£1,366bn of public money, and 195 promises to pay from it

2025-26, ONS outturn, October 2026 release

Income
£1,231bnSourcedTaken from an official release, linked.ONS Public sector finances, UK (PUSF time series dataset)
taxes and other receipts
Spending
£1,366bnSourcedTaken from an official release, linked.ONS Public sector finances, UK (PUSF time series dataset)
all public spending
Borrowed
£134bnSourcedTotal spending minus receipts (PSF-2026-10). Published borrowing for 2025-26: 134.2bn.ONS Public sector finances, UK (PUSF time series dataset)
9.8p of every £1 spent
Debt
£2.9tnSourcedPSND ex, £bn: end-March 2026 value of ONS CDID HF6W.ONS Public sector finances, UK (PUSF time series dataset)
93.2% of GDP in 2025-26
Debt interest
£109bnEstimateCentral government debt interest net of the APF (OBR definition): ONS CG interest payable (NMFX, 96.8bn) minus APF net interest receivable (MDD8, -11.8bn), summed April 2025 to March 2026.ONS Public sector finances, UK (PUSF time series dataset)
8.0p of every £1 spent
Bank Rate
3.75%SourcedTaken from an official release, linked.Official Bank Rate (IADB series IUDBEDR) and MPC dates
since 18 Dec 2025

195 promises tracked

from 36 people, parties and governments
  • 131 promised
  • 17 in plan
  • 4 legislated
  • 4 funded
  • 17 delivering
  • 15 delivered
  • 4 not met
  • 3 unscoreable
All promises, by person, party or area →

Try the budget yourself

every lever has its source
Income tax basic rate

Borrowing £134bnOfficial costing per point, no knock-on effects

Open the full sandbox →
Latest deliveredExclude rape and grooming offences from earlier releaseAndy Burnham, 1 Oct 2026Latest not metDigital ID mandatory for right to work checksKeir Starmer, 21 Jul 2026Due nextMeet the fiscal rules, with a bufferJohn Healey, due 28 Oct 2026Forecast at the timeHalve inflation in 2023Target 5.25%, OBR forecast 3.75% before the promise

Promises

195 promises tracked: 131 promised, 17 in plan, 4 legislated, 4 funded, 17 delivering, 15 delivered, 4 not met, 3 unscoreable

Latest changes

Due next

All promises →

Promise ledger

Every promise gets a card: what, who, how much, from where, and a timeline that ends in delivery or in silence.

Autumn Budget 2026 on 28 October: the promises it could fund or break

See all 195 promises, with search and filters

Track record

How each party's promises stand, counted from the cards. No scores: the mix speaks for itself.

Promises by party and status
PartyCardsDeliveredIn progressNot metUndoneUnscoreableNet cost of costed cards, a yearFunding namedMix
Labour Party8391 by others73100+£57bn21 of 83
HM Government64064000+£2.9bn23 of 64
Conservative Party2851 by others18302+£29.5bn9 of 28
Green Party of England and Wales707000−£53bn3 of 7
Liberal Democrats303000+£17.8bn3 of 3
Plaid Cymru302001−£13.1bn1 of 3
Reform UK202000+£31bn2 of 2
Scottish National Party211 by others1000+£2.8bn1 of 2
Alison McGovern101000not costed0 of 1
Natural England101000not costed0 of 1
Pat McFadden101000not costed0 of 1

Seen a promise? Send it in.

No account needed. Editors check every submission against the original source before it becomes a card.

Like checking sources? Become a volunteer editor.

  1. You send a link and, for video, the moment it was said.
  2. We archive the source and match the exact words in the transcript.
  3. AI Journalist checks it, and an editor fills in who, how much, when and from where.
  4. The card goes live. You are credited if you ask to be.

Shown publicly on the card if editors accept it. Leave blank to stay anonymous.

How the numbers work

Every number comes from one of 26 official sources, or is worked out from them, and says which.

Ranges, not points

Every result shows low, central and high. Tax levers use HMRC's costings, which include how taxpayers respond but not knock-on effects on the wider economy.

Every number has a label

  • Sourced
  • Estimate
  • Modelled
  • To check

Hover over or focus a number to see how it was made and where it comes from.

Checked against what happened

Every forecast shown here is recorded, and scored when the official outturn arrives, misses included.

How the numbers are madeForecasts against outturnOpen data API

Questions

What is LedgerGov.UK?

An open profit-and-loss account of the UK state. It shows where public money comes from (taxes, other income and borrowing), where it goes, and what political promises would cost and who would pay.

Where do the numbers come from?

From official publications: ONS public sector finances, OBR forecasts, HM Treasury spending statistics, HMRC tax costings, DWP benefit statistics, GOV.UK tax rates and the Bank of England. Every number links to its source and the date of the release it came from.

Is the sandbox a forecast?

No. It shows the first-year effect of a change as a range, using official costings. Real outcomes depend on how people and the economy respond, so results are ranges, never single numbers.

How is a promise's status decided?

By one published standard, the same for every party. A status changes only on evidence: a plan, a bill, money in a budget, or delivery. The full history of each card is kept, including any rewording of the promise.

Who checks the cards?

Every card is re-read against its live sources by AI Journalist, our automated reviewer: the quote word for word, the dates, the evidence, the status, the cost, neutral wording and legal risk. Anything it finds is fixed in public as a dated correction on the card. An editor, Pavel Guzhikov, then checks each card against its sources and approves it, and each card's label says whether he has yet. Nothing a reader sends in is published until he has approved it.

Do I need an account?

No. Reading, using the sandbox and sharing a scenario never need an account. You can follow a promise by RSS, email or Telegram without one.

Is my salary sent anywhere?

No. The "your share" calculator and Your tax receipt run in your browser. What you type is never sent, stored or put in a link, and the receipt's picture is made on your device.

Can I send in a promise or evidence?

Yes, with the form on this page. AI Journalist and an editor check every submission against the original source, and nothing is published until the editor, Pavel Guzhikov, has approved it.