield at around £15bn a year.", "deadline": null, "outcome_by": null, "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "manual", "text": "Elected Greens will push for a wealth tax. This will tax the wealth of individual taxpayers with assets above £10 million at 1% and assets above £1bn at 2% annually.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://greenparty.org.uk/app/uploads/2024/06/Green-Party-2024-General-Election-Manifesto-Long-version-with-cover.pdf", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-06", "quote_licence": "Quoted for reporting; rights stay with the publisher", "who": "Individual UK-resident taxpayers with net assets above £10m (the party estimates about 22,000 people), with a higher rate above £1bn.", "when": "Not stated; the party's revenue estimate is for the end of the Parliament", "funded_by": "Not a spending pledge; the party says the money raised would pay for its investment in public services", "cost": { "low": -16, "central": -15, "high": -14, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Negative because the pledge raises money rather than costing it. Year shown: a full year of the tax, as the party's figures are yearly amounts (the £16bn is for the end of the Parliament). Party figures only: around £16bn a year by the end of the Parliament (June 2024 budget paper), around £15bn a year (Zack Polanski, March 2026; central) and £14bn in the party's 2024 breakdown, as cited by Tax Policy Associates. No official or independent costing of this design was found. Tax Policy Associates notes that Spain's similar tax raised €632m in 2023 and that the 2020 Wealth Tax Commission advised against an annual wealth tax, and questions whether the yield can be achieved.", "sources": [ { "title": "Green Party: Investing in Hope, budget background paper (PDF)", "url": "https://greenparty.org.uk/app/uploads/2024/06/budget-background-v3.pdf" }, { "title": "Green Party: Zack Polanski speech, 18 Mar 2026", "url": "https://greenparty.org.uk/2026/03/18/zack-polanski-lays-out-plans-to-back-the-caring-majority-in-major-speech/" }, { "title": "Tax Policy Associates: Our take on the Green Party manifesto", "url": "https://taxpolicy.org.uk/2024/06/13/our-take-on-the-green-manifesto/" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "party", "name": "Green Party" } }, "sources": [ { "title": "Green Party: Real Hope. Real Change. 2024 manifesto (PDF), page 20", "url": "https://greenparty.org.uk/app/uploads/2024/06/Green-Party-2024-General-Election-Manifesto-Long-version-with-cover.pdf", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Green Party: Investing in Hope, budget background paper (PDF), June 2024", "url": "https://greenparty.org.uk/app/uploads/2024/06/budget-background-v3.pdf", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Green Party: manifesto launch press release, 12 Jun 2024", "url": "https://greenparty.org.uk/2024/06/12/greens-pledge-investment-to-mend-broken-britain/", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Green Party: Zack Polanski speech, 18 Mar 2026", "url": "https://greenparty.org.uk/2026/03/18/zack-polanski-lays-out-plans-to-back-the-caring-majority-in-major-speech/", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Tax Policy Associates: Our take on the Green Party manifesto, 13 Jun 2024", "url": "https://taxpolicy.org.uk/2024/06/13/our-take-on-the-green-manifesto/", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "Elected Greens will push for a wealth tax. This will tax the wealth of individual taxpayers with assets above £10 million at 1% and assets above £1bn at 2% annually.", "recorded_on": "2024-06-12", "source_url": "https://greenparty.org.uk/app/uploads/2024/06/Green-Party-2024-General-Election-Manifesto-Long-version-with-cover.pdf", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-06", "cost": { "low": -16, "central": -15, "high": -14, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Negative because the pledge raises money rather than costing it. Year shown: a full year of the tax, as the party's figures are yearly amounts (the £16bn is for the end of the Parliament). Party figures only: around £16bn a year by the end of the Parliament (June 2024 budget paper), around £15bn a year (Zack Polanski, March 2026; central) and £14bn in the party's 2024 breakdown, as cited by Tax Policy Associates. No official or independent costing of this design was found. Tax Policy Associates notes that Spain's similar tax raised €632m in 2023 and that the 2020 Wealth Tax Commission advised against an annual wealth tax, and questions whether the yield can be achieved.", "sources": [ { "title": "Green Party: Investing in Hope, budget background paper (PDF)", "url": "https://greenparty.org.uk/app/uploads/2024/06/budget-background-v3.pdf" }, { "title": "Green Party: Zack Polanski speech, 18 Mar 2026", "url": "https://greenparty.org.uk/2026/03/18/zack-polanski-lays-out-plans-to-back-the-caring-majority-in-major-speech/" }, { "title": "Tax Policy Associates: Our take on the Green Party manifesto", "url": "https://taxpolicy.org.uk/2024/06/13/our-take-on-the-green-manifesto/" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "party", "name": "Green Party" } } } ], "events": [ { "date": "2024-06-12", "type": "promised", "text": "Green Party manifesto pledges to push for an annual wealth tax", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [ { "date": "2026-10-06", "path": "versions[0].parameters.how_much_bn_per_year", "was": [ -16, -15, -15 ], "now": [ -16, -15, -14 ], "reason": "The range left out the party's own £14bn figure, so the central and one end were the same. All three values are now party figures: £16bn, £15bn and £14bn a year.", "source_url": "https://taxpolicy.org.uk/2024/06/13/our-take-on-the-green-manifesto/" }, { "date": "2026-10-06", "path": "versions[0].parameters.cost_note", "was": "Negative because the pledge raises money rather than costing it. Party figures only: around £16bn a year by the end of the Parliament (June 2024 budget paper) and around £15bn a year (Zack Polanski, March 2026). No official or independent costing of this design was found. Tax Policy Associates notes that Spain's similar tax raised €632m in 2023 and that the 2020 Wealth Tax Commission advised against an annual wealth tax, so the yield is highly uncertain.", "now": "Negative because the pledge raises money rather than costing it. Year shown: a full year of the tax, as the party's figures are yearly amounts (the £16bn is for the end of the Parliament). Party figures only: around £16bn a year by the end of the Parliament (June 2024 budget paper), around £15bn a year (Zack Polanski, March 2026; central) and £14bn in the party's 2024 breakdown, as cited by Tax Policy Associates. No official or independent costing of this design was found. Tax Policy Associates notes that Spain's similar tax raised €632m in 2023 and that the 2020 Wealth Tax Commission advised against an annual wealth tax, and questions whether the yield can be achieved.", "reason": "The note left out the party's £14bn figure, and \"highly uncertain\" read as the card's own view. The doubt about the yield is Tax Policy Associates', and the note now says so.", "source_url": "https://taxpolicy.org.uk/2024/06/13/our-take-on-the-green-manifesto/" } ], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-con-landlord-cgt-relief-2024", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-con-landlord-cgt-relief-2024", "headline": "Capital gains relief for landlords selling to tenants", "actor_id": "conservatives", "actor_name": "Conservative Party", "party_id": "conservatives", "made_on": "2024-06-11", "venue": "manifesto", "venue_label": "2024 manifesto, page 55", "policy_area": "taxes", "status": "promised", "status_label": "Promised", "status_note": "The Conservatives are not in government, so the card stays at Promised.", "deadline": null, "outcome_by": null, "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "manual", "text": "To further support homeowners, we will introduce a two-year temporary Capital Gains Tax relief for landlords who sell to their existing tenants.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://public.conservatives.com/static/documents/GE2024/Conservative-Manifesto-GE2024.pdf#page=55", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-09", "quote_licence": "Quoted for reporting; rights stay with the publisher", "who": "Landlords who sell a rented home to the tenants already living in it", "when": "Two years; the party costed it for 2025-26 and 2026-27", "funded_by": "Not stated for this measure; the party's costings say the manifesto as a whole is fully funded", "cost": { "low": 0.018, "central": 0.02, "high": 0.022, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Year shown: 2025-26, the first of the relief's two years. Party figure only: £20m in each of 2025-26 and 2026-27 and nothing after, which the party says is based on Treasury costings (costings document, Table 1, \"CGT on sales to tenants: suspend\"). No official or independent costing was found. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "sources": [ { "title": "Conservative Party: Costings Document 2024 (PDF), Table 1", "url": "https://public.conservatives.com/static/documents/GE2024/Conservative-Costings-Document-GE2024.pdf#page=3" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "party", "name": "Conservative Party" } }, "sources": [ { "title": "Conservative Party: Clear Plan. Bold Action. Secure Future, 2024 manifesto (PDF), page 55", "url": "https://public.conservatives.com/static/documents/GE2024/Conservative-Manifesto-GE2024.pdf#page=55", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Conservative Party: Costings Document 2024 (PDF), Table 1", "url": "https://public.conservatives.com/static/documents/GE2024/Conservative-Costings-Document-GE2024.pdf#page=3", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "To further support homeowners, we will introduce a two-year temporary Capital Gains Tax relief for landlords who sell to their existing tenants.", "recorded_on": "2024-06-11", "source_url": "https://public.conservatives.com/static/documents/GE2024/Conservative-Manifesto-GE2024.pdf#page=55", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-09", "cost": { "low": 0.018, "central": 0.02, "high": 0.022, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Year shown: 2025-26, the first of the relief's two years. Party figure only: £20m in each of 2025-26 and 2026-27 and nothing after, which the party says is based on Treasury costings (costings document, Table 1, \"CGT on sales to tenants: suspend\"). No official or independent costing was found. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "sources": [ { "title": "Conservative Party: Costings Document 2024 (PDF), Table 1", "url": "https://public.conservatives.com/static/documents/GE2024/Conservative-Costings-Document-GE2024.pdf#page=3" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "party", "name": "Conservative Party" } } } ], "events": [ { "date": "2024-06-11", "type": "promised", "text": "Conservative manifesto pledges a two-year capital gains tax relief for landlords who sell to their tenants", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-con-no-cgt-rise-2024", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-con-no-cgt-rise-2024", "headline": "No rise in capital gains tax", "actor_id": "conservatives", "actor_name": "Conservative Party", "party_id": "conservatives", "made_on": "2024-06-11", "venue": "manifesto", "venue_label": "2024 manifesto, page 9", "policy_area": "taxes", "status": "promised", "status_label": "Promised", "status_note": "The Conservatives are not in government, so the card stays at Promised. In October 2024 the Labour government raised the main rates of capital gains tax from 10% and 20% to 18% and 24% (Autumn Budget 2024, para 2.48). No later Conservative pledge on capital gains tax rates was found on 9 October 2026.", "deadline": null, "outcome_by": null, "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "manual", "text": "We will not increase Capital Gains Tax.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://public.conservatives.com/static/documents/GE2024/Conservative-Manifesto-GE2024.pdf#page=9", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-09", "quote_licence": "Quoted for reporting; rights stay with the publisher", "who": "People who pay capital gains tax when they sell assets such as shares, second homes or a business", "when": "Not stated; taken as the 2024 Parliament", "funded_by": "Not a spending pledge", "cost": null, "sources": [ { "title": "Conservative Party: Clear Plan. Bold Action. Secure Future, 2024 manifesto (PDF), page 9", "url": "https://public.conservatives.com/static/documents/GE2024/Conservative-Manifesto-GE2024.pdf#page=9", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "HM Treasury: Autumn Budget 2024 (30 Oct 2024), para 2.48", "url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/672b9695fbd69e1861921c63/Autumn_Budget_2024_Accessible.pdf", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "We will not increase Capital Gains Tax.", "recorded_on": "2024-06-11", "source_url": "https://public.conservatives.com/static/documents/GE2024/Conservative-Manifesto-GE2024.pdf#page=9", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-09", "cost": null } ], "events": [ { "date": "2024-06-11", "type": "promised", "text": "Conservative manifesto pledges not to increase capital gains tax", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-ld-cgt-reform-2024", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-ld-cgt-reform-2024", "headline": "Fairly reform capital gains tax", "actor_id": "liberal-democrats", "actor_name": "Liberal Democrats", "party_id": "liberal-democrats", "made_on": "2024-06-10", "venue": "manifesto", "venue_label": "2024 manifesto, page 14", "policy_area": "taxes", "status": "promised", "status_label": "Promised", "status_note": "The Liberal Democrats are not in government, so the card stays at Promised. The party's costings describe the design: rates based only on the gain, the tax-free allowance raised from £3,000 to £5,000, a new tax-free allowance for inflation and a relief for small businesses. Since then Autumn Budget 2024 has raised the main rates of capital gains tax to 18% and 24%.", "deadline": null, "outcome_by": null, "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "manual", "text": "Fairly reforming capital gains tax to close loopholes exploited by the super wealthy.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://www.libdems.org.uk/fileadmin/groups/2_Federal_Party/Documents/PolicyPapers/Manifesto_2024/For_a_Fair_Deal_-_Liberal_Democrat_Manifesto_2024.pdf#page=14", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-09", "quote_licence": "Quoted for reporting; rights stay with the publisher", "who": "People who make large capital gains; the party says the aim is to close loopholes used by the very wealthy", "when": "Not stated; the party's figure is for 2028-29", "funded_by": "Not a spending pledge; the manifesto lists it among the measures that \"raise the money needed for our investment plans\"", "cost": { "low": -5.731, "central": -5.21, "high": -4.689, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Negative because the pledge raises money. Year shown: 2028-29, the year the party costed. Party figure only: £5,210m in 2028-29 (costings, page 6, line 15). The figure predates Autumn Budget 2024, which raised the main rates and so changed the starting point. No official costing of this design exists. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "sources": [ { "title": "Liberal Democrats: Funding a Fair Deal, manifesto costings 2024 (PDF), page 6", "url": "https://www.libdems.org.uk/fileadmin/groups/2_Federal_Party/Documents/PolicyPapers/Manifesto_2024/Funding_a_Fair_Deal_-_Liberal_Democrat_Manifesto_Costings_2024.pdf#page=6" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "party", "name": "Liberal Democrats" } }, "sources": [ { "title": "Liberal Democrats: For a Fair Deal, 2024 manifesto (PDF), page 14", "url": "https://www.libdems.org.uk/fileadmin/groups/2_Federal_Party/Documents/PolicyPapers/Manifesto_2024/For_a_Fair_Deal_-_Liberal_Democrat_Manifesto_2024.pdf#page=14", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Liberal Democrats: Funding a Fair Deal, manifesto costings 2024 (PDF), pages 6 and 7", "url": "https://www.libdems.org.uk/fileadmin/groups/2_Federal_Party/Documents/PolicyPapers/Manifesto_2024/Funding_a_Fair_Deal_-_Liberal_Democrat_Manifesto_Costings_2024.pdf#page=6", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "HM Treasury: Autumn Budget 2024 (30 Oct 2024), para 2.48", "url": "https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/672b9695fbd69e1861921c63/Autumn_Budget_2024_Accessible.pdf", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "Fairly reforming capital gains tax to close loopholes exploited by the super wealthy.", "recorded_on": "2024-06-10", "source_url": "https://www.libdems.org.uk/fileadmin/groups/2_Federal_Party/Documents/PolicyPapers/Manifesto_2024/For_a_Fair_Deal_-_Liberal_Democrat_Manifesto_2024.pdf#page=14", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-09", "cost": { "low": -5.731, "central": -5.21, "high": -4.689, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Negative because the pledge raises money. Year shown: 2028-29, the year the party costed. Party figure only: £5,210m in 2028-29 (costings, page 6, line 15). The figure predates Autumn Budget 2024, which raised the main rates and so changed the starting point. No official costing of this design exists. Low–high is an editorial ±10% because the source gives a central figure only.", "sources": [ { "title": "Liberal Democrats: Funding a Fair Deal, manifesto costings 2024 (PDF), page 6", "url": "https://www.libdems.org.uk/fileadmin/groups/2_Federal_Party/Documents/PolicyPapers/Manifesto_2024/Funding_a_Fair_Deal_-_Liberal_Democrat_Manifesto_Costings_2024.pdf#page=6" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "party", "name": "Liberal Democrats" } } } ], "events": [ { "date": "2024-06-10", "type": "promised", "text": "Liberal Democrat manifesto pledges to reform capital gains tax to close loopholes used by the very wealthy", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [], "contracts": [] }, { "id": "uk-ld-free-personal-care-2024", "url": "https://ledgergov.uk/promise/uk-ld-free-personal-care-2024", "headline": "Introduce free personal care, based on need", "actor_id": "liberal-democrats", "actor_name": "Liberal Democrats", "party_id": "liberal-democrats", "made_on": "2024-06-10", "venue": "manifesto", "venue_label": "2024 manifesto, page 37", "policy_area": "social_protection", "status": "promised", "status_label": "Promised", "status_note": "The Liberal Democrats are not in government. In July 2026 the party restated free personal care as one of its three tests on social care for the new Prime Minister. On 29 September 2026 Prime Minister Andy Burnham promised free personal care for people over 65 through a National Care Service in the next parliament; it does not cover working-age adults, and no detailed plan, legislation or funding has been published, so the card stays at Promised.", "deadline": null, "outcome_by": null, "brought_about_by": null, "origin": "manual", "text": "Introduce free personal care based on the model introduced by the Liberal Democrats in government in Scotland in 2002, so that provision is based on need, not ability to pay.", "version": 1, "quote_source_url": "https://www.libdems.org.uk/fileadmin/groups/2_Federal_Party/Documents/PolicyPapers/Manifesto_2024/For_a_Fair_Deal_-_Liberal_Democrat_Manifesto_2024.pdf", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-06", "quote_licence": "Quoted for reporting; rights stay with the publisher", "who": "People in England who need personal care, at home or in a care home. Care home residents would still pay for their accommodation.", "when": "Not stated; the party costed it for 2028-29", "funded_by": "Reversing tax cuts given to the big banks by the Conservatives since 2016 (restoring Bank Surcharge and Bank Levy revenues to 2016 levels in real terms), which the party says raises £4.3bn a year by 2028-29.", "cost": { "low": 2.7, "central": 6, "high": 6.6, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Years shown: 2028-29 for the party's own figure and 2026/27 for the independent estimate, the years each source costs. The party's own figure is £2.7bn a year by 2028-29 above existing social care plans (low). The Health Foundation estimated in January 2024 that a Scottish-style free personal care model in England could cost around £6bn extra in 2026/27 (central), rising to £7bn by 2035/36. The high end is an editorial +10% on the Health Foundation's 2026/27 figure, because it gives a central figure only. The IFS said the party's wider £8.4bn for health and social care would not be nearly enough if it is on top of current spending.", "sources": [ { "title": "Liberal Democrats press release, 8 Jun 2024", "url": "https://www.libdems.org.uk/press/release/ed-davey-launches-plan-for-free-personal-care-to-end-hospital-crisis-and-help-people-stay-in-their-own-homes" }, { "title": "Health Foundation: response to Liberal Democrats' proposals for social care, 4 Jun 2024", "url": "https://www.health.org.uk/media-office/press-releases/the-health-foundation-responds-to-liberal-democrats-proposals-for-social-care" }, { "title": "IFS: Liberal Democrat manifesto: a reaction, 10 Jun 2024", "url": "https://ifs.org.uk/articles/liberal-democrat-manifesto-reaction" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "independent", "name": "Health Foundation" } }, "sources": [ { "title": "Liberal Democrats: For a Fair Deal, 2024 manifesto (PDF), page 37", "url": "https://www.libdems.org.uk/fileadmin/groups/2_Federal_Party/Documents/PolicyPapers/Manifesto_2024/For_a_Fair_Deal_-_Liberal_Democrat_Manifesto_2024.pdf", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Liberal Democrats: Ed Davey launches plan for free personal care, 8 Jun 2024", "url": "https://www.libdems.org.uk/press/release/ed-davey-launches-plan-for-free-personal-care-to-end-hospital-crisis-and-help-people-stay-in-their-own-homes", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Liberal Democrats: Funding a Fair Deal, manifesto costings 2024 (PDF)", "url": "https://www.libdems.org.uk/fileadmin/groups/2_Federal_Party/Documents/PolicyPapers/Manifesto_2024/Funding_a_Fair_Deal_-_Liberal_Democrat_Manifesto_Costings_2024.pdf", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Liberal Democrats: Davey calls on PM Burnham to end the social care catastrophe, 20 Jul 2026", "url": "https://www.libdems.org.uk/press/release/davey-calls-on-pm-burnham-to-end-the-social-care-catastrophe-as-data-reveals-family-care-costs-have-soared-60-in-five-years", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "IFS: Liberal Democrat manifesto: a reaction, 10 Jun 2024", "url": "https://ifs.org.uk/articles/liberal-democrat-manifesto-reaction", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Labour Party: Six things Andy Burnham announced today at Labour Party Conference, 29 Sep 2026", "url": "https://labour.org.uk/updates/stories/six-things-andy-burnham-announced-today-at-labour-party-conference/", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "No 10 press release, 29 Sep 2026: Prime Minister Andy Burnham sets out plans for a new National Care Service", "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/prime-minister-andy-burnham-sets-out-plans-for-a-new-national-care-service", "archived_url": null }, { "title": "Disability News Service: Free social care is coming… but only if you're over 65, government confirms after Burnham speech, 1 Oct 2026", "url": "https://www.disabilitynewsservice.com/free-social-care-is-coming-but-only-if-youre-over-65-government-confirms-after-burnham-speech/", "archived_url": null } ], "versions": [ { "version": 1, "text": "Introduce free personal care based on the model introduced by the Liberal Democrats in government in Scotland in 2002, so that provision is based on need, not ability to pay.", "recorded_on": "2024-06-10", "source_url": "https://www.libdems.org.uk/fileadmin/groups/2_Federal_Party/Documents/PolicyPapers/Manifesto_2024/For_a_Fair_Deal_-_Liberal_Democrat_Manifesto_2024.pdf", "quote_checked_on": "2026-10-06", "cost": { "low": 2.7, "central": 6, "high": 6.6, "unit": "gbp_bn_per_year", "quality": "sourced", "method_note": "Years shown: 2028-29 for the party's own figure and 2026/27 for the independent estimate, the years each source costs. The party's own figure is £2.7bn a year by 2028-29 above existing social care plans (low). The Health Foundation estimated in January 2024 that a Scottish-style free personal care model in England could cost around £6bn extra in 2026/27 (central), rising to £7bn by 2035/36. The high end is an editorial +10% on the Health Foundation's 2026/27 figure, because it gives a central figure only. The IFS said the party's wider £8.4bn for health and social care would not be nearly enough if it is on top of current spending.", "sources": [ { "title": "Liberal Democrats press release, 8 Jun 2024", "url": "https://www.libdems.org.uk/press/release/ed-davey-launches-plan-for-free-personal-care-to-end-hospital-crisis-and-help-people-stay-in-their-own-homes" }, { "title": "Health Foundation: response to Liberal Democrats' proposals for social care, 4 Jun 2024", "url": "https://www.health.org.uk/media-office/press-releases/the-health-foundation-responds-to-liberal-democrats-proposals-for-social-care" }, { "title": "IFS: Liberal Democrat manifesto: a reaction, 10 Jun 2024", "url": "https://ifs.org.uk/articles/liberal-democrat-manifesto-reaction" } ], "costed_by": { "kind": "independent", "name": "Health Foundation" } } } ], "events": [ { "date": "2024-06-10", "type": "promised", "text": "Liberal Democrat manifesto pledges free personal care in England", "evidence_url": null, "auto": false } ], "replies": [], "corrections": [ { "date": "2026-10-06", "path": "versions[0].parameters.how_much_bn_per_year", "was": [ 2.7, 6, 7 ], "now": [ 2.7, 6, 6.6 ], "reason": "The high end was the Health Foundation's 2035/36 figure, a later year than the rest of the range (a time profile). It is now an editorial +10% on the Health Foundation's 2026/27 figure.", "source_url": "https://www.health.org.uk/media-office/press-releases/the-health-foundation-responds-to-liberal-democrats-proposals-for-social-care" }, { "date": "2026-10-06", "path": "versions[0].parameters.cost_note", "was": "The party's own figure is £2.7bn a year by 2028-29 above existing social care plans (low). The Health Foundation estimated in January 2024 that a Scottish-style free personal care model in England could cost around £6bn extra in 2026/27 (central), rising to £7bn by 2035/36 (high). The IFS said the party's wider £8.4bn for health and social care would not be nearly enough if it is on top of current spending.", "now": "Years shown: 2028-29 for the party's own figure and 2026/27 for the independent estimate, the years each source costs. The party's own figure is £2.7bn a year by 2028-29 above existing social care plans (low). The Health Foundation estimated in January 2024 that a Scottish-style free personal care model in England could cost around £6bn extra in 2026/27 (central), rising to £7bn by 2035/36. The high end is an editorial +10% on the Health Foundation's 2026/27 figure, because it gives a central figure only. The IFS said the party's wider £8.4bn for health and social care would not be nearly enough if it is on top of current spending.", "reason": "The note used the 2035/36 figure as the high end of the range. The £7bn is now shown as growth over time, and the note gives the years shown and the editorial +10%.", "source_url": "https://www.health.org.uk/media-office/press-releases/the-health-foundation-responds-to-liberal-democrats-proposals-for-social-care" } ], "contracts": [] } ] } }